Dividend discount model
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The easiest way to value the CBA share price
Rask Media· 2025-09-15 01:37
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the valuation of Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) shares, highlighting the importance of using multiple valuation methods to assess whether the shares are undervalued or overvalued in the current market context [1][2][4]. Valuation Methods - The Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio is a common tool for valuing bank shares, comparing the share price to the earnings per share (EPS). CBA's current PE ratio is calculated at 30x, significantly higher than the banking sector average of 19x, suggesting a potential overvaluation [4][6]. - A sector-adjusted PE valuation for CBA, based on its EPS of $5.63 and the sector average PE, results in a valuation of $109.43, indicating a discrepancy between market price and fundamental value [6]. Dividend Discount Model (DDM) - The Dividend Discount Model (DDM) is another valuation approach, which estimates share value based on expected future dividends. The last full-year dividend was $4.65, and using various growth and risk rate assumptions, the DDM yields a valuation range for CBA shares between $98.33 and $143.80, depending on the adjustments made for franking credits [7][11][12]. Growth and Risk Rate Analysis - Different growth rates (2% to 4%) and risk rates (6% to 11%) were analyzed, showing a wide range of potential valuations for CBA shares, emphasizing the sensitivity of the valuation to these assumptions [13]. Research and Analysis Practices - It is recommended to conduct thorough research, including reviewing at least three years of annual reports and analyzing management's communication style, to form a well-rounded investment thesis [14].
ANZ share price: 4 key metrics to consider
Rask Media· 2025-09-14 03:07
Core Viewpoint - ANZ Banking Group is a leading bank in Australia and New Zealand, with a significant focus on mortgages, personal loans, and credit, making it a key player in the banking sector [2] Group 1: Company Overview - ANZ is one of the Big Four banks in Australia and a leader in the New Zealand banking market [2] - The bank derives much of its revenue from lending activities, with 78% of its total income coming from lending last year [7] Group 2: Financial Metrics - The net interest margin (NIM) for ANZ was 1.57%, which is below the ASX major bank average of 1.78%, indicating a lower-than-average return from lending compared to peers [6] - ANZ's return on equity (ROE) stood at 9.3%, slightly below the sector average of 9.35% [8] - The common equity tier one (CET1) ratio for ANZ was 12.2%, which is above the sector average, indicating a strong capital buffer [10] Group 3: Valuation Insights - The dividend discount model (DDM) suggests an estimated average valuation of ANZ shares at $35.10, with an adjusted valuation of $35.74 based on forecast dividends [12] - The current share price of ANZ is $33.19, indicating that the shares may appear expensive based on the DDM model [13]
4 quick ways to assess the CBA share price
Rask Media· 2025-09-13 08:47
Core Viewpoint - Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) is Australia's largest bank with significant market shares in mortgages, credit cards, and personal loans, making it a key player in the Australian financial ecosystem [1]. Group 1: Financial Performance - CBA's net interest margin (NIM) is 1.99%, which is higher than the ASX banking sector average of 1.78%, indicating better profitability from lending activities [5]. - The bank earned 85% of its total income from lending last year, highlighting the importance of lending in its revenue generation [6]. - CBA's return on equity (ROE) stands at 13.1%, surpassing the sector average of 9.35%, which reflects strong profitability relative to shareholder equity [7]. Group 2: Balance Sheet Strength - CBA has a common equity tier one (CET1) ratio of 12.3%, which is above the sector average, indicating a robust capital buffer to protect against financial instability [8]. Group 3: Valuation Insights - Using a dividend discount model (DDM), the estimated average valuation of CBA shares is $98.33, with an adjusted valuation based on expected future dividends rising to $100.66 [11]. - The fair value estimate, considering gross dividend payments including franking credits, is $143.80, suggesting that the current share price of $169.97 may appear expensive [12].
The easiest way to value the BEN share price
Rask Media· 2025-09-12 20:37
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the valuation of Bendigo & Adelaide Bank Ltd (BEN) shares, emphasizing the importance of using multiple valuation methods to assess whether the current share price of approximately $12.60 represents good value for investors [1][11]. Valuation Methods - The article outlines two basic valuation tools: the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio and the Dividend Discount Model (DDM) [2][7]. - The PE ratio compares a company's share price to its earnings per share, with a current PE ratio for BEN calculated at 14.5x, compared to the banking sector average of 19x [4][6]. - The DDM uses expected dividends to arrive at a valuation, with the last full-year dividend for BEN being $0.63, leading to a valuation of $13.32 under certain assumptions [9][11]. Sector Context - ASX bank shares constitute about one-third of the Australian stock market by market capitalization, indicating their significance in the financial sector [2]. - The article suggests that ASX bank shares, including BEN, are popular among yield-seeking investors due to their stable dividend history [3][7]. Dividend Valuation Insights - The DDM valuation can be adjusted based on different growth and risk rates, with a gross dividend payment forecast of $0.93 leading to a valuation of $19.64 for BEN shares [12]. - The article emphasizes the importance of considering fully franked dividends, which can enhance the valuation for eligible shareholders [12]. Analytical Practices - It is recommended to analyze at least three years of annual reports and management communications to form a comprehensive understanding of the company [14]. - Engaging with diverse analytical perspectives is encouraged to gain deeper insights into the company's performance and valuation [14][15].