US central bank cuts interest rates for third time this yearFollow live https://t.co/0jfoSeNIhj ...

Breaking: The Fed cut rates but signaled reluctance to ease further. Three dissents underscored diverging views on the path forward. https://t.co/XhK0MB8xUk ...

RT unusual_whales (@unusual_whales)BREAKING: The Fed has cut by 25 BPS. ...

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 The US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by another 25 basis points, its third rate cut of the year. https://t.co/u4soXiMSkW ...

🇺🇸 BREAKING: Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve have decided to cut interest rates by 25bps. https://t.co/wkFcEhdZmz ...

🚨 BREAKING: The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates by 25 basis points. https://t.co/aYcisO3PFV ...

RT Bloomberg Opinion (@opinion)LIVE NOW: It’s Fed Day! Policymakers are expected to cut rates by 25 basis points, but what will they signal about the path ahead?🎥 Tune in as @JonathanJLevin joins @Claudia_Sahm and @AllisonSchrager for analysis https://t.co/UP7Z2ybT22 ...

Market Overview - The market is currently experiencing a flat trading session, with the Dow, S&P 500, and Russell 2000 all down in single digits, while the Nasdaq is down by 38 points [1] - A narrow range of trading is expected to continue until after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision on monetary policy [1] Federal Reserve and Interest Rates - The market anticipates a third rate cut of 2025, with a -25 basis point reduction in the Fed funds rate already priced in [2] - There is expected dissension among FOMC members, with some advocating for no change and others, like Fed Governor Stephen Miran, likely supporting a 50 basis point cut [2] - The Fed's reluctance to cut rates is primarily due to ongoing inflation concerns, with the current inflation rate at +3.0% as of September [3][4] Inflation Metrics - The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) shows a year-over-year increase of +3.0%, marking the fifth consecutive month of rising or unchanged rates [4] - A potential increase to +3.3% is anticipated for the upcoming November CPI report, based on historical trends [5] - The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index also reflects elevated inflation at +2.8% in September, up from +2.3% in April [6] Employment Cost Index - The Q3 Employment Cost Index (ECI) has dipped to +0.8%, which is the lowest since Q3 of the previous year, indicating no immediate inflationary pressures [7] Earnings Reports - Chewy (CHWY) reported favorable Q3 results with earnings of 32 cents per share, exceeding expectations, and revenues of $3.12 billion, which also surpassed estimates [8] - J. Jill (JILL) exceeded earnings expectations with 76 cents per share, outperforming the consensus by +31%, although revenues were lower than the previous year [9] - Oracle (ORCL) is expected to report fiscal Q2 earnings growth of +10.88% and revenue growth of +14.84% after the market closes [10] - Adobe Systems (ADBE) is anticipated to report fiscal Q4 earnings growth of +12% and revenue growth of +8.85% [11] - Synopsys (SNPS) is expected to report a decline of -17.94% in earnings but a revenue increase of +37.6% [12]

Economic Concerns & Political Implications - The discussion revolves around the US economy, focusing on affordability, inflation, and wages, with concerns that rising prices are impacting how Americans feel about the economy [2][7][8] - The President's message on the economy is being scrutinized, particularly claims about prices falling and inflation being crushed, with experts pointing out the reality of rising prices [7][8] - Affordability is highlighted as a key political issue, potentially influencing elections, similar to how healthcare impacted the 2018 elections [11][12][13] - Republicans are concerned about the President's messaging discipline, as the public's financial well-being significantly impacts their political fate [13] Trade & Manufacturing - The President defends tariffs, claiming they are reviving Pennsylvania manufacturing and steel production [13][14] - There's debate on whether tariffs are beneficial, with arguments that while raw steel production might be up, the increased cost of steel inputs negatively impacts overall manufacturing [17][18][21] - Economic data from Pennsylvania suggests a mixed picture, with flattened hiring, decreased home sales, and weakened factory activity [19] Policy Impacts & Fed Decisions - The President's policies, including tariffs, immigration policies, and changes to Obamacare, are being blamed for contributing to the affordability crisis [21][22][23] - Small businesses have reportedly shed approximately 250,000 jobs since April, potentially linked to the implementation of tariffs [24] - The Federal Reserve is expected to lower interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point (25 basis points), bringing the total decline this year to three-quarters of a percentage point (75 basis points), but tariff-related inflation may limit further rate cuts [26] - The President is considering candidates for the next Fed chair, with a focus on loyalty and a desire for lower interest rates [28][29][30]

Market Expectation - Financial markets overwhelmingly expect a quarter-percentage-point (0.25%) interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve [1] Market Performance - Major stock indexes were mixed and little changed Wednesday [1]