We're all going to lose around 2% of our GDP because of the new trade environment. That includes the United States. When I say 2% for somebody, it's 100% of their livelihood.Life here before this particular round was wonderful. We had great relationship. I guess it was February of of last year when everything changed.>> Louise Penny is a Canadian journalist turned author. When she was on tour last year, Penny decided to redirect her US tour dates back to Canada in protest of Trump's tariffs. She's also refu ...

Vi e w p o i n t | +1-212-816-8830 veronica1.clark@citi.com 18 Mar 2026 15:52:31 ET │ 10 pages US Economics FOMC – Powell says core goods prices must slow for Fed to cut rates CITI'S TAKE Upward revisions to real GDP and core inflation, but unchanged median "dots" showing further cuts, imply a dovish reaction function. But in the press conference, Chair Powell sought to play down the inherently dovish SEP, emphasizing that progress on slowing core goods inflation is critical in the Fed's projection for cuts ...

美联储如期维持利率不变 北京时间3月19日凌晨，美联储宣布，将联邦基金利率目标区间维持在3.5%至3.75%不变，符合市场预期。 北京时间3月19日凌晨，美联储宣布， 将联邦基金利率目标区间维持在3.5%至3.75%不变，符合市场预期 。 会后公布的点阵图显示， 美 联储官员维持2026年降息一次、2027年降息一次的预测 。 在随后举行的新闻发布会上， 美联储主席鲍威尔表示，在没有看到通胀取得进展之前，不会考虑降息 。 他还说，下一步是否加息的可能 性已经被提及，不过大多数官员并不认为这会是基本假设。 此外，鲍威尔确认调查期间不会离开理事会。如果主席任期结束时继任者仍未获确认，他将以临时主席身份继续履职，直到新主席获得确 认。 在鲍威尔讲话期间，美元指数延续涨势。金银价格下挫，Wind数据显示，截至18日收盘，现货黄金、COMEX黄金跌超3%，现货白银、 COMEX白银跌超5%。美股三大指数18日集体收跌。截至收盘，道指跌1.63%，纳指跌1.46%，标普500指数跌1.36%。国际油价上涨， WTI原油期货涨超3%，布伦特原油期货涨超6%。 FOMC声明显示，委员们以11-1的投票比例通过此次的利率决定。 ...

北京时间周四凌晨2点，在中东冲突不断升级并引发油价飙升的背景下，美联储联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)发布了最新的利率决议，与市 场预期一致，将联邦基金利率目标区间维持在3.5%至3.75%不变，也是连续第二次会议按兵不动。 美联储3月如期宣布将联邦基金利率目标区间维持 在3.5%至3.75%不变,是连续第二次会议按兵不 动。去年,美联储已分别在连续三次会议 (9月、10 月和12月)上各降息25个基点。 7 美联储决议声明变动 要动前 型号 4 3.5 3.75 3 2.5 2.5 2 1.75 1.5 1 0.5 0.25 0 数据来源: 美联储 | 失业率显示出了 经济方面 | | 失业率近几个月 | | --- | --- | --- | | 一些企稳的迹象。 | | 来基本保持不变。 | | | 中东影响 | 新增" 中东局势 | | | | 发展对经济影响 | | | | 仍具有不确定性。" | | 反对者为斯蒂 | 内部投票 | 反对者仅斯蒂 | | 芬·米兰和克里 | | 芬·米兰一人, | | 斯托弗·沃勒, | | 他倾向于在本次 | | 他们倾向于在本 | | 会议上将联邦基 | | 次会 ...

Three members who favored no cuts in this year moved their diets down to one. The statement goes on to say The implication of developments in the Middle East for the US economy are uncertain and the committee remains attentive to risks to both sides of their mandate. They still see one more cut in 2027.Stephen Myron, the only dissenter he wanted a quarter point cut this time. And from the dots, we discern that he still wants 100 basis points at some point this year. The language about future moves remains t ...

So the Federal Reserve has left rates unchanged uh with this. We had one disscent Steven uh he believes that there should have been a 25 basis point rate cut related to this. He has dissented at every meeting he's been a part of since September of last year.Now in the dot plot, the Federal Reserve still forecasting one rate cut for this year and then one more rate cut for next year and then that's it. No more cuts. We got the economic projections from the Federal Reserve.The members see GDP finishing this y ...

9587. The barrel. I bring in Tom white to take a look here at the big picture.And we'll continue to sort of comb through these headlines that are coming out as well as the federal you know, obviously the Federal Open Market Committee is going to be taking a look. They maintain the projections for one cut in 2026. I think that's very interesting.A lot of folks were hoping for 2 to 3 cuts. Of course, Stephen Myron is the dissenter in favor of a rate cut. You knew that was coming and holding that benchmark rat ...

Tax refunds will pop up in many bank accounts just days after wallets got whacked by another financial shock, a spike in gas prices at the pump. Every corner on a major road offers yet another reminder that it's costing you more to get around. And like it or not, high gas prices end up being a mental stop sign for how much cash people want to blow on something else. Day by day, prices at the pump do a little more to shock you. I even spotted one station at $4.09 a gallon in Ferndale on Wednesday, March ...

You've heard of recession and depression — but what about the "boomcession"? That's the term Matt Stoller has coined for the current state of the economy. A combination of the words "boom" and "recession," the term highlights the disconnect between surging economic data and the financial hardships many Americans are seeing in their daily lives. “Traditionally, the economy is doing really well,” shared Stoller, an antimonopoly advocate and research director at the American Economic Liberties Project, a no ...

贵金属日报 2026-03-17 贵金属 蒋文斌 宏观金融组 从业资格号：F33048844 交易咨询号：Z0017196 电话：0755-23375128 邮箱：jiangwb@wkqh.cn 【行情资讯】 沪金跌 0.86 %，报 1115.40 元/克，沪银跌 1.88 %，报 20528.00 元/千克；COMEX 金涨 0.15 %， 报 5009.50 美元/盎司，COMEX 银涨 0.40 %，报 81.01 美元/盎司； 美国 10 年期国债收益率 报 4.23 %，美元指数报 99.82 ； 1）美国 2025 年四季度 GDP 被大幅下修至 0.7%，部分受政府停摆拖累，但消费韧性仍存。2026 年 1 月美国 PCE 物价指数同比上涨 2.8%，核心 PCE 同比升至 3.1%、环比升至 0.4%，仍显 著高于美联储 2% 政策目标。但密歇根大学消费者调查显示，3 月一年期通胀预期稳定在 3.4%， 而长期预期由 3.3%小幅回落至 3.2%，市场或对通胀持续上行的担忧有限。 2）特朗普表示，伊朗此次报复范围超出预期并暗示可能袭击伊朗哈尔克岛石油设施；同时他 警告北约，若不协助保障霍尔木 ...