极端天气
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“平民水果”价格飙升!极端天气会影响菜篮子吗?
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-08-08 03:37
Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in lemon prices in China, nearly doubling due to extreme weather conditions, has raised concerns about the stability of agricultural product prices amid climate challenges [1][2]. Price Trends - As of August 7, 2025, the average wholesale price of lemons in China reached 14.55 yuan per kilogram, up from 7.96 yuan per kilogram a year earlier, indicating a nearly 83% increase [1]. - Watermelon prices have also increased by approximately 20% due to reduced production from extreme heat and flooding in key growing regions [5]. Production Impact - Over 70% of China's lemons are produced in Sichuan's Anyue, which experienced severe high temperatures and drought last year, leading to a significant drop in lemon yield [2]. - The quality of lemons has declined due to heat stress, resulting in lower rates of premium fruit [2]. Supply Chain Resilience - The overall prices of vegetables and grains have remained stable due to the dispersed production areas and the resilience of the supply chain, allowing for cross-regional adjustments [3]. - The short growth cycle of vegetables enables quicker recovery from price spikes compared to lemons, which have a longer growth cycle [3]. Consumer Demand Factors - The demand for lemons in tea and seasoning markets is inelastic, making them less substitutable compared to other vegetables, which can be easily replaced [4]. - Export factors may also contribute to the rising lemon prices, as domestic supply has not increased while international production has decreased [4]. Future Price Volatility - Other agricultural products, such as leafy vegetables and citrus fruits, may experience price fluctuations due to ongoing extreme weather conditions [5][6]. - The potential for price increases in crops like pepper and citrus fruits is noted, particularly if dry conditions persist into the fall [5]. Recommendations for Supply Stability - Experts suggest optimizing production area layouts, expanding cold chain logistics, and implementing price insurance to enhance supply chain resilience [7][8]. - The establishment of backup production areas and a national agricultural supply-demand platform is recommended to monitor prices and inventory effectively [8]. - Continuous investment in high-standard farmland and disaster insurance systems is crucial for protecting farmers' interests and ensuring food security [8].
热浪干旱致伊朗水电供应危机加剧 大量政府部门暂停办公
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-08-07 08:18
Core Viewpoint - The Iranian government has ordered the suspension of government offices and public institutions in 16 out of 31 provinces to reduce electricity consumption amid extreme heat waves, with temperatures expected to reach 50°C in some areas [1] Group 1: Weather Impact - The extreme weather is predicted to last for at least five days across most of the country [1] - Tehran is experiencing its lowest rainfall in 60 years, severely affecting the city's water resources [1] Group 2: Government Warnings - Iranian President Pezeshkian has warned against excessive water consumption, indicating that Tehran may face severe water shortages in September if consumption is not controlled [1] - Pezeshkian emphasized the urgency of water conservation, stating that without cooperation, reservoirs may run dry by September or October [1]
气象学者:我们已经身处危机时代,而不是在讨论一个遥远的未来
Hu Xiu· 2025-08-06 23:53
Group 1 - The article emphasizes that extreme weather events are becoming a norm due to climate change, with significant impacts on agriculture, urban operations, and daily life [3][4][6] - The average temperature in Henan province reached 30.5°C in July, which is 3.2°C higher than the historical average, marking the hottest period in 64 years [1][2] - The article highlights the urgent need for scientific understanding and effective responses to climate change challenges, as the current preparations are insufficient [11][12] Group 2 - The frequency of extreme weather events has increased significantly, with a notable rise in climate-related disasters over the past two decades [4][6] - The article discusses the dual impact of global warming, leading to more severe droughts and floods, which poses a threat to major grain-producing areas in China [3][8][16] - The agricultural sector is facing challenges such as increased irrigation costs and crop growth disruptions due to extreme temperatures [17][19] Group 3 - The article suggests that the transition to green energy is essential, requiring five times the current efforts to mitigate future disaster losses [12][13] - It points out that the agricultural infrastructure needs significant upgrades to adapt to extreme weather, including improved irrigation and drainage systems [20] - The potential for "weather-related price hikes" in agricultural products is highlighted, with extreme weather already causing fluctuations in global commodity prices [21][22] Group 4 - The article indicates that extreme weather will increasingly affect various industries, necessitating new financial tools for agricultural insurance [23] - It mentions that sectors like renewable energy and urban planning must adapt to the challenges posed by extreme weather events [24][25] - The need for a long-term strategy to combat climate change is emphasized, with a focus on adhering to national carbon neutrality goals [26]
气象学者魏科:我们已经身处危机时代,而不是在讨论一个遥远的未来
经济观察报· 2025-08-06 13:47
Core Viewpoint - Climate extremization has become a norm, with global warming leading to intensified rainfall and drought conditions in specific regions, resulting in sudden shifts between drought and flooding [1][3][8]. Group 1: Extreme Weather Events - Recent years have seen a significant increase in extreme weather events globally, with high temperatures, floods, and storms becoming more frequent and intense [5][6]. - In July, the average temperature in Henan Province reached 30.5°C, 3.2°C higher than the historical average, marking the hottest period in 64 years [2]. - Northern China experienced above-average rainfall, with Inner Mongolia recording the highest precipitation for this period since 1961 [2][3]. Group 2: Impact on Agriculture - Extreme weather is adversely affecting major grain-producing areas in China, with high temperatures and heavy rainfall impacting crop growth and increasing irrigation costs [3][14]. - The growth of winter wheat is particularly vulnerable to insufficient low-temperature periods, which can lead to premature ear formation and reduced yields [15]. - High temperatures can cause corn leaves to curl, affecting photosynthesis and increasing water requirements, thus raising irrigation costs for farmers [15]. Group 3: Future Projections and Preparedness - The ongoing climate crisis requires urgent action, with a need for five times the current effort to effectively address climate challenges [11]. - Transitioning to green renewable energy is essential, despite the associated costs, as it presents significant industrial opportunities while mitigating future disaster losses [11]. - The upcoming weather patterns indicate that northern regions may continue to face flooding, while southern areas will experience heightened drought conditions [12]. Group 4: Economic Implications - The volatility of agricultural prices due to extreme weather events is expected to persist, with "weather-related price hikes" becoming more common [16]. - Developing countries may be disproportionately affected by extreme climate events, leading to potential resource conflicts and social instability [17]. - Industries related to agriculture may need to adapt their insurance models and financial tools to better manage the risks associated with climate change [18]. Group 5: Urban Planning and Infrastructure - The concept of sponge cities is being emphasized, but their capacity to handle extreme rainfall is limited, necessitating additional strategies for flood management [19][20]. - Urban planning must evolve to incorporate designs that can effectively manage high temperatures and heavy rainfall, ensuring resilience against climate impacts [18][20].
气候俗语不灵了,农业生产怎么办?
和讯· 2025-08-05 10:13
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the urgent need to address climate change impacts on agriculture, highlighting the vulnerability of small-scale farmers and the necessity for adaptive strategies to mitigate risks associated with extreme weather events [2][5][16]. Group 1: Climate Change Research and Impact - Initial research on climate change in China focused on glaciers, aiming to visually demonstrate the reality of climate change to the public [2]. - The urgency of climate change discussions has increased significantly since 2021, particularly following severe weather events like the 2021 Henan floods, which affected millions and caused substantial economic losses [2][3]. - Extreme weather events have been frequent in 2023, with significant impacts on urban infrastructure and agriculture, indicating a direct correlation between climate change and daily life [4][6]. Group 2: Agricultural Vulnerability and Adaptation - Agriculture, being highly dependent on natural resources, is among the first sectors to face challenges from climate change, necessitating a focus on smallholder farmers who are often the most vulnerable [4][5]. - Research indicates that small farmers are reluctant to abandon their land despite increasing climate risks, relying on traditional practices and community support to adapt [4][8]. - The study highlights the need for a robust protective framework to enhance the resilience of agricultural stakeholders against climate change [5][10]. Group 3: Policy and Community Support - The article discusses the evolution of policy regarding disaster prevention and climate adaptation, emphasizing the need for improved meteorological services and community support for farmers [11][14]. - Successful examples of community support networks have emerged, where agricultural cooperatives collaborate to share resources and mitigate climate risks [12][13]. - The report suggests that effective climate resilience requires a multi-faceted approach, integrating policy support, technological innovation, and local knowledge [14][18]. Group 4: Future Directions and Recommendations - The article calls for enhanced research on regional climate change impacts, particularly in sensitive agricultural areas, to inform long-term adaptation strategies [10][18]. - It stresses the importance of integrating climate adaptation planning with national strategies to secure funding and reduce adaptation costs for farmers [18][19]. - The urgency of addressing climate change is underscored, with a call for prioritizing climate action to prevent further losses and damages [19].
再现“最热7月”!滚滚热浪会加重今夏日本的大米危机吗?
第一财经· 2025-08-03 11:48
Core Viewpoint - The extreme heat in Japan this summer is exacerbating the ongoing rice crisis, with significant price increases expected due to adverse weather conditions affecting crop yields [3][4][7]. Weather Impact - July 2023 was the hottest month on record in Japan, with an average temperature 2.89 degrees Celsius above normal, and multiple locations recording temperatures exceeding 40 degrees Celsius [4][5]. - The extreme heat has led to increased instances of heat-related illnesses, with a rising number of deaths attributed to heatstroke over recent years [5]. Rice Price Trends - The price of rice in Japan has surged, with a 5-kilogram bag reaching prices between 4268 and 4285 yen (approximately 213 to 214 RMB), more than double the price from the previous year [7]. - Despite a recent decline in average rice prices to 3432 yen (approximately 166.43 RMB) per 5 kilograms, prices remain elevated compared to previous years [8]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - Japan's rice demand for the year was 711 million tons, exceeding previous government forecasts by 380,000 tons, while the projected rice production for 2024 is only 679 million tons, indicating a persistent supply-demand imbalance [8]. - The Japanese government has released 360,000 tons of reserve rice to stabilize prices, selling it at half the current market price [7]. Economic Implications - The Bank of Japan has raised its inflation forecast, with core consumer price index (CPI) expected to reach 2.7% by March 2026, driven largely by rising food prices, particularly rice [9]. - The persistent inflationary pressure is prompting the Bank of Japan to reconsider its monetary policy to mitigate the economic impact of rising prices [9].
极端天气正推高全球基本食品价格
news flash· 2025-08-03 06:39
Core Viewpoint - Japan experienced record high temperatures in July, with the highest temperature reaching 41.2 degrees Celsius, indicating a trend of extreme weather impacting food prices and overall inflation globally [1] Weather Impact on Food Prices - Extreme weather conditions are driving up the prices of essential food items globally, with a notable increase in prices due to heatwaves [1] - In 2024, a heatwave in East Asia is projected to cause a 70% year-on-year increase in cabbage prices in South Korea and a 48% increase in Japan [1] Economic Implications - The rise in food prices due to extreme weather is expected to exacerbate overall inflation, posing a variable impact on the global economy [1]
再现“最热7月”,滚滚热浪会加重今夏日本的大米危机吗?
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-08-03 06:22
Core Insights - Japan is experiencing a severe rice crisis exacerbated by extreme heat, with rice prices rising by 48% year-on-year due to the heatwave affecting crop yields [1][6] - July 2023 marked the hottest July on record in Japan, with an average temperature 2.89 degrees Celsius above normal, leading to widespread heat warnings [3][5] - The extreme weather conditions are contributing to inflationary pressures, with the Bank of Japan adjusting its inflation forecasts upward due to rising food prices, particularly rice [8] Weather Impact - The Japan Meteorological Agency reported record high temperatures, with some areas exceeding 41 degrees Celsius, leading to increased instances of heat-related illnesses and deaths [3][4] - The early end of the rainy season and the "heat dome" phenomenon are identified as key factors contributing to the extreme heat [5] Agricultural Consequences - The heatwave has severely impacted rice-growing regions, leading to water shortages and affecting crop growth, with reports of farmers struggling to cultivate crops like azuki beans [6] - The average price of rice in Japan has surged, with a 5-kilogram bag reaching prices between 4268 and 4285 yen, more than double the previous year's price [6] Market Dynamics - Despite a temporary decline in rice prices, the overall demand for rice in Japan has exceeded government forecasts, leading to a continuous supply-demand imbalance [7] - The Japanese government has released 360,000 tons of reserve rice to stabilize prices, but the market remains volatile [6][7] Economic Implications - Rising food prices, particularly rice, are becoming a significant driver of inflation in Japan, with the core consumer price index (CPI) expected to rise to 2.7% by March 2026 [8] - The Bank of Japan is reassessing its monetary policy in light of persistent inflation pressures, which are being fueled by soaring food prices [8]
暴雨大暴雨,又来了!北方地区夏季暴雨主要受什么影响?极端降雨预报难在哪?知名专家解读……
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-02 12:59
Group 1 - The article discusses the increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, such as prolonged rainfall and heatwaves, attributed to global climate change [1][16][17] - Beijing experienced its longest recorded rainfall event lasting 147 hours, highlighting the severity of recent weather patterns [6][14] - The Central Meteorological Administration issued multiple weather warnings, indicating widespread heavy rainfall and potential severe weather across various regions [3][5] Group 2 - The challenges of accurately predicting extreme precipitation events are emphasized, particularly due to the unpredictable nature of small-scale convective systems [7][8] - The article notes that the warming atmosphere increases its capacity to hold moisture, leading to more intense rainfall events [9][18] - The T8 atmospheric circulation pattern is identified as a significant contributor to summer rainfall in northern China, with historical data showing its correlation with extreme precipitation events [10][12][13] Group 3 - The need for improved public engagement in weather forecasting and disaster preparedness is highlighted, suggesting that community involvement can enhance the effectiveness of early warning systems [19][20][22] - The article stresses the importance of interdisciplinary approaches to address the complexities of extreme weather forecasting and response [22] - The impact of extreme weather, such as hailstorms, on agriculture and infrastructure is discussed, indicating a need for better predictive capabilities [23][25]
高温少雨持续 日本多地水库蓄水量告急
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-08-02 06:01
Core Viewpoint - Japan is facing a severe water shortage due to prolonged high temperatures and reduced rainfall, impacting agricultural production and prompting government intervention [1][2]. Group 1: Weather Conditions - Japan has experienced record high temperatures, with many areas exceeding 40 degrees Celsius [1]. - Rainfall in regions such as Ishikawa Prefecture has dropped significantly, with Kanazawa City recording only 1% of the average rainfall for July [1]. Group 2: Water Resource Status - As of July 31, 33 reservoirs managed by the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism are below average water levels, with two reservoirs in Iwate and Miyagi Prefectures completely depleted [2]. - A major river in Myoko City, Niigata Prefecture, has dried up due to lack of rainfall [2]. Group 3: Agricultural Impact - Key rice-producing areas like Fukui, Niigata, and Nagano Prefectures are experiencing severe water shortages, adversely affecting rice growth [2]. - The ongoing extreme weather conditions are expected to reduce milk production and decrease the size of eggs [2]. Group 4: Government Response - The Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries has established a "Water Shortage and High Temperature Response Headquarters" to address the crisis and promote water conservation measures [2]. - The Minister of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries, Koizumi Shinjiro, emphasized the need for effective water resource management to mitigate the impact on crops [2].