This is a major breakthrough for the war in Gaza, which has drawn out for two years. We're very close to a deal in the Middle East. >> Hamas is agreeing to release all of the remaining living hostages.It is estimated that there are as many as 20 hostages still living in Gaza. They could be released as soon as Monday. And in return, Israel is going to release as many as 1,700 Palestinian prisoners.This is very controversial for both sides, but they're hoping this is the first step toward a lasting peace. Thi ...

>> THIS IS BLOOMBERG DAYBREAK: EUROPE. VERY GOOD MORNING TO YOU. LET'S SET YOUR AGENDA.AFTER TWO LONG YEARS OF WAR, DONALD TRUMP SAYS ISRAEL AND HAMAS HAVE AGREED TO TERMS THAT WOULD FREE ALL HOSTAGES IN GAZA. ISRAEL TO RETREAT AS PART OF THE PEACE PLAN. CHINA REOPENS FROM THE GOLDEN WEEK HOLIDAY.AI BOOM IN JAPAN. FRENCH PRESIDENT EMMANUEL MACRON SAYS HE WILL NAME A NEW PRIME MINISTER BY TOMORROW NIGHT AFTER AVOIDING SNAP ELECTIONS FOR NOW. WE BRING YOU LIVE COVERAGE AND REACTION THROUGHOUT THE HOUR.VERY GO ...

Europe’s leaders may think a peace deal is urgent, but a majority of Israelis and Palestinians think it is either unfeasible or undesirable https://t.co/I8E04Jaoa1 ...

🇺🇸 TRUMP JUST SAID HE WILL HAVE TO SIT IN A ROOM WITH ZELENSKIY AND PUTIN.UKRAINE-RUSSIA PEACE DEAL = BULLISH ...

UK and allies ready to back Ukraine before and after peace deal https://t.co/rOsgpantDL ...

Trade Policy & Tariffs - US imposed a 50% tariff on imports from India, doubled from an initial 25%, as a punitive measure for India's purchase of Russian oil [1] - The tariff increase aims to pressure Russia economically to reach a peace deal with Ukraine [1][3] - US and India have not reached a bilateral trade deal despite multiple negotiation rounds [3] - The tariff applies to goods like textiles, electronics, machinery, gems, and jewelry [4] - Key exports like pharmaceutical products and smartphones are currently exempt due to separate industry-specific considerations [5][6] Geopolitical Implications - The tariff hike risks pushing India closer to China, especially within the context of the BRICS economic alliance (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) [9][10][11][12][13] - India's relationship with China and Russia is interconnected within a complex trade network [11] - Brazil also faces a 50% tariff, highlighting the BRICS relationship's relevance [13] Impact on Russia-Ukraine Conflict - The tariff is part of a broader pressure campaign on Russia to negotiate a peace deal with Ukraine [3][14] - Russia expects India to continue buying Russian oil despite the tariffs [15] - Ukrainian officials state that Russia has shown no signs of wanting to end the war and that strong sanctions and tariffs are needed [16][17] - Russia has reportedly entered a new region of Ukraine, indicating continued conflict [18] - There are conflicting reports regarding potential concessions from Russia in peace talks [20][21]

Geopolitical Risk - The analysis focuses on the challenge of ensuring Russia adheres to a potential peace agreement with Ukraine and prevents future aggression [1] - The critical unknown factor is identified as Vladimir Putin's mindset, highlighting the unpredictability and risk associated with his decision-making [1]

Moderator of Meet the Press, Kristen Welker, just sat down exclusively with French President Emanuel Mcronone just moments ago following those lengthy peace talks at the White House today. She pressed him on that hot mic moment with President Trump that we saw earlier and whether a ceasefire needs to be reached to hold the trilateral meeting and the role French and American troops could play in the effort to maintain peace. Take a listen.President Trump was overheard on a microphone talking to you and he sa ...

Geopolitical Implications - The U S signals increased openness to providing security guarantees for a potential peace deal in Ukraine [1] - White House officials confirm these assurances will be discussed in an upcoming meeting [1]

Ukraine-Russia Conflict & Diplomacy - The report analyzes the potential outcomes of a White House summit regarding the Ukraine-Russia conflict, focusing on whether it will lead to peace or appeasement [1] - Concerns are raised that President Trump's approach to foreign policy, characterized by personal instinct and tactical impulse, could result in a defeat for Ukraine, impacting his presidency [1] - The analysis suggests that Russia seeks to prevent Ukraine from becoming a Western-aligned country [6] - A key concern is whether the US will provide security guarantees to Ukraine, ensuring its sovereignty against Russian influence [6][7] - The worst-case scenario involves Ukraine making territorial concessions (giving up the Donbas region) without receiving sufficient security guarantees in return [9][10] - The report highlights the importance of Western countries (US and Europe) presenting a united front with Ukraine, even if it involves difficult concessions [13] Geopolitical Implications - The situation is viewed as a great power competition, reminiscent of the pre-World War I era [17] - The report contrasts Trump's "great powers" approach, similar to Kissinger's, with Brzezinski's focus on smaller countries as geopolitical pivots [24][25] - The analysis emphasizes the significance of supporting Ukraine as an individual country with its own aspirations to be part of Europe [27] - China is observing the West's response to the conflict, assessing the willingness to stand up for smaller countries against larger aggressors [15]