Market Trend - BTC is expected to establish a multi-thousand dollar range [1] - Altcoins are expected to provide high beta upside when BTC dips to the range low [1] Trading Strategy - Buying altcoins when BTC trades to the range low is considered an "easy game" [1] - The BTC range will be nice to trade [1]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: Traditional Brokers and Asset Managers in China - **Performance**: Nearly 20 traditional brokers have pre-announced strong earnings growth of over 50% year-on-year (yoy) for the first half of 2025, primarily driven by increased revenue from brokerage and investment banking activities due to heightened capital market engagement [1][7] Company-Specific Insights CICC (China International Capital Corporation) - **Earnings Growth**: CICC pre-announced a yoy net profit after tax (NPAT) growth of 55% to 78% for 1H25, aligning with Goldman Sachs' estimate of 55% [1][9] - **Forecast Adjustments**: 2025 earnings forecasts for CICC have been revised upward by 3%, with new A/H target prices set at Rmb 36.88 and HKD 20.1 based on target P/E multiples of 22x and 11x respectively [9][40] - **Market Position**: CICC holds a significant market share in the IPO pipeline, accounting for one-third of the market in both deal number and size, which is expected to drive strong investment banking revenue growth in 2025 [9] East Money - **Earnings Forecast**: Despite a 3% upward revision in the 2025 earnings forecast, East Money is rated as a Sell due to structural challenges in fund distribution and anticipated downside risks to earnings estimates, with NPAT forecasts for 2025 and 2026 being 5% and 11% below consensus [2][21] - **Market Challenges**: The company faces growth constraints due to the impact of ETFs and regulatory fee reductions, leading to a projected decline in retail trading flow [21] Hundsun - **Preliminary Results**: Hundsun reported a 1H25 revenue of Rmb 2.4 billion, reflecting a yoy decline of 15%, but a significant profit increase of 740% due to a low base last year and improved investment income [22] - **Forecast Revisions**: 2025 core revenue and net profit estimates have been revised down by 4% and 3% respectively, but medium-to-long-term growth opportunities are anticipated as brokers recover profitability [23][40] FUTU and TIGR - **Valuation Recovery**: Both companies have seen significant rebounds in forward P/E valuations, driven by the stablecoin narrative and improved trading activity in the Hong Kong market [3][29] - **Earnings Forecasts**: NPAT forecasts for FUTU and TIGR have been revised upward by an average of 6% for 2025-2027, with new target prices set at US$124.89 for FUTU and US$3.66 for TIGR [30][40] - **Market Ratings**: Despite positive adjustments, both companies maintain Neutral/Sell ratings due to elevated valuations and limited potential for significant earnings outperformance [32][40] Market Dynamics - **Trading Activity**: The Hong Kong equity market has shown increased vibrancy, contributing to enhanced profitability for brokers with higher exposure to this market [8][13] - **ETF Impact**: The sustained increase in ETF market share continues to weigh on wealth management income growth, affecting traditional brokers and fintech companies alike [15][21] Conclusion - **Investment Recommendations**: - **Buy**: CICC-H due to its strong market position and growth potential - **Sell**: East Money due to structural challenges - **Neutral/Sell**: FUTU and TIGR due to high valuations and limited earnings growth potential - **Buy**: Hundsun, as it is expected to benefit from the recovery in broker profitability despite short-term challenges [40][55]

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Core Points - Bitget has officially opened registration for the KCGI 2025 competition, featuring a total prize pool of 6 million USDT, making it one of the most anticipated trading competitions of the year [2][3] - The competition includes new segments and early bird rewards, encouraging early registration as a strategic advantage [2][3] - KCGI 2025 aims to elevate competition through enhanced challenge modes, regional leaderboards, and incentives for participants ranging from strategic leaders to newcomers [2][3] Prize Pool and Rewards - The total prize pool of 6 million USDT includes various VIP experiences provided by Bitget partners, such as passes for La Liga matches and MotoGP events, emphasizing the importance of both trading skills and bold strategies [3] - Early registrants will unlock exclusive benefits, including trading bonuses, participation in mystery prize draws, and priority for team captain positions [3] Competition Structure - The competition features four high-risk event categories: team battles, copy trading duels, robot trading competitions, and on-chain arenas, each designed to test different trading skills [4] - The team battle segment will officially start on July 24, 2025, highlighting the importance of early action for participants [5] Company Background - Bitget, established in 2018, is a leading cryptocurrency exchange and Web3 company serving over 120 million users across more than 150 countries [7] - The company is known for its innovative copy trading features and offers a non-custodial cryptocurrency wallet, supporting over 130 blockchains and millions of tokens [7] - Bitget has strategic partnerships to promote cryptocurrency, including being the official crypto partner for La Liga in East Asia, Southeast Asia, and Latin America [7]

Market Performance - Wall Street experienced solid gains in June, with the S&P 500 rising 4.4%, the Dow Jones up 3.66%, and the Nasdaq climbing 6% [1] - The rally was primarily driven by a tech boom, despite geopolitical tensions, particularly between Israel and Iran, which initially pushed oil prices higher [1] - The United States Oil Fund (USO) increased by 9% over the month, reflecting the surge in crude prices [1] Economic Data - U.S. economic data showed mixed results, with inflation rising slightly to 2.4% in May, below expectations of 2.5% [2] - The U.S. economy contracted at an annualized rate of 0.5% in Q1 2025, marking a sharper decline than the previously estimated 0.2% drop [2] - Retail sales fell by 0.9% in May, following a modest decline of 0.1% in April, amid ongoing economic uncertainty [2] Corporate Developments - Coinbase shares surged approximately 42% over the past month due to its entry into the stablecoin market and optimism around crypto trading volumes [4] - NVIDIA's stock rallied over 13%, driven by strong earnings and resilience despite new export bans to China [4] Global Monetary Policy - The Bank of Japan announced plans to gradually slow its bond purchases starting April 2026, aiming to reduce Japanese Government Bond (JGB) purchases to around 2 trillion yen per month by early 2027, down from 3 trillion yen [5] ETF Performance - GraniteShares Platinum Trust (PLTM) increased by 23.2%, driven by supply shortages and rising Chinese imports, with platinum surging more than 50% in 2025 [7] - PLUS Korea Defense Industry Index ETF (KDEF) rose by 21.7%, reflecting a surge in Korean defense stocks due to major international contracts [8][9] - ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) gained 20.3%, with standout performers including Coinbase and Roblox [10] - CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI) increased by 19%, with top holdings IREN Ltd. and Core Scientific jumping 62.8% and 55.8% respectively [11] - Global X Hydrogen ETF (HYDR) rose by 18.6%, benefiting from advancements in hydrogen technology and supportive policies for clean energy [12]