Small deep value individual investor, with a modest private investment portfolio, split approx. 50%-50% between shares and call options. I have a B.Sc. in aeronautical engineering and over 6 years of experience as an engineering consultant in the aerospace sector. The latter statement is not relevant in any way whatsoever to my investment style, but I thought to add it for self-indulgent purposes. I have a contrarian investment style, highly risky, and often dealing with illiquid options. How illiquid? Well ...

Group 1 - The article discusses the challenges faced by market participants, including traders, medium-term speculators, and buy-and-hold investors, particularly in identifying the right time to buy stocks [1] - It highlights the tendency for average stock purchasers to buy stocks that are already overbought, leading to potential losses when prices drop [1] - The article emphasizes the importance of actionable trading and investing ideas, as well as community interaction for better decision-making [1] Group 2 - David H. Lerner is identified as an analyst with a decade of experience in software consulting and technology, focusing on market trends and trade ideas [2] - The analyst employs a combination of technical analysis and market psychology to achieve outsized returns, indicating a strategic approach to investing [2] - A trading style known as "Cash Management Discipline" is utilized to hedge against market volatility, reflecting a risk management strategy [2]

Core Insights - United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) has experienced significant stock losses exceeding 35% over the past year, indicating a period of technical weakness for the stock [1] - Despite the technical challenges, the current valuation of UPS is considered too attractive to overlook, suggesting potential investment opportunities [1] Company Analysis - The stock's performance has been notably poor, with a decline of over 35% in the last year, which may continue in the short term [1] - The analysis indicates that the valuation metrics for UPS have reached a level that may present a buying opportunity for investors [1]

For a very long time, and largely influenced by my traditional academic training plus years in fundamentals-based equity research, I ignored the benefits of basic technical analysis — a.k.a. "witchcraft" in the world of portfolio management. Today, I think that obeying a couple of simpleDaniel Martins is the founder of independent research firm DM Martins Research. The firm's work is centered around building more efficient, easily replicable portfolios that are properly risk-balanced for growth with less do ...

Charlie Munger’s Strategy: Buy Quality Stocks at the 200-Week MACharlie Munger’s Lessons to BuffettWarren Buffett is widely regarded as the most prolific and successful value investor of all time in most Wall Street circles. However, Buffett did not achieve success on his own. His best “investment” decision was probably his teaming up with Charles Munger. Munger, who passed away in November 2023 at 99 years old, was Buffet’s best friend and was full of comedic charm, wisdom, experience, and investment knowl ...

Group 1 - The investor has a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a portfolio split of approximately 50%-50% [1] - The investment strategy involves buying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are purchasing shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, primarily using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] - The investor conducts professional background checks on insiders who purchase shares after sell-offs to ensure credibility [1] - The investment timeframe typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, indicating a medium-term investment horizon [1]

Core Insights - Boeing Co. has expanded its order pipeline significantly with five major deals in a span of ten days, indicating strong demand for its aircraft [1] Group 1: Recent Orders - Malaysia Aviation Group has ordered 30 Boeing 737 MAX aircraft, including options for 30 more, to modernize its fleet and enhance passenger experience in Southeast Asia [2] - Japan Airlines has placed an order for 17 additional Boeing 737-8s, nearly doubling its backlog for the 737 MAX [3] - Korean Air finalized an order for up to 50 widebody aircraft, including 20 each of 777-9 and 787-10 jets, with options for 10 more 787 Dreamliners, marking its largest order from Boeing [4] - The U.S. Army Special Operations Aviation Command has ordered five additional MH-47G Block II Chinook helicopters, bringing the total under contract to 51 [5] - BOC Aviation has ordered 50 Boeing 737-8 jets to support global airlines, expanding its 737 MAX portfolio [6] Group 2: Technical Analysis - Boeing's stock closed at $170.55, below its eight and 50-day moving averages, with near-term support at $167.02 and $167.67 [7] - The relative strength index is at 48.92, indicating a neutral zone, while the MACD momentum indicator shows a bullish trend [8] - Boeing's stock has faced challenges in 2024 due to safety concerns, production halts, and delivery shortfalls, leading to financial strain [8] Group 3: Price Action and Analyst Ratings - Boeing's stock fell 0.33% in premarket trading, with a year-to-date decline of 0.77% and a 10% drop over the past year [9] - Benzinga Edge Stock Rankings show positive medium and long-term price trends for Boeing, but a weak short-term outlook, with a solid momentum ranking at the 67.79th percentile [10] - Analysts have a consensus "hold" rating for Boeing, with an average price target of $201.63, suggesting a potential upside of 2.55% [11]

Core Insights - Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) is experiencing strong upward momentum, trading at $57.31, above its 200-day SMA of $51.23 and 50-day SMA of $51.41, indicating a bullish trend [1][2] - The company has achieved an 11.9% rise in stock price over the past six months, significantly outperforming the industry, which declined by 5.9% [3] - The energy drinks segment reported a 4.5% year-over-year increase in net sales in Q4 2024, with currency-adjusted growth at 7.6%, reflecting strong brand positioning and product innovation [7] Financial Performance - Monster Beverage's gross margin improved year-over-year due to lower input costs, despite challenges from an unfavorable geographical sales mix [8] - The company has seen record sales driven by international market momentum, with notable growth in Europe, Asia-Pacific, and Latin America [10] - The Alcohol Brands segment faced challenges, with a decline in sales due to weaker craft beer demand, impacting overall profitability [11][12] Operational Resilience - Despite weather-related disruptions, Monster Beverage maintained strong growth across key retail channels, showcasing operational resilience [9] - The company is exploring opportunities for its alcohol products in international markets, further expanding its portfolio beyond energy drinks [10] Cost Management - Adjusted operating expenses increased year-over-year due to higher impairment charges in the Alcohol Brands segment and elevated payroll and sponsorship costs [13] - The increase in operating expenses as a percentage of sales may continue to pressure overall profitability [13] Strategic Outlook - Monster Beverage is well-positioned for potential upside, supported by its strong brand portfolio and long-term growth strategies [14] - Ongoing strategic initiatives and product expansion efforts provide a positive outlook, despite recent stock fluctuations [14]

Group 1 - The investor has a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a portfolio split of approximately 50%-50% [1] - The investment strategy involves buying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are purchasing shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, primarily using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] - The investor conducts professional background checks on insiders who purchase shares after sell-offs to ensure credibility [1] - The investment timeframe typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, indicating a medium-term investment horizon [1]

Small deep value individual investor, with a modest private investment portfolio, split approx. 50%-50% between shares and call options. I have a B.Sc. in aeronautical engineering and over 6 years of experience as an engineering consultant in the aerospace sector. The latter statement is not relevant in any way whatsoever to my investment style, but I thought to add it for self-indulgent purposes. I have a contrarian investment style, highly risky, and often dealing with illiquid options. How illiquid? Well ...