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Progressive (PGR) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth
ZACKS· 2026-01-21 16:01
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year increase in earnings for Progressive (PGR) due to higher revenues, with a focus on how actual results compare to estimates impacting stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Progressive is expected to report quarterly earnings of $4.44 per share, reflecting an 8.8% increase year-over-year [3]. - Revenue projections stand at $21.94 billion, indicating a 7.9% rise from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.42% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Progressive is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +0.79% [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - A positive Earnings ESP reading suggests a potential earnings beat, especially when combined with a strong Zacks Rank [10]. - However, Progressive currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, complicating predictions of an earnings beat despite the positive Earnings ESP [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Progressive's actual earnings of $4.05 per share fell short of the expected $5.08, resulting in a surprise of -20.28% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, Progressive has beaten consensus EPS estimates twice [14]. Industry Comparison - W.R. Berkley (WRB), another player in the insurance sector, is expected to report earnings of $1.14 per share, with a year-over-year change of +0.9% [18]. - W.R. Berkley's revenue is projected at $3.75 billion, up 6.9% from the previous year, but its consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.4% [19].
Southwest Airlines (LUV) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: What to Know Ahead of Q4 Release
ZACKS· 2026-01-21 16:01
Core Viewpoint - Southwest Airlines is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues for the quarter ended December 2025, with actual results being a significant factor influencing its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is scheduled for January 28, and if the results exceed expectations, the stock may rise; conversely, a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - The consensus estimate for quarterly earnings is $0.55 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 1.8%, while revenues are projected to be $7.49 billion, an increase of 8% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised 14.06% higher, indicating a positive reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Southwest is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +7.27%, suggesting a bullish outlook on the company's earnings prospects [12]. Earnings Surprise History - In the last reported quarter, Southwest was expected to post earnings of $0.01 per share but actually reported $0.11, resulting in a surprise of +1,000.00% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [14]. Industry Context - In the broader airline industry, American Airlines is expected to report earnings of $0.38 per share for the same quarter, indicating a year-over-year decline of 55.8%, with revenues projected at $14.07 billion, up 3% [18]. - The consensus EPS estimate for American Airlines has been revised down by 29.4% over the last 30 days, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -1.21%, making it challenging to predict a beat on the consensus EPS estimate [19].
Earnings Preview: Meritage Homes (MTH) Q4 Earnings Expected to Decline
ZACKS· 2026-01-21 16:01
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Meritage Homes (MTH) due to lower revenues, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Meritage is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.55 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 67.2% [3]. - Revenues are projected to be $1.51 billion, down 6.7% from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 3.84% over the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Meritage is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -4.89% [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative reading indicates the likely deviation of actual earnings from consensus estimates, with positive readings being more predictive of earnings beats [9][10]. - Meritage's current Zacks Rank is 5 (Strong Sell), complicating predictions of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Meritage was expected to earn $1.71 per share but only achieved $1.39, resulting in a surprise of -18.71% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, Meritage has beaten consensus EPS estimates twice [14]. Industry Context - In the Zacks Building Products - Home Builders industry, NVR is expected to report earnings of $104.96 per share, indicating a year-over-year decline of 25% [18]. - NVR's revenue is projected to be $2.35 billion, down 15.4% from the previous year, with an Earnings ESP of +8.98% despite a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [19][20].
Earnings Preview: General Dynamics (GD) Q4 Earnings Expected to Decline
ZACKS· 2026-01-21 16:01
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for General Dynamics despite higher revenues, with a focus on how actual results compare to estimates impacting stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - General Dynamics is expected to report quarterly earnings of $4.10 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 1.2%, while revenues are projected to be $13.73 billion, an increase of 2.9% from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.05% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a slight positive adjustment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate for General Dynamics is lower than the consensus estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -1.04%, suggesting a bearish outlook [12]. - The stock holds a Zacks Rank of 3, making it challenging to predict an earnings beat conclusively [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, General Dynamics exceeded the expected earnings of $3.73 per share by delivering $3.88, resulting in a surprise of +4.02% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates [14]. Comparative Industry Analysis - Northrop Grumman, a competitor in the aerospace-defense industry, is expected to report earnings of $6.99 per share, a year-over-year increase of 9.4%, with revenues projected at $11.62 billion, up 8.7% [18][19]. - Northrop Grumman's consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.1% higher, and it has an Earnings ESP of +0.54%, indicating a likelihood of beating the consensus estimate [19][20].
Amphenol (APH) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release
ZACKS· 2026-01-21 16:01
The market expects Amphenol (APH) to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended December 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.The earnings report, which is expected to be released on January 28, might help the stock move higher if these key numbers are better ...
Analysts Estimate Axis Capital (AXS) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for
ZACKS· 2026-01-21 16:01
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Axis Capital despite higher revenues, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Axis Capital is expected to report quarterly earnings of $2.93 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 1.4%, while revenues are projected to be $1.64 billion, an increase of 3.5% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.17% over the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4][12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Most Accurate Estimate for Axis Capital is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -0.45%, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Axis Capital exceeded earnings expectations by delivering $3.25 per share against an expected $2.72, achieving a surprise of +19.49% [13]. The company has beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters [14]. Investment Considerations - Despite the potential for an earnings beat, other factors may influence stock performance, making it essential for investors to consider the Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank before the earnings release [15][16].
Beacon Financial (BBT) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth
ZACKS· 2026-01-21 16:01
Beacon Financial (BBT) is expected to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended December 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook gives a good sense of the company's earnings picture, but how the actual results compare to these estimates is a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price.The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on Janu ...
Nucor to Report Q4 Earnings: What's in the Offing for the Stock?
ZACKS· 2026-01-21 15:26
Core Insights - Nucor Corporation (NUE) is scheduled to announce its fourth-quarter 2025 results on January 26, 2026 [1][8] - The company has exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the last four quarters, with an average earnings surprise of approximately 31.4% [2] - Nucor's stock has increased by 42.9% over the past year, compared to a 50.2% growth in the Zacks Steel Producers industry [3] Revenue Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Nucor's fourth-quarter consolidated revenues is $7,768.3 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 9.8% [6] Performance Factors - Lower segment earnings are anticipated to negatively affect Nucor's performance in the December quarter due to seasonal factors and fewer shipping days [7] - The steel mills segment is expected to report decreased earnings driven by lower shipment volumes and margin pressure, particularly in sheet products [7][9] - The steel products segment's earnings are likely to decline due to lower volumes and higher average costs per ton, although improved pricing may partially offset this [9] - The raw materials segment is also expected to see lower profits due to planned outages at Nucor's direct reduced iron facilities [9] Market Conditions - U.S. steel prices have rebounded in the fourth quarter after experiencing lows in the third quarter, with benchmark hot-rolled coil (HRC) prices surpassing $900 per short ton [10] - Higher average selling prices are expected to have supported Nucor's performance, with an estimated average sales price per ton for the steel mills unit at $1,009, indicating a 9% year-over-year increase [11] Earnings Prediction - The current Earnings ESP for Nucor is -0.55%, and the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the fourth quarter is $1.82 [13]
GE Aerospace Set to Report Q4 Earnings: Is a Beat in the Offing?
ZACKS· 2026-01-20 18:48
Core Viewpoint - GE Aerospace is expected to report strong fourth-quarter 2025 results, with revenues projected to grow by 14% year-over-year to $11.26 billion and earnings per share estimated at $1.42, reflecting a 7.6% increase from the previous year [1][9]. Group 1: Financial Performance Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for GE's fourth-quarter revenues is $11.26 billion, indicating a 14% growth from the prior-year quarter [1]. - The consensus estimate for earnings is $1.42 per share, which has increased by 1.4% over the past 60 days, representing a 7.6% growth from the year-ago quarter [1]. - GE has consistently delivered better-than-expected results, with an average earnings surprise of 19.1% over the last four quarters [2]. Group 2: Factors Influencing Performance - Increased utilization of GE's engine platforms in both commercial and defense markets is expected to drive results, with the Commercial Engines & Services segment projected to generate $9.09 billion in revenues, an 18.8% year-over-year increase [3]. - The Defense & Propulsion Technologies business is anticipated to benefit from growing demand for propulsion technologies and aftermarket services, with revenues expected to reach $2.73 billion, reflecting an 8% year-over-year increase [4]. - Significant investments in expanding and upgrading manufacturing facilities are likely to enhance operational capacity and meet rising demand from commercial and defense customers [5]. Group 3: Challenges and Risks - GE has faced high costs and operating expenses on certain projects, which may impact performance [6]. - Supply chain challenges and labor shortages in the aerospace and defense sectors are expected to affect results in the fourth quarter [6]. Group 4: Earnings Predictions - The earnings model indicates a potential earnings beat for GE, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +1.98% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [7][8].
High Expenses & Lower Fee Income Likely to Hurt HBAN's Q4 Earnings
ZACKS· 2026-01-20 18:36
Core Viewpoint - Huntington Bancshares Incorporated (HBAN) is expected to report an increase in fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 revenues and earnings year over year, with key factors including improvements in net interest income and fee income, although rising non-interest expenses may pose challenges [1][9]. Recent Developments - HBAN received shareholder approval for its $7.4 billion all-stock acquisition of Cadence Bank, anticipated to close on February 1, 2026, which will expand its presence in the southern United States [3]. - The company completed a $1.9 billion all-stock merger with Veritex Holdings in October 2025, enhancing its footprint in Texas markets and raising its 2025 net interest income growth outlook to 10%-11% from 8%-9% [4]. Q4 Performance Factors - Loans & NII: The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts are expected to support HBAN's net interest income, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.61 billion, reflecting an 8.6% increase from the previous quarter [6]. - Average total earnings assets are estimated at $203.1 billion, indicating a 5.4% rise from the prior quarter [7]. - Non-Interest Income: Mortgage banking income is projected at $35.5 million, a 17.4% decline from the previous quarter due to stagnant refinancing and origination activity [8]. - Capital markets and advisory fees are expected to rise to $104.3 million, a 10.9% sequential increase, while total non-interest income is estimated at $601.8 million, indicating a 4.2% decline from the prior quarter [11][12]. Expense and Asset Quality - Higher expenses are anticipated due to increased costs from data processing, marketing, and branch expansions, despite some efficiency initiatives [13]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for total non-accrual loans is $896 million, a 10.9% increase from the prior quarter, indicating potential asset quality concerns [15]. Earnings Estimates - The consensus estimate for HBAN's fourth-quarter earnings is 39 cents per share, suggesting a 14.7% rise year over year, with revenues projected at $2.2 billion, reflecting a 12.3% year-over-year increase [17]. 2025 Outlook - Average loans are expected to grow by 8% standalone and 9%-9.5% including Veritex, while average deposits are projected to increase by 5.5% standalone and 6.5%-7% including Veritex [18][19]. - Net interest income is anticipated to rise by 10%-11% year over year, with adjusted non-interest income expected to grow by 7% [19].