Hello everyone. Inflation just came in ice cold. Kathy Wood warns of incoming deflation.An AI lab just became the fastest growing company ever. And we got data explaining why Bitcoin has been lagging. We're live today from the desk of Anthony Pmpliano.Before we get into today's episode, I need your help. We currently have just over 44,000 subscribers on YouTube. Hit the button to subscribe and let's get into today's episode.All right, ladies and gentlemen, we got the inflation numbers this morning and the e ...

Market Overview - The S&P/TSX composite index increased by 608.43 points, reaching 33,073.71, while the Dow Jones industrial average rose by 48.95 points to 49,500.93. The S&P 500 index saw a modest increase of 3.41 points to 6,836.17, whereas the Nasdaq composite decreased by 50.48 points to 22,546.67 [1][3]. Sector Performance - The basic materials sector experienced gains, potentially driven by investors identifying opportunities following fluctuations in the precious metals market. This sector's performance may also be attributed to investors closing positions after significant short selling [2][3]. Company Highlights - Magna International Inc., an auto parts manufacturer, saw its shares surge by 18.94% after providing guidance for increased profits in 2026 [2]. Inflation Impact - A report indicated that U.S. inflation slowed to 2.4% year-over-year, which, while above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, was an improvement from December's 2.7% rate. This slowdown in inflation could provide the Federal Reserve with more flexibility to consider interest rate cuts [3][4][5]. Market Sentiment - Stock prices on Wall Street stabilized for companies previously viewed as vulnerable to AI disruption, reflecting a market sentiment characterized by rapid reactions to perceived threats [6]. Commodity Prices - The March crude oil contract rose by five cents to US$62.89 per barrel, while the April gold contract increased by US$97.90 to US$5,046.30 per ounce [7].

Market Overview - US stocks experienced a decline heading into the close on Friday, resulting in weekly losses for major indices, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average posting losses of more than 1% and the Nasdaq falling over 2% [1] Inflation Data - Inflation cooled more than expected in January, with the Consumer Price Index indicating a 0.2% increase from the previous month and a 2.4% increase on an annual basis [2] Federal Reserve Expectations - The inflation report is likely to influence expectations regarding Federal Reserve policy, with traders increasing bets on a potential quarter-point rate cut in June, while most anticipate two cuts by the end of 2026 [3] Sector Performance - Concerns about AI disruption affected various sectors, including real estate, logistics, and transportation, leading to significant selling pressure, particularly in technology stocks, with all seven of the "Magnificent Seven" megacaps closing lower [4] Earnings Reports - Applied Materials (AMAT) saw its stock surge due to a positive outlook driven by strong AI demand, while Pinterest (PINS) shares fell after revenue missed expectations, raising concerns about AI risks to its platform [5] - Rivian (RIVN) shares increased by over 25% following a fourth-quarter earnings beat, with the company on track to deliver its R2 midsize model before summer [6] - Moderna (MRNA) shares rose 10% after exceeding quarterly revenue estimates, attributed to strong sales of its Covid vaccine [6]

SCARLET: FROM NEW YORK CITY, I AM SCARLET FU. "BLOOMBERG REAL YIELD" STARTS RIGHT NOW. COMING UP, THE USC CURRENTLY SIGNALING STRENGTH WITH REPORTS SHOWING STRONGER-THAN-EXPECTED JOB GROWTH.THE TWO-YEAR YIELD LOWER. THE AI RACE IS DISRUPTING EVERYTHING FROM PUBLIC TO PRIVATE DEBT. WE BEGIN WITH THE BIG ISSUE, MIXED ECONOMIC LANDSCAPE.>> I THINK THE INFLATION PRINT WAS ENCOURAGING. >> THE LARGER PICTURE IS STILL POSITIVE. QUICK THE ECONOMY LOOKS SOLID. >> THE ECONOMY IS ON A MENTALLY HEALTHY.>> NEARNESS OF G ...

Economic Overview - The U.S. economy is showing signs of strength with stronger-than-expected job growth and encouraging inflation data, leading to a positive outlook [1][3][6] - Despite the positive aggregate economic indicators, underlying consumer conditions remain a concern, suggesting that the reported job growth may be overstated by approximately 60,000 jobs per month [2][5] Interest Rates and Monetary Policy - The two-year yield has decreased to its lowest level since September 2022, influenced by job growth and cooler inflation [3][4] - There is a belief that monetary policy is tighter than necessary, with calls for lower interest rates to support economic growth [5][6] - Traders are pricing in a 50% chance of a third rate cut by December, although some analysts argue that this may be an overreaction to recent data [8][9] Inflation Insights - Inflation remains relatively contained, but core services are contributing to underlying inflation pressures [6][7] - The Federal Reserve is expected to focus on PCE data rather than CPI, with upcoming numbers likely to influence future rate decisions [6][8] - Concerns exist regarding the potential for inflation to persist, particularly as tariffs begin to impact consumer prices [28][30] Global Debt Market Trends - U.S. companies are increasingly engaging in reverse Yankee bond sales, raising significant amounts in non-dollar markets, with strong demand observed [40][42] - Alphabet's recent $5.5 billion sterling deal and Goldman Sachs' €7 billion sale highlight the trend of U.S. firms diversifying their funding sources [41][42] - The current yield environment shows U.S. dollar yields around 4.8%, while euro-denominated yields are approximately 3%, suggesting potential cost advantages for companies issuing in euros [44] Private Credit and Software Sector - The software sector is facing scrutiny due to fears of AI disruption, but some analysts view this as a potential buying opportunity [77][78] - Private credit firms are categorizing investments variably, raising questions about transparency and the actual exposure to software companies [79][80] - Despite concerns, many software companies are performing well, with most loans marked at par, although the evolving AI landscape poses future risks [82]

ROBERTA KING: Welcome back to another episode of In the Money. I'm Roberta King, a Vice President Branch Leader with Fidelity Investments, and I'm looking forward to today's conversation with Tony Zhang. He is a Chief Strategist of OptionsPlay.Tony's also a frequent CNBC guest. Tony, welcome, it's good to be back with you today. TONY ZHANG: Yeah, thank you so much for having me back, Roberta.A lot to discuss in the markets over the last week. ROBERTA KING: I agree. So for our viewers, today is Thursday, Feb ...

Without the White House’s tariff experiment, Trump would almost certainly have lower interest rates and strong inflation-adjusted wages by now, @jonathanjlevin says (via @opinion) https://t.co/8Pqk3lAM6R ...

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2025 Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call February 13, 2026 FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS This presentation includes forward-looking statements, including our expectations regarding the long-term outlook of the commercial real estate transaction market and our positioning within it, our belief relating to the Company's long- term growth, our assessment of the key factors influencing the Company's business outlook, including the expectation for future interest rate cuts or rising inflation and likely im ...

US Treasuries jumped and investors priced in higher expectations that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates three times in 2026 after a reading of US inflation came in below forecasts https://t.co/9Amjtd6X1T ...