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X @Anthony Pompliano 🌪
Anthony Pompliano 🌪· 2025-09-18 19:00
From the Desk of Anthony Pompliano0:00 The FED Can’t Make Up Its Mind On Interest Rates5:21 Trump Takes Victory Lap Over Inflation8:26 Eric Jackson Interview From The Independent Investor SummitEnjoy! https://t.co/HCjJLvIcBT ...
Euro Area Inflation Pressures Balanced; Higher Long-end Yields a Concern
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-18 17:21
Group 1: Monetary Policy and Economic Conditions - Monetary accommodation is still influencing the euro area economy following rate cuts between June 2024 and June 2025 [1] - The recent US-EU trading agreement has alleviated pressure to lower rates, while the redirection of cheap goods due to higher US tariffs is expected to reduce prices in the short term [1] - The euro's appreciation against the dollar and other currencies is contributing to disinflation [1] Group 2: Inflation Dynamics - Inflationary pressures may increase in the medium term, with core and services-sector inflation and wage growth remaining above target despite being off their highs [2] - Tight labor markets and increased public spending in Germany and Europe are exerting inflationary pressure, alongside the new EU energy trading regime expected to raise prices [2] - Scope Ratings estimates inflation at 2.1% for this year and 1.9% in 2026, down from 2.4% last year and 5.4% in 2023 [2] Group 3: ECB Rate Outlook - The rating agency does not anticipate further ECB rate cuts this year, with a bias towards easing rather than tightening in the future [3] - The next change in the deposit rate, currently at 2%, will depend on inflation dynamics, US-EU trade relations, economic growth, and exchange rates [3] - The euro has strengthened by 13% against the dollar this year [3] Group 4: Currency and Competitiveness Concerns - A euro exchange rate significantly above 1.20 against the dollar could raise concerns about deflation risks and competitiveness [4] - The euro has gained from uncertainties surrounding US trade and fiscal policy, as well as a US strategy to devalue the dollar for trade rebalancing [4] Group 5: US Policy Impact - US rate cuts and market pressure for more Fed easing may increase pressure on the ECB if diverging rates sustain euro appreciation [5] - A stronger euro, if unchecked, could undermine inflation, potentially pushing it below target and prompting a response from the ECB [5] Group 6: Long-term Yields and Rate Expectations - Scope's baseline indicates higher rates for a longer duration, highlighted by the recent rise in long-term euro area yields, which is a concern for the central bank [7] - Further US rate reductions could de-anchor long-run inflation expectations, leading to increased long-term yields globally and steeper yield curves [7]
X @Anthony Pompliano 🌪
Anthony Pompliano 🌪· 2025-09-18 16:03
The Fed cut interest rates yesterday but there is pure chaos going on internally.Some people wanted to hike rates, while others wanted to cut rates 5 times this year.Insane! https://t.co/0PzYtIXbjU ...
Mohamed El-Erian on why the Fed's messaging is 'a mess'
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-18 15:34
The latest dot plot highlighting the growing division among FOMC members with one member seeing the Fed hiking rates this year. Another who we can probably guess seeing cuts of one and a quarter% over the next two meetings. Joining me now, Muhammad Alerian, Queens College Cambridge president. It's so good to have you here with us in the studio. Muhammad and so I noticed you retweet a comment from Jim Biano, another longtime Fed watcher and investor. and he basically said this meeting was a mess of this late ...
Fed chair admitted he has a 'problem,' Gary Cohn says
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-18 15:22
Monetary Policy & Economic Outlook - 美联储主席承认面临稳定物价(2%的通胀目标)和充分就业的双重困境,通胀高于目标,就业市场疲软 [1] - 美联储降息 25 个基点,被视为风险管理措施,旨在刺激就业增长,但可能加剧通胀 [2][3] - 联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)对未来利率走向存在分歧,部分委员预计年内不再降息,部分预计需要两次降息,年底利率预期约为 36% [4][5] - 就业市场在过去几个月明显疲软,核心通胀率仍接近 3%,高于美联储 2% 的目标 [7] - 经济存在衰退的可能性,可能由无法预见的“黑天鹅”事件引发 [9][10] Chip Manufacturing & AI - 美国必须成为芯片制造商,不能依赖其他国家,新冠疫情暴露了供应链的脆弱性 [14] - 美国政府鼓励国内芯片制造是件好事,芯片对于国家安全至关重要,例如导弹需要 300 多个芯片 [16][17] - 人工智能资本支出巨大,大量资金投入到数据中心建设中,预计未来 3-5 年内数据中心将陆续投入使用 [19] - 人工智能将走向企业级解决方案,各种人工智能程序将协同工作,需要更连贯的数据和数据库支持,这将引领量子革命,预计到本十年末,量子技术将成为重要组成部分 [20][21]
X @BSCN
BSCN· 2025-09-18 15:02
RT BSCN (@BSCNews)FED’S 0.25 RATE CUT AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR CRYPTO- The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 25 basis points on Sept. 17, its first cut since December, but crypto barely moved, as markets had already priced it in.- $BTC traded between $115K and $116K before the announcement. Hours later, it dipped under $115K, then bounced near $117K.- $ETH slipped from $4,600 to $4,430 before reclaiming $4,620. A quick swing, but nothing sustained. Analysts say the cut was “baked in” well before Powell ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-18 14:16
The confrontation comes as Trump seeks to reshape the Fed to be more amenable to his demands to lower interest rates. Here's what to know https://t.co/oDO9o8adzW ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-18 12:38
Hassett offers an endorsement of the Fed’s decision to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, even after Trump and his allies had pressed for a bigger reduction https://t.co/8Xs9silHQJ ...
The Fed cut rates: Here are some ETF plays to look at
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-18 12:01
Well, stocks do typically perform better in the wake of cuts from the Federal Reserve. My next guest has a playbook for how ETF investors can potentially take advantage of any postcut bump. Marissa Anel, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, head of ETF investment strategies, joining me uh now on set for this week's ETF report brought to you by Invesco QQQ.Marissa, thanks for being here. >> Thanks for having me. >> So, I I guess first of all to set the table, we should talk about what the Fed is going to do today ...
BOE Keeps Rates Unchanged, Slows QT Pace to £70 Billion
Bloomberg Television· 2025-09-18 11:29
Interest Rate Policy - Bank of England maintains interest rates at 4% [1] Quantitative Tightening (QT) - Bank of England slows the pace of QT to £70 billion [1] Bond Market Strategy - Bank of England will sell fewer long-term gilts, with long-dated bonds accounting for approximately 20% of sales [1] Global Bond Market - Adjustments to central bank balance sheets and the handling of long-term rate issuance are occurring globally [2]