Let's bring in our panel. Joining us now, Brookings Institution Economic Studies senior fellow Wendy Edelberg and American Institute for Economic Research Monetary Economics Managing Director Lydia Mashburn Newman. Welcome to you both.Uh Wendy, I mean, I know you haven't kind of been able to dig into the guts of this report, but it seems like a pretty benign reading. Uh how do you feel about it. Yeah, it's frustrating because they haven't even posted the information that I would need to to really um parse a ...

Inflation came in way lower than expectations, which means the Fed should have cut interest rates by 50 basis points. ...

Inflation eased its grip on the American consumer in November, with prices rising 2.7% from a year earlier, the Labor Department said in a Dec. 18 report. The annual inflation rate had crept as high as 3% in September. The slightly lower rate for November reflected smaller price increases for gasoline and new vehicles, among other items. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy items and is watched closely by the Federal Reserve, came in at 2.6% in November – the lowest rate since 2021. ...

US prices rose 2.7% in the year to November, according to federal data released a day after Donald Trump claimed they were falling “very fast” on his watch.The latest consumer price index, released on Wednesday morning, was down from 3% in September, and short of economists’ expectations of about 3.1% for last month.It comes amid questions over the strength of the US economy. The longest US federal government shutdown in history halted collection of key data. There was no inflation report for October, and d ...

JUST IN: 🇬🇧 Bank of England cuts interest rates to 3.75% - the lowest level since early 2023 🚀 https://t.co/tOy54FWNPR ...

The Bank of England cut its policy rate by 25 basis points to 3.75% as of December 18, in line with expectations, from a previous level of 4.00%. The decision met market forecasts, following the bank’s earlier pause in its quarterly rate-cut cycle that had been in place since August 2024. ...

Economic Outlook & Inflation - Vanguard expects a mixed CPI picture with some components trending down, but pressures remain due to tariffs and food prices [2] - Tariffs and a less restrictive Fed than perceived could keep inflation above 2% [10] - The focus for 2026 is expected to shift from inflation to growth [11] Labor Market - The US labor market has effectively stalled and is in a holding pattern due to supply and demand factors [5][6] - Acceleration in retirements and slowed immigration have pushed down the break-even rate [7] - Job growth is strong in occupations with high AI exposure [7] - Younger worker job growth is at historical levels, contradicting some narratives [8] Investment & Growth - AI-related investment will be the ultimate factor influencing the US economy, particularly in the back half of the year, posing an upside risk [4][5] - Investment spending and business confidence will determine the risk to the economy in 2026 [9] - Higher productivity and innovation rates could lead to higher growth without higher rates, similar to the late 1990s [12][13] - A 4% 10-year Treasury yield is possible with stable inflation and a 2.5-3% GDP growth due to increased capacity, not just demand [13][14]

ANNOUNCER: NEWSMAKERS AND MARKET MOVERS. THIS IS "THE PULSE" WITH FRANCINE LACQUA. FRANCINE: GOOD MORNING EVERYONE AND WELCOME.INVESTORS ARE RETREATING FROM TECH AT OF KEY CENTRAL BANK DECISIONS SO WE DISCUSSED IN JUST A MOMENT WITH THE CHIEF EUROPEAN ECONOMIST BUT FIRST, WE STARTED GEOPOLITICS AND THE RUSSIAN INVASION OF THE RAIN. THE PRESIDENT OF THE EUROPEAN COMMISSION SAYS THE E.U. AIMS TO APPROVE FUNDING BY THE END OF THE DAY. FOR LONGER JOINED BY STEPHANIE BAKER . LET'S ALSO BRING IN OLIVER CROOK, BRI ...

FRANKFURT, Germany (AP) — The European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged Thursday for the fourth meeting in a row as the economy in the 20 countries that use the euro increasingly looks strong enough to get by without the stimulus of lower borrowing costs for businesses and consumers. Bank President Christine Lagarde said that while the economy had remained “resilient,” there was too much uncertainty over trade and international conflicts to give any hints about future moves. “We reconfirmed th ...

Sweden’s central bank kept borrowing costs at a three-year low and repeated a plan for no change until 2027 https://t.co/u5XbUfqATO ...