The Israelis hope that as winter sets in and Gazans start asking why reconstruction has not begun, a new Palestinian security force can oversee Hamas’s disarmament. But what if that doesn’t happen? https://t.co/WAAP3fDB2F ...

And if they don't disarm, we will disarm them and it'll happen quickly and perhaps violently. >> But they will disarm. Do you understand me.>> On Gaza, how long will it take Hamas to disarm. And can you guarantee that is going to happen. >> Well, they're going to disarm. Uh, and because they said they were going to disarm, and if they don't disarm, we will disarm them.>> How you do that. >> I don't have to explain that to you, but if they don't disarm, we will disarm them. They know I'm not playing games.Th ...

Gaza, how long will it take Hamas to disarm. And can you guarantee that is going to happen. Well, they're going to disarm. Uh, and because they said they were going to disarm, and if they don't disarm, we will disarm them.How will you do that. I don't have to explain that to you, but if they don't disarm, we will disarm them. They know I'm not playing games.Okay. Now, we did something monumental. We got the hostages back.That was the first thing we had to do above all else. Get the hostages back. Now they m ...

Key Points of the Peace Deal - The peace deal, a 20-point plan developed by Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, is considered overwhelmingly pro-Israel and addresses Israel's war aims [2] - A key condition of the plan is a 72-hour deadline for the release of all hostages [2] - The plan involves the demilitarization of Gaza, removal of weapons from Hamas, and exile of Hamas leaders [2][3] - Israel would need to make concessions, including withdrawal and the release of some security prisoners [3] - The plan envisions a possible future pathway to a Palestinian state and a role for a reformed authority in the governance of Gaza [3][4] Pressure and Middle East Dynamics - The major pressure is on Hamas, as Middle Eastern leaders are reportedly fed up with Hamas's destabilizing actions [4] - The agreement aims to end the war by putting pressure on Hamas, uniting disparate states, including those not aligned with Israel [5] - The Trump administration demonstrated a willingness to use force in the Middle East, which contributed to the credibility of the peace process [6][7] Disarmament and Future Challenges - A key aspect of the 20-point plan is the disarmament of Hamas, which is considered essential to Israel's security [19] - Disarming Hamas is seen as a significant challenge, as it goes against the organization's core identity [19][20] - The success of the plan hinges on whether Hamas can be effectively disarmed, potentially requiring strong intervention from Qatar and Turkey [21][22]

An Arab diplomat involved in the talks argues that Hamas will only accept a ceasefire if the language about disarmament is so vague as to be unenforceable https://t.co/asqWkqMfiX ...

Diplomats need to find language on disarmament that will satisfy both Israel and Hamas. If their proposal is too credible, Hamas may balk. If it is not credible enough, it risks imperilling other parts of the plan https://t.co/y8sh2wsiDW ...

I want to make sure it's clear that uh what Hamas has agreed to and what Hamas is not mentioning in this deal. So they are agreeing to release the hostages living and dead and to no longer rule the Gaza Strip. But they did not however talk about the tunnels. They did not talk about disarmament.They seemed to imply that involved in a consensus discussion about the future role of uh governance in Gaza. It is possible that uh those conditions are being discussed directly with mediators but in this discussion t ...

Geopolitical Landscape - Israel praises Lebanese government's effort to disarm Hezbollah, signaling potential de-escalation if Beirut succeeds [1] - Israel and Lebanon remain technically at war, but the regional conflict has shifted dynamics within Lebanon [2] - The US is mediating towards a broader deal involving Lebanon, Syria, and Israel, aiming for security arrangements rather than full peace [6][7] Hezbollah and Disarmament - Lebanese government's announcement to fully disarm Hezbollah is a major development [1] - Israel inflicted damage on Hezbollah, potentially altering the power dynamic in Lebanon [3] - Hezbollah leader is defiant, stating they won't fully disarm unless Israel fully withdraws, highlighting a sequencing issue [5] Potential Outcomes and US Role - The US is invested in stabilizing the region and supports the Lebanese government's decision [4] - The US is hoping for a broad deal across Lebanon and Syria with Israel, focusing on security arrangements [6] - A non-belligerent deal or security arrangements could be a welcome development on multiple fronts of the regional war [7]

Geopolitical Landscape - Israel is reportedly willing to initiate troop withdrawals from Lebanon, contingent on the Lebanese government's implementation of a plan to disarm Iran-backed Hezbollah by the end of the year [1]

Lebanon's new president is under pressure to completely disarm Hezbollah, but the Iran-supported militant group has made clear it won’t back down without a fight https://t.co/5YUHAkvNe8 ...