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X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-12-04 12:20
Investment Trends - UK-based investors withdrew £3 billion from equities in November [1] Economic Context - The withdrawal occurred ahead of Chancellor Rachel Reeves's budget [1]
Major '26 theme will be market broadening outside of magnificent seven: KKM Financial's Kilburg
CNBC Television· 2025-12-03 18:46
Market Trends & Investment Opportunities - The S&P 500 equity market is broadening outside of the MAG7, with rotation inside MAG7 expected to be a major theme as interest rates move down, indicating optimism on equities and a potential Santa Claus rally in December [2][3] - Decoupling between equities and crypto, specifically Bitcoin, occurred around April, suggesting that associating equities and crypto in the same context may not be relevant in the near future [4] - New organic buyers are entering the Bitcoin market, exemplified by Vanguard opening access to more buyers and JP Morgan's involvement, with IBIT experiencing $32 billion in inflows this year [6] - Interest rates are anticipated to decrease, with the Fed potentially cutting rates by 25 basis points, which is expected to support equities [13] - A decrease in the ten-year note yield to 35% is expected to incentivize home buyers and benefit market laggers, including the financial sector [14] Bitcoin & Crypto Analysis - Bitcoin has historically experienced approximately 20 pullbacks of 25% or more since CME Group started trading Bitcoin futures in 2017, including three pullbacks of 50% or more [5] - The market may want to revisit the April low of $76000 for Bitcoin [6] - Crypto exposure is being considered by advisors, with discussions around allocations of 1% to 2%, similar to dipping toes into commodities like gold and silver [10][11] - There is a debate regarding Bitcoin's fundamental price value, with some questioning its use case within the US and viewing it more as a community-driven phenomenon [8][9]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-12-03 03:01
Indian equities look set for a steady-to-soft open, with traders turning their attention to the RBI’s three-day policy meet kicking off later today. Read for free with your email on what could move markets today https://t.co/WxNqtvFLjl ...
Goldman Says Profit, Dividend Growth to Drive Stocks in 2026
Youtube· 2025-11-28 16:04
Group 1 - The expectation is for US interest rates to decrease to around 3% by mid-next year, which, along with ongoing economic growth and a moderation in the dollar, creates a favorable environment for risk assets and equities [1] - Technology stocks continue to dominate the US market, comprising almost 40% of the index and performing well, but diversification has proven effective this year as the US stock market has underperformed compared to other equity markets, including the UK [2] - There is a broadening out in market performance, although aggregate upside is limited due to high valuations; however, profit and dividend growth are expected to drive equities [3]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-28 10:32
Trading of futures and options on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange was halted by a data-center fault, causing hours of disruption to markets across equities, foreign exchange, bonds and commodities: Here is your Evening Briefing. https://t.co/tYts1iyjN3 ...
Expecting new all-time highs before the end of the year, says 3Fourteen's Warren Pies
CNBC Television· 2025-11-25 21:31
Warren Pies, I bring you in. Um, you say there were some signs of capitulation last week. Tony Pascarella put out a note suggesting the same.Maybe it just looks a little different than historically we're used to. >> Yeah, thanks for having me. Um, yeah, we upgraded equities at the end of last week to overweight and we expect uh new all-time highs.Good chance to surpass 7,000 before end of the year. You know, I'll just give you a few things to think about. our sentiment model which is uh it takes like as man ...
Expecting new all-time highs before the end of the year, says 3Fourteen's Warren Pies
Youtube· 2025-11-25 21:31
Market Sentiment and Performance - The market sentiment has shown signs of capitulation, with extreme pessimism registered in sentiment models, particularly indicated by a spike in inverse ETF volume, which is often associated with near-term market bottoms [2][3] - The S&P 500 index experienced a pullback of over 5%, while the median stock was down more than 16% from its 52-week high, suggesting a deeper correction than the index reflects [4] - The Russell 2000 index has gained 10.7% year-to-date, indicating a positive trend, although it is sensitive to interest rate movements [8][9] Economic Outlook - There is an expectation for new all-time highs in equities, with a strong end-of-year performance anticipated due to seasonal factors and improved earnings forecasts [1][5][6] - The current economic environment is seen as conducive for gold investments, with predictions of a strong year ahead for gold driven by potential changes in the Federal Reserve's leadership and policy direction [10][12] Investment Strategy - The Russell 2000 is viewed as a rates bet, requiring a favorable trajectory for interest rates and robust economic growth for continued performance [9] - Despite the positive outlook for equities, caution is advised regarding where to allocate investments, with gold being highlighted as a strong hedge in the current market environment [10][11]
ICE Futures Europe President on Market Positioning
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-24 12:56
Group 1 - The central bank positioning, particularly by the Fed, Bank of England, and ECB, is supporting valuations across equities and fixed income [1]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-21 01:44
Investment Strategy - JPMorgan favors rotating from Chinese equities into Indian stocks [1] Market Analysis - India's strong domestic market and policy support offset its high valuations [1] - South Asian nation's market shows resilience [1]
X @TylerD 🧙♂️
TylerD 🧙♂️· 2025-11-20 00:33
RT geebz (@0xGeebz)the breakout product of 2026perpifying equities and ETFs, biting into the retail side of 0DTEs which make up 50-60% of total volumethe floodgates are just beginning to open ...