"人民至上，生命至上"不是一句空话。北京市防汛部门有关负责人说，只有当1小时降雨量预计超 过100毫米，或6小时降雨量超过150毫米时，才会发布暴雨红色预警。极端天气已成为新常态，预警和 对应的响应则是必须的"安全警报"。全民树立防汛安全意识，才能最大程度降低灾害带来的损失。 汛期安全观如何更新？ 面对愈发频繁的极端天气，提升对极端天气的认知、增强北方城市的汛期安全观，已成为城市管理 者和市民群众的"必修课"。 瞬时强降雨，让人措手不及。人们不禁发问，气象预报能不能再准些？中国气象服务协会会长许小 峰说，极端强降水往往呈现出分散性、点状分布特点，预报难以准确捕捉其发展趋势和具体影响范围。 同时，山区小尺度强对流天气变化非常快，精准预报预警的难度更大。 今年"七下八上"主汛期，北方多地遭遇极端强降雨。北京市密云、延庆、怀柔、平谷等山区突发山 洪；河北省承德市滦平县等地发生山体滑坡；甘肃省兰州市榆中县出现山洪灾害……造成重大人员伤亡 和财产损失。 半月谈记者在采访中发现，不少人感慨，以前少雨的北方，开始出现"几天下了一年的雨"的现象。 主汛期已过，一场场如注的暴雨之后，是极端天气愈加频繁的现实，北方城市如何更新汛 ...

连日来，尼泊尔全国遭遇持续强降雨。水文气象部门预警称，10月4日至6日多地将有暴雨，高海拔地区 或将降雪，对徒步、登山游客带来严重风险。卡斯基县官员因此呼吁各国游客暂停前往辖区内的安纳布 尔纳大本营(ABC)、鱼尾峰等世界知名徒步路线。 中新社加德满都10月4日电(记者崔楠)受极端天气影响，尼泊尔甘达基省卡斯基县行政办公室4日发布通 告，呼吁游客近期暂缓前往喜马拉雅山脉高海拔地区徒步。 （文章来源：中国新闻网） 尼泊尔旅游委员会同日声明称，目前全国约有两万名外国游客。因正值德赛节假期和秋季登山季，不少 国内外游客正在高海拔地区进行徒步、登山活动。旅游委呼吁地方政府和旅游从业者加强游客保障，并 号召民众在遇到外国游客时尽力提供食物、住宿等基本协助，保持友好态度，避免哄抬物价。 当日暴雨还导致加德满都特里布万国际机场取消全部国内航班，多架国际航班被迫备降印度、孟加拉国 等地。尼泊尔临时政府内政部4日同时宣布，原定10月4日结束的德赛节公众假期延长至10月6日。(完) ...

尼泊尔国家减灾应急管理局4日通告称，全国多地遭遇连日强降雨，已引发多处严重山体滑坡，并极有 可能引发洪水、内涝等次生灾害。 该局发言人强调，除特殊情况，民众不得在此期间驾驶或乘坐长途客运车辆，并避免进出加德满都谷 地。据尼泊尔《共和报》援引警方消息，交警已于4日上午关闭进出谷地的主要道路。此外，因多条进 出谷地主干道发生山体滑坡、道路受阻，当天早间已驶离谷地的部分车辆被迫折返。 中新社加德满都10月4日电(记者崔楠)尼泊尔当局4日宣布，自当日起至6日，暂停所有进出首都加德满 都谷地的客运车辆运行，为期三天，以确保极端天气下民众出行安全。 尼泊尔水文气象部门预测，此次强降雨将持续至10月6日。(完) 近期，受孟加拉湾新一轮低压系统影响，尼泊尔雨季结束时间推迟。加德满都谷地自3日凌晨起出现强 降雨，截至发稿时雨势仍未减弱，且呈加剧态势。 （文章来源：中国新闻网） ...

发布会上，省水利厅副厅长刘文林介绍，近年来，极端天气事件呈现多发频发态势，春旱、伏旱、秋汛、旱涝急转、连旱连涝时有发生，气候变化导致的洪 涝干旱灾害比预期更加深远和强烈。从三个方面简要介绍： 齐鲁晚报·齐鲁壹点记者 于民星 从防范应对看，省委、省政府高度重视防汛抗旱工作，始终坚持人民至上、生命至上，每年召开全省防汛抗旱工作会议进行部署，每逢台风、强降雨等关键 节点都会专门调度安排。省防指发挥牵头抓总作用，紧密衔接防、抢、救责任链条，协同各级各有关部门同向发力、严防死守。一是以完善的责任体系夯实 工作基础。全省共落实防汛责任人及预警人员4.1万人，组建防汛救援队伍495支、6.87万人，储备防汛物资规模21.4亿元。通过队伍前置、物资预置、加强 巡查，有力确保了大中型水库、骨干河道、重要湖泊无一出险。二是以及时的预警响应掌握防御主动权。基本建成包含9部测雨雷达、10198处雨量站、6455 处水文站在内的雨水情监测预报"三道防线"。累计启动防汛抗旱应急响应25次，发布洪水预报预警285期、山洪灾害气象预警94期，提前转移受威胁群众6.6 万人次。三是以科学的工程调度减少灾害损失。精细调度河道、水库、闸坝等水利工 ...

Carbon Neutrality Policy - China announced a new round of Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC) at the UN Climate Change Summit on September 24, aiming for a 7%-10% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2035 compared to peak levels, with non-fossil energy consumption exceeding 30% of total energy consumption [1][2] - The NDC outlines commitments to enhance forest carbon storage to over 24 billion cubic meters and to make new energy vehicles the mainstream of new vehicle sales, while establishing a national carbon trading market covering major high-emission industries [1][2] Carbon Market Development - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment emphasized the importance of a unified national carbon market, which has become a key mechanism for carbon pricing and achieving carbon neutrality goals [3] - The national carbon market has been operational for four years and is seen as a core driver for carbon peak and neutrality initiatives, with plans to enhance market vitality and expand coverage [3] Extreme Weather and Climate Adaptation - Extreme weather events, including high temperatures and heavy rainfall, are becoming the new normal, posing challenges for meteorological warnings and disaster prevention [4][5] - The need for a dual approach of "mitigation + adaptation" is highlighted, with recommendations for improving climate resilience, especially in rural areas [4][5] Corporate Practices - Chongqing plans to establish over two municipal-level battery recycling industrial bases by 2027, aiming for a 90% coverage rate of the battery recycling network across districts and counties [6] - The policy aims to optimize the layout of battery recycling projects and promote technological upgrades to address industry pain points [6] Local Developments - Hitachi Energy provided a 200 MVA electric arc furnace transformer to support Baosteel's decarbonization efforts, marking a significant advancement in the steel industry's green transition [7] - The transformer, the largest of its kind in China, utilizes next-generation technology to enhance operational efficiency and support the industry's shift towards low-carbon solutions [7]

Core Insights - The article discusses the unusual climate phenomena in North China this year, characterized by an early and prolonged rainy season, extreme rainfall, and persistent high temperatures, raising concerns about urban safety, energy stability, and climate adaptability [1][2]. Climate Anomalies - This year's rainy season in North China started over 10 days earlier than usual, with record rainfall and temperatures, indicating a significant deviation from historical patterns [2][4]. - The simultaneous occurrence of extreme rainfall and high temperatures is attributed to the abnormal activity of the subtropical high-pressure system, which has disrupted the typical seasonal weather patterns [2][3]. Regional Climate Dynamics - The subtropical high-pressure system has caused a climate differentiation within the North China region, leading to high temperatures in areas under its influence while simultaneously allowing for extreme rainfall in surrounding areas [3][4]. - The stability of the subtropical high-pressure system has resulted in sustained moisture transport to North China, extending the rainy days and increasing cumulative rainfall, which can lead to severe disasters in localized areas [3]. Future Climate Trends - The early onset of the rainy season is considered a rare anomaly and not indicative of a long-term trend, although the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events are expected to become the new norm due to increasing atmospheric volatility [4][9]. - The article highlights the need for vigilance regarding climate change, as the probability of extreme weather occurrences is likely to rise, necessitating improved disaster preparedness and response strategies [4][9]. Disaster Preparedness in Rural Areas - Rural and mountainous areas face greater threats from extreme weather compared to plains, with rapid rainfall accumulation leading to flash floods, particularly in regions with inadequate disaster preparedness [5][7]. - Recommendations for improving disaster response include enhancing early warning systems, optimizing spatial planning to relocate vulnerable structures, and conducting risk drills to raise public awareness [5][7]. Meteorological Challenges - The article identifies challenges in predicting large-scale climate anomalies and monitoring extreme rainfall in mountainous regions, emphasizing the need for advancements in short-term forecasting technologies [6][10]. - The difficulty in accurately predicting extreme weather events poses significant risks, particularly in areas where rapid flooding can occur within hours [6][10]. Regional Disparities in Disaster Response - There are notable differences in disaster preparedness between northern and southern regions of China, with the south having more established mechanisms for dealing with heavy rainfall and flash floods [7][8]. - Northern regions, with lower vegetation cover and soil moisture retention, are more susceptible to severe impacts from similar rainfall events, highlighting the need for enhanced awareness and preparedness in these areas [7][8]. Climate Change and Energy Security - The article discusses the implications of rising global temperatures, with predictions that 2025 may be among the warmest years on record, raising concerns about meeting climate targets set by the Paris Agreement [8][9]. - The increasing volatility of renewable energy sources, such as wind and solar, poses challenges for energy security, necessitating technological solutions to address their inherent instability [9][10]. Urban Climate Resilience - Urban planning must incorporate climate resilience strategies to mitigate the impacts of extreme weather, with a focus on improving drainage systems and urban layouts to prevent flooding and heat island effects [10][11]. - Investment in rural disaster preparedness is prioritized, as rural areas are more vulnerable to extreme weather events, requiring immediate attention to enhance safety and resilience [11].

Core Viewpoint - The extreme weather conditions in Jiangmen City, Guangdong, have led to the highest recorded wind gusts at 64.3 meters per second, classified as level 17 or above, marking a historical event for national weather stations [1] Group 1: Weather Impact - The maximum wind gust recorded at Shuchuan Island weather station reached 64.3 meters per second, indicating severe weather conditions [1] - Residents are taking precautions by sealing windows with tape to protect against the extreme weather [1] Group 2: Government Response - Taishan City has implemented a comprehensive "Five Stops" policy, which includes halting work, business, classes, markets, and transportation since September 23 [1] - Evacuations are underway for residents in low-lying areas to ensure their safety amid the ongoing severe weather [1] Group 3: Warnings - A red typhoon warning and an orange rainstorm warning remain in effect for Taishan City, highlighting the ongoing threat posed by the weather [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is a strategic bullish outlook on thermal coal, driven by unexpected demand growth, particularly from AI-induced electricity needs, reversing the weak electricity consumption trend in developed countries, while extreme weather impacts the global power grid [1][2] - In July, the total electricity consumption increased by 8.6% year-on-year, and thermal power generation rose by 4.3%, with a significant improvement in the supply-demand balance [2] - Domestic raw coal production in July was 38 million tons, a decrease of 4 million tons month-on-month, primarily due to extreme rainfall in Inner Mongolia and Shaanxi affecting production and sales [2] Group 2 - The forecast for national coal production in H2 2025 is a slight month-on-month decline due to "overproduction checks," with an expected production range of 235-240 million tons, and an annual production estimate of 475-480 million tons, remaining stable year-on-year [2] - The overall supply is expected to trend downward, compounded by a decrease in import certainty [2] - As of September 12, the price of thermal coal at Huanghua Port was 688 RMB/ton, a decrease of 3 RMB/ton (-0.4%) from the previous week, indicating a peak price retreat [3] Group 3 - The price of coking coal at Jingtang Port was stable at 1550 RMB/ton as of September 12, with daily iron output slightly declining [4] - The overall coking coal inventory across three ports was 2.646 million tons, down by 1.6%, with a utilization rate of 79.18% for coking enterprises with inventories over 200,000 tons [5] - The Newcastle Port price for Q5500 coal fell by 2 USD/ton (-2.2%), while the domestic Q5500 coal was 23 RMB/ton cheaper than imported coal [5]

Core Insights - Assam is the largest tea-producing region in India, contributing over 50% of the country's total tea production [1] - The region has faced severe weather conditions, leading to a nearly 5.6% decline in tea production last year, with ongoing challenges this year [1][3] - The overall tea production in India dropped by approximately 7.8% last year, resulting in a nearly 20% increase in tea prices [5] Group 1: Weather Impact - Extreme weather, including high temperatures and drought, has severely impacted tea production in Assam, with many tea gardens facing bankruptcy [3] - In Assam, the optimal temperature for tea growth is between 13°C and 32°C, but last year saw 50 days with temperatures exceeding 35°C [7] - Rainfall has been 38% below average this year, further shortening the tea harvesting window and increasing costs for growers [7] Group 2: Adaptation Strategies - To cope with the adverse conditions, tea growers are exploring alternative crops such as lemongrass and chamomile to reduce reliance on tea cultivation [9] - Increased use of fertilizers and pesticides has been necessary due to the challenging growing conditions, further raising production costs for farmers [7]

Core Viewpoint - The Buenos Aires region of Argentina is experiencing severe weather conditions, including strong winds and heavy rainfall, with significant temperature drops expected [1] Weather Alerts - The National Meteorological Service of Argentina has issued yellow or orange alerts for strong winds and heavy rain in the Buenos Aires region and 12 other provinces [1] - Provinces such as Salta, Jujuy, and Córdoba are also under similar weather alerts, with some areas expecting snowfall [1] Temperature Changes - A dramatic temperature drop is forecasted, with minimum temperatures expected to fall to 5 to 6 degrees Celsius [1] - The onset of this weather pattern is attributed to the collision of warm, moist air from the spring season with cold fronts from Antarctica, leading to extreme weather events known as the San Rosa storm [1]