Canadian retail sales are flashing a warning sign of weaker spending by consumers who may be increasingly worried about rising prices and their job prospects https://t.co/0jw3dhNtLM ...

July is a major month for consumer deals, but are the discounts sufficient to lift retail sales and consumer confidence. Well, if current retail sales report is any indication, then consumers are still spending and are a bit less concerned than they were a month or two ago. Consumers ramped up spending more than economists anticipated.A sign of resiliency among American shoppers despite concerns that President Trump's tariffs are weighing on the economy. Retail sales rose by6 month overmonth, reversing a.9% ...

June Retail Sales Beat Expectations As Americans Kept Spending https://t.co/d7A5QHoxuQ ...

Retail Sales Performance - U S Census Bureau报告显示，4月至6月零售额经季节性调整后同比增长4.1% [1] - 消费者需求表现出乎意料的强劲 [1]

June Retail Sales Beat Expectations As Americans Kept Spendinghttps://t.co/MYvjjbIlQf https://t.co/wRMAJpqx8O ...

Market Performance - S&P 500 创下新纪录高位 [1] - 股票受到好于预期的盈利、零售额和首次申请失业金人数的提振 [1]

Bond Market & Yields - The 10-year yield remains stagnant at 446%, mirroring levels from November, indicating a lack of movement in borrowing costs [1] - Despite positive economic data, bond yields experienced an initial rise followed by a slight decrease, influenced by technical factors [4] - Key psychological levels for yields are identified: just under 2% for 2-year, 450% for 10-year, and 500% for 30-year maturities [5] Economic Data & Fed Policy - Retail sales show a healthy rebound, and initial jobless claims hit a three-month low at 221000 [2][3] - Market expectations for Fed funds imply less easing, shifting from over two quarter-point cuts to 170% [3] - Strong economic data initially pushed yields higher, aligning with typical market behavior [4] Dollar Index - The dollar index is nearing a one-month high, approaching the significant psychological level of 100 [7] - Increased interest rates and a decent labor market contribute to the strengthening of the dollar index [6]

Economic Growth - China's second quarter GDP growth was 53%, exceeding expectations of 51% [1] - June's industrial added value above designated size increased by 68% year-on-year, exceeding expectations of 56% [1] Consumption - June's total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 48% year-on-year, falling short of the expected 56% [1] Employment - June's surveyed urban unemployment rate was 50%, meeting expectations [1] Investment - From January to June, urban fixed asset investment increased by 28% year-on-year, falling short of the expected 37% [1]

The UK economy is showing more signs of rebounding from its recent slump, with a jump in June retail sales https://t.co/XGYAL4Dxpf ...

Core Insights - US inflation may be quietly rising as companies gradually pass higher import costs onto consumers, with a focus on upcoming consumer inflation and retail data [1] - The core Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to rise by 0.3% month-over-month in June, the highest increase in five months, with a year-over-year increase projected at 2.9%, marking the first rebound since January [1][2] - Analysts anticipate cumulative inflation pressure as companies adjust pricing in the second half of the year, despite limited tariff transmission reflected in June data [2] Inflation Dynamics - The transmission of price changes is uneven, with certain goods experiencing tariff impacts while service prices remain soft, indicating a mixed inflation landscape [2] - Consumer sensitivity to prices is heightened due to a cooling job market and slowing wage growth, complicating retailers' decisions on price increases [2] - The tug-of-war between corporate pricing strategies and consumer resilience adds complexity to the Federal Reserve's policy decisions, with upcoming meetings set to consider these inflation trends [2] Retail Sales Data - Following the CPI report, the US Commerce Department will release June retail sales data, which is expected to show a slight rebound after two months of decline [3] - Weak consumer spending aligns with a cooling job market, and lackluster retail sales data could support the narrative of a "soft landing" for the US economy [3] - Together, the CPI and retail sales data will provide insights into the current state of the US economy at the intersection of inflation and growth, particularly in light of the evolving tariff policies [3]