As we continue our review of the first quarter of the 21st century, we turn to one country that has been a story, well, really many stories in and of itself. Our colleague Enda Curran takes us through China's remarkable transformation. [Applause] -China joining the WTO in 2001 was probably one of the most consequential decisions, not just for China's economy, but for the world economy.-The WTO agreement will move China in the right direction. -So companies could shift there and both tap into the Chinese mar ...

Economic Outlook & Growth Drivers - The economy faces hurdles including government shutdowns affecting growth and delaying data collection [2] - "Prosec" (production for security) is a key positive thesis, focusing on domestic production in areas of national security interest like chips, data centers, AI, electricity, and rare earth minerals [3][4][5] - Tariffs are starting to impact earnings potential and may spread to consumers [6][7] - Tax cuts, tilted towards upper-end households, and deregulation are expected to inject cash into the economy in the first half of 2026 [9][10][11] - The dynamic properties inside the tax bill should facilitate 23% to 25% growth next year [14] Market & Investment Strategies - Companies are questioning spending on AI, which could drag on the economy if it slows [6][15] - The market and economy have diverged, with a "little i-shaped economy" where a small segment is doing well while the rest is just okay [16][17] - Fund manager surveys show bullish sentiment, but there's a disconnect with the real economy [19] - Tech companies may become more careful with spending plans [21] AI & Technology - Focus should shift from those working on AI to those working with AI, emphasizing adoption policies to drive productivity growth [24][25] - Data centers are driving significant debt issuance, estimated at $150 billion to $175 billion per year [30] - Governments are accelerating the development of AI value chains for economic and national security [52] - Sovereign AI is a key theme, with governments focusing on algorithms, critical minerals for semiconductors, and data [52][53] Crypto & Regulation - The Senate is considering the Clarity Act to provide a market structure for crypto in the US [33] - Banks are exploring stablecoins, which could lead to greater adoption and efficiency in the financial system [35][36] - Bitcoin is heavily influenced by leverage players, requiring new standards and safeguards [37][38][39] Trade & Geopolitics - Uncertainty around tariff policies is expected to continue, along with export controls and trade restrictions [42][43] - Companies are using scenario planning to manage geopolitical risks [46] - Geopolitical competition for resources like critical minerals and fresh water is a key story for 2026 [47][48] - Geopolitical competition around access to capital and the growing politization of capital allocation are reshaping the global financial system [50]

The Bank of France raised its growth forecasts as the euro area’s second-largest economy shows resilience to prolonged political turbulence and fiscal uncertainty https://t.co/eszoOOAsSn ...

THE IPO IS PRETTY STRONG. PAUL: OUR ASIA EQUITIES REPORTER IN MUMBAI. LET'S LOOK AT HOW INDIAN MARKETS ARE PERFORMING.THE MOOD OVERALL IS ONE OF OPTIMISM, THE SENSEX PUSHING HIGHER BY ABOUT TWO THIRDS OF 1%. ALL OF THE MAJOR INDEXES ARE HIGHER. MODEST RISK ON SENTIMENT.RUBY BLACK -- BACK BELOW 90. IT HAS STRENGTHENED AFTER THE INTERVENTION FROM THE RBI THIS WEEK. IT SEEMS TO HAVE WORKED IN THE SHORT-TERM BUT RISKS REMAIN TO THE CURRENCY.THE IPO, THE INDIAN RUPEE JUST ABOVE 90. LET'S TALK ABOUT THE STATE BAC ...

With the skepticism surrounding the inflation data, what should you do with your money. Do you go all in on stocks. Do you proceed with some more caution.Let's ask Rebecca Patterson, independent director at Vanguard and the former chief investment strategist at Bridgewwater. Great to see you first of all. >> Good to see you.>> Do do you I hate to put it quite this way. Do you care about the the vagaries of whether this report is reliable or not. Can you can you wait it out.Do you look to the market reaction ...

Mexico’s central bank lowered its benchmark interest rate by a quarter point, the latest in a series of cuts aimed at sparking economic growth despite worries over stubborn inflation https://t.co/BymDAqxY7f ...

Greg, it's great to see you as always. >> Always a pleasure, >> man. I I could use all of the words this morning that I've been hearing.Confusing, murky, foggy. Take it with a grain of salt. That's those are some of the things I've heard to describe this morning's CPI report.What can we say about the report. What did it tell us. >> I call it a Swiss cheese report.It's full of holes. Uh we're missing a lot of data across the board. Um the main message in my opinion is the following.one, we have still a gradu ...

Ukraine has agreed with the holders of its warrants to convert the economic growth-linked securities into bonds, pushing through a restructuring to help shore up its war-torn finances https://t.co/2PVgydXdDT ...

The governing council today decided to keep the three key ECB interest rates unchanged. Our updated assessment reconfirms that inflation should stabilize at our 2% target in the medium-term. The new Euro system staff projections show headline inflation averaging 2.1% in 25, 1.9% in 26, 1.8% 8% in 28, sorry, 1.8% in 27 and 2% in 28. For inflation, excluding energy and food, staff project an average of 2.4% in 25, 2.2% in 26, 1.9% in 27, and 2% in 28.Inflation has been revised up for 2026, mainly because staf ...

So, the president came out saying he's trying to fix a mess right now. Uh, didn't really seem to address two of the big issues. Some of the weakness in the job market and the concerns about AI while it's a driver for the economy taking away jobs.Do you think he missed the mark here. What do you think the read is when it comes to voters. >> Right.Um, you know, there are a lot of statistics uh and numbers that he put forward in that speech and yet he still, you know, sort of managed to miss a couple of things ...