Geopolitical Impact on Markets - US-Iran tensions initially caused market anxiety, but a ceasefire was announced, leading to a market rally [1][2][22] - Historical data suggests that major US war events typically trigger short-term market dips, followed by bull markets [7] - Macroeconomic or geopolitical shocks often lead to a significant drawdown in the stock market, but recovery is typical, with a median recovery time of 17 days [9][10] Cryptocurrency Market Dynamics - Bitcoin experienced a dip during the initial strike but recovered, highlighting its 24/7 global and liquid nature [3][4] - Bitcoin's volatility is expected, with a 5% dip considered normal, and it has shown significant growth over the past 90 days (up 15%) and year (up over 50%) [4][5] - Altcoins are also showing signs of recovery, with investors being bullish on certain ecosystems like SUI [11] Monetary Policy and Asset Inflation - Global M2 money supply is expanding, which historically correlates with asset inflation, including Bitcoin, with an 80% correlation over time [8] - The US stock market's price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) is currently at 40x, indicating it is overvalued compared to historical averages and other developed/emerging markets [14] - The Federal Reserve has ended reputational risk oversight, easing crypto banking restrictions, which is considered bullish for the crypto market [13] Industry Developments and Opportunities - Delorean Motor Company (DMC) is launching a crypto on the SUI network, with an airdrop of over 15 million DMC tokens [11][12] - Hedge fund veterans are planning a $100 million BNB Treasury bet, indicating institutional interest in Binance's token [24] - VChain is experiencing growth, with 27 million addresses and 20 million actions [23]

On the Middle East. The latest headlines coming from the president of the United States posting on truth social, acknowledging what we all sort of knew just a few moments ago here that the attack by Iran onto U.S. assets in Qatar, that most of those missiles had been intercepted. No casualties, no physical damage.No, exactly right. This kind of limited impact, if you will. But what's interesting is investors just the risk on trade, building momentum in these last few minutes of trading.I keep refreshing my ...

Shares of ExxonMobil (XOM -2.58%) were up as much as 2% earlier on Monday, before plunging to a 3.1% decline and then recovering slightly to a 2.5% decline to end the trading day.There wasn't any company-specific news today. However, the roller-coaster performance from the largest U.S.-based oil and gas giant came as investors initially feared a potential severe response from Iran to last weekend's bombing of its nuclear facilities by the U.S.But as news came in through the day, it appears the actual respon ...

I guess if you take away the worst case scenario, that's actually helpful for lower oil prices. A couple of things to consider, though. One, Ali McCrossin RBC said over the weekend that she would caution against that knee jerk reaction that, quote, The worst is behind us.Now, the other factor to consider here, irrespective of the supply issue that may or may not happen with Iran is the demand side. So there's been a lot of stockpiling by China, a lot of stockpiling by other countries within the West as well ...

Key focus and themes Global Markets Research Foreign Exchange Asia exJapan/Euro Area/Europe Trump's possible diplomacy; Powell; impending tariffs Which of the following most closely matches your expectations for the IsraelIran conflict over the next two weeks? | Fig. 1: Top five top­conviction strategy trades in order (scale 1­5) | | --- | | ★★★★★ | | | Top 5 FX and Rates Trades | | ★★★★★ | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Countries | Trade | bp move | bp move from | Target | Timeline | Convi ...

J P M O R G A N MENA Emerging Markets Research 20 June 2025 GCC: Large flows through a narrow Strait As tensions rise, the importance of the Strait of Hormuz is once more in the spotlight Risks around the Strait of Hormuz have returned to center stage since the offensive launched by Israel and the Iranian retaliation. Safe passage through the Strait is vital for global hydrocarbon trade and for most of the Middle-East oil producers. About 20% of global oil trade and 30% of seaborne oil trade passes through ...

Futures are muted this morning. This after the US conducted strikes on Iran's nuclear sites for sight insights now on how this could play out in the markets this week. Want to bring in Jeremy Seagull, professor at finance at University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School of Business, also chief economist at Wisdomree.Good morning to you. I think there were a lot of people worried over the weekend about how the markets might react this morning. They seem to be reacting actually quite well.I know that you have b ...

Oil prices are higher this morning, but not nearly as high as they had been overnight in the trading session where we saw WTI uh actually get up close to $79 and Brent even above $80 a barrel. Joining us right now is Josh Young. He's chief investment officer of Bison Interest which focuses on oil and gas investments.And Josh, let's just talk about where we stand. If you look back at a WTI chart over the last month, we're up 20%. So we have seen pretty massive premium that's been built in from where we were ...

>> GOOD MORNING. I AM, CAN IN LONDON. THESE ARE THE WORRIES THAT THAT YOUR AGENDA.THE WORLD AWAITS IRAN'S RESPONSE AFTER THE U.S. HITS NUCLEAR SITES IN THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC. PRESIDENT TRUMP WARNS OF REPERCUSSIONS FOR ANY RETALIATION. PRES.TRUMP: IRAN, THE BULLY OF THE MIDDLE EAST, MUST NOW MAKE PEACE. IF THEY DO NOT, FUTURE ATTACKS WILL BE FAR GREATER AND A LOT EASIER. >> OIL GAINS ON CONCERNS ABOUT SUPPLY DISRUPTION WITH THE FOCUS ON WHETHER IRAN WILL MOVE TO BLOCK THE CRUCIAL STRAIT OF HORMUZ.U.S. AND EUR ...

“Bloomberg: The China Show” is your definitive source for news and analysis on the world's second-biggest economy. From politics and policy to tech and trends, Yvonne Man and David Ingles give global investors unique insight, delivering in-depth discussions with the newsmakers who matter. Chapters: 00:00:00 - Bloomberg: The China Show opens 00:04:33 - World awaits Iran response to US strikes 00:09:11 - BCA Research's Matt Gertken on Middle East tensions 00:17:11 - China condemns Trump's attack on Iran nucle ...