The primary reason that I'm still standing with my #Altcoin portfolio is that I avoid leverage.Crypto is volatility on steroids already.Adding leverage should only be done to hedge your position, not to increase risk.Yes, the #Altcoin portfolio is down 70%; however, in 1 month of sentiment change and we swing it back up in profit.Using leverage, and you don't get a second chance to run it back up.Avoid leverage at all costs. ...

Market Analysis - Crypto market sentiment is currently at peak negative, with the Fear and Greed Index at 10, matching the lows seen in February 2025 [19][25] - The crypto market has experienced a significant downturn, erasing $1.1 trillion in market cap over 41 days, averaging $27 billion per day [10] - Bitcoin has underperformed gold by 25 percentage points since early October, indicating a shift in safe haven asset preference [20][21] - Ether is down 8.5% year-to-date and 35% since October 6th, suggesting a structural bear market despite broader rallies in risky assets [21] Leverage and Liquidation - Excessive leverage, with positions at 20x, 50x, or even 100x, is exacerbating market volatility and liquidation cascades [15][16] - A 2% move at 100x leverage can liquidate a position, leading to a domino effect when millions of traders use high leverage [16] - The market has seen three days with liquidations exceeding $1 billion in the last 16 days, with daily liquidations of $500 million becoming common [19] - A $19.2 billion liquidation spree on October 10th led to the first ever $20,000 Bitcoin daily candlestick [18] External Factors and Sentiment - Despite a pro-crypto administration and positive news, the crypto market is experiencing negative price action [4][5][6][7][12][13] - Institutional outflows in mid to late October have contributed to the downturn, with crypto funds seeing $1.2 billion of outflows in the first week of November [14] - The spread of FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt), such as false claims of Michael Sailor selling Bitcoin, accelerates sell pressure and liquidations [27][28][29][30][31]

Market Activities - A Roobet gambler (0x7B7b) initially shorted $BTC, $XRP, and $ZEC with high leverage, totaling $196 million: 1,555.56 $BTC ($148.5 million at 40x leverage), 12.34 million $XRP ($27.4 million at 20x leverage), and 31,016 $ZEC ($20.4 million at 10x leverage) [1] - The same gambler then shifted strategy, opening a 25x long position on 25,000 $ETH ($78.63 million) with a liquidation price of $3,063.08 [1]

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Market Analysis - Crypto market leverage significantly cleared after the October 10 liquidation, potentially indicating a short-term bottom [1] - BTC price expectations for the next 3–6 months range from $90 thousand to $160 thousand, showing a bullish trend based on options implied distribution [1] Influencing Factors - Potential Fed rate cuts, liquidity easing, and new regulations are cited as medium-term tailwinds [1] - These tailwinds could potentially extend the current market cycle to 2026 [1]

Trading Activity & Risk - The industry notes a trading loss in ZEC (Zcash) [1] - Excessive leverage was used in an attempt to recover losses [1] - The industry acknowledges the high-risk nature of leveraged trading [2] Market Sentiment - The industry expresses a sense of finality and acceptance of the outcome [1] - The industry reflects on the overall experience as "fun" despite the loss [1]

Market Trends & Whale Activity - A whale investor (0xc2a3) closed a $BTC long position with 13x leverage [1] - The same whale partially exited positions in $ETH and $SOL [1] Financial Performance & Losses - The whale investor incurred over $18 million in losses [1] - The whale investor had previously earned $33 million [1]

Market Risk - Over 426 million USD worth of crypto long positions liquidated in the past 24 hours, indicating high market volatility and potential risk for leveraged positions [1] Leverage Management - The report emphasizes the importance of carefully managing leverage in crypto trading [1]

Company Strategy - Metaplanet plans a $500 million Bitcoin-backed leverage and share buyback program [1] - The company believes the market still undervalues its stock [1]