Key Metrics - Pendle 平台月收入达到 425 万美元 [1] - 总锁仓价值 (TVL) 达到 42.5 亿美元，分布在 150 个资金池中 [1] Market Trends & Products - Treasury 管理者通过 PT (Principal Token) 代币锁定稳定币，获得 15% 的固定收益，为期 6 个月 [1] - 21Shares 在瑞士交易所推出 Pendle ETP (交易所交易产品)，满足机构对收益确定性的需求 [1] - 交易者购买有折扣的 PT 代币，以在到期时获得全部本金和锁定的收益 [1] Industry Positioning - Pendle 正在构建加密领域所需的固定收益市场 [1]

Core Insights - Vanguard has introduced two new dynamic asset allocation fixed income model portfolios aimed at various investor profiles, enhancing their existing offerings in fixed income investment strategies [1][2] Group 1: New Model Portfolios - The new portfolios are designed to meet diverse client needs, focusing on income generation and tax management while adhering to Vanguard's low-cost investment philosophy [2] - The two new models are the "Risk Diversification Tax-Aware Model" and the "Income Focused Model," each tailored for specific investment goals [5] Group 2: Risk Diversification Tax-Aware Model - This model is suitable for investors seeking risk diversification with an emphasis on after-tax returns, particularly beneficial during equity market downturns [5] - It focuses on high-quality credit and municipal bonds, adjusting allocations semi-annually based on the Vanguard Capital Markets Model (VCMM) forecasts [5] Group 3: Income Focused Model - The Income Focused Model targets investors looking for higher income levels as interest rates decline, incorporating increased exposure to credit, emerging markets, and below investment-grade bonds [5] - This model aims to maximize yield opportunities beyond the broad U.S. fixed income market and adjusts allocations quarterly according to VCMM forecasts [5] Group 4: Vanguard's Expertise - The model portfolios leverage the expertise of Vanguard's Fixed Income Group, which is adept at navigating the complexities of bond markets, including various sub-sectors and international bonds [3]

Hello and welcome to cbc. com. I'm Frank Colin, anchor worldwide exchange.We are looking at ETF net inflows for the year that are now over $1 trillion. And I'm joined by Todd Rosenluth of Vetify to talk about all the action in ETFs. Todd, thank you so much for joining us.>> It's a pleasure to be with you. >> All right, based on the pace that we're at, we're at 1.06% trillion according to your data. We're well on pace to pass last year's record of 1.12% trillion.What does that say about ETFs and investor app ...

Core Insights - Dipping mortgage rates are linked to improving sentiment among bond investors, particularly in mortgage bonds, creating opportunities for the Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities Index Fund ETF Shares (VMBS) [1] - Declining interest rates are making real estate more affordable, potentially revitalizing the housing industry as the spread between 30-year mortgage rates and the 10-year Treasury rate narrows [2] - The VMBS fund offers a low-cost entry into mortgage bonds with a 0.03% expense ratio and a 4.04% 30-day SEC yield, making it an attractive option for fixed income investors as rates fall [3] Fund Characteristics - VMBS has over 1,400 holdings, providing deep diversification and focusing on higher-quality credit through MBS assets guaranteed by quasi-governmental institutions and government-sponsored enterprises [4] - The fund's average effective maturity is close to seven years, positioning it as an intermediate bond fund that helps mitigate rate risk while offering higher yields [4] Housing Market Resilience - The housing market has shown resilience despite rising mortgage rates, which peaked above 7% in 2022, indicating that fears of a significant market crash were unfounded [5][6] - As mortgage rates decline, confidence in the housing market is expected to increase, positively impacting assets like mortgage-backed securities [6]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company's book value per share increased by 4.3% from $18.45 in the prior quarter to $19.25, achieving an economic return of 8.1% for Q3 and 11.5% year to date [19][20] - Earnings available for distribution per share remained consistent at $0.73, exceeding the dividend for the quarter [20] - The average yield improved to 5.46% compared to 5.41% in the prior quarter, while the average repo rate improved by three basis points to 4.5% [20][21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The agency portfolio's market value increased to over $87 billion, up 10% quarter over quarter, with total growth of $7.8 billion [10] - The residential credit portfolio increased to $6.9 billion in economic market value, with new origination non-QM AAA spreads tightening by 15 basis points [12] - The mortgage servicing rights (MSR) portfolio increased by $215 million to $3.5 billion, with stable cash flows and unchanged serious delinquencies at 50 basis points [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. economy showed resilience with GDP growth likely on pace with Q2, supported by consumer spending and AI-driven business investment [6] - Labor market conditions weakened, with hiring slowing to 30,000 jobs per month, while inflation remained elevated near 3% [6][7] - The agency MBS market saw improved supply and demand dynamics, with fixed income fund inflows more than 50% higher than the average over the past few quarters [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company maintains a diversified housing finance strategy, which has generated a 13% annualized economic return over the past three years [17] - The focus remains on maintaining a high credit quality portfolio and leveraging proprietary assets through the correspondent channel [14] - The company is positioned to benefit from expected Fed cuts and a healthy fixed income demand, with plans to increase allocations to residential credit and MSR [16][17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed a positive outlook, highlighting the benefits of declining macro volatility and anticipated Fed cuts [16] - The company remains flexible in the current investing climate with historically low leverage and significant liquidity [18] - Concerns about the housing market were noted, with expectations of modest cumulative depreciation due to elevated mortgage rates [14] Other Important Information - The company raised $1.1 billion of accretive equity in Q3, including $800 million through its ATM program [9] - The MSR valuation multiple decreased modestly due to lower mortgage rates, but the portfolio remains well insulated [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: Agency returns and investment preferences - Management indicated that agency investments remain attractive despite tighter spreads, with expectations for increased demand from banks and overseas participants [26][27] Question: MSR bulk supply and pricing - The bulk supply has increased from large participants, with stable pricing throughout the year, encouraging future bulk supply [29][30] Question: Agency returns breakdown - The spread to swaps versus treasuries is around 35 to 40 basis points, with low realized volatility aiding hedging costs [35][36] Question: MSR purchase strategy - The company prefers lower note rate MSRs to mitigate negative convexity risk, with a focus on maintaining a diversified portfolio [46][48] Question: Outlook for mortgage spreads and securitization - Management expects stable mortgage spreads to support continued market activity, with NonQM market penetration increasing [51][54] Question: Duration risk and portfolio management - The company is currently maintaining a close to zero duration gap due to market uncertainty, with plans to manage risks carefully [62][66] Question: GSEs' potential impact on the market - Speculation exists regarding GSEs becoming more active buyers, but the market has strong demand from REITs and fixed income funds [70][71]

Core Insights - The fixed income ETF market is experiencing significant growth, with inflows surpassing $325 billion as of mid-October, indicating increasing investor interest and a variety of options available [1] - Market uncertainty is prevalent not only in equities but also in fixed income, primarily driven by interest rate fluctuations, with over 90% of forecasts predicting two rate cuts by the end of 2025 [2][3] Fixed Income Market Trends - Investors are advised to consider intermediate bonds to balance income generation and mitigate rate risk as interest rates are expected to decline [4][5] - Municipal bonds are gaining traction due to strong credit fundamentals and attractive yields, alongside the benefit of federal tax-free income [5][6] Investment Strategies - Active fixed income ETFs are becoming increasingly popular, with products like Invesco's Variable Rate Investment Grade ETF (VRIG) offering diversified yield opportunities across various credit markets [8][9] - The Invesco Equal Weight 0-30 Year Treasury ETF (GOVI) provides nuanced exposure to Treasuries through a laddering approach, enhancing portfolio flexibility [10] Market Evolution - The ETF marketplace is continuously evolving, presenting new opportunities for income-producing funds tailored to the current uncertain environment [11]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report regarding the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints - The report provides a comprehensive update on the fixed - income market, including bond price movements, new issues, and macro - economic news. It maintains a buy recommendation on the FAEACO 12.814 Perp bond, which has gained about 20 pts in the past two weeks [2]. - SoftBank Group's new bond issues are analyzed, with estimated fair values for SOFTBK 61s and SOFTBK 65s at around 7.6% and 8.4% respectively [4][8][9]. 3. Section - by - Section Summaries Trading Desk Comments - Yesterday, the TW lifers/BBLTB sub curve/HYUELE curve/PETMK curve tightened by 1 - 3 bps. There were two - way flows on JP/KR/AU front - end FRNs from PBs [2]. - Japanese insurance hybrids and AT1s edged 0.1 pt firmer with light flows, while Yankee AT1s opened cautiously in London. BNP papers recovered after a previous plunge [2]. - Chinese IG benchmarks tightened by 1 - 2 bps. In Greater China higher - beta space, NWDEVL 28 - 31s were up 0.6 - 1.5 pts, but NWDEVL Perps were down 0.3 - 1.3 pts. FAEACO 12.814 Perp gained 0.4 pt [2]. - In Chinese properties, VNKRLE 27 - 29s decreased by 0.4 - 0.6 pt after Moody's downgrade. YUZHOU 27 lost 0.7 pt. In Southeast Asia, VLLPM 27 - 29s led the space and rose 3.2 - 4.4 pts [2]. - In LGFV space, there were mixed, light two - way flows. RMs and AMs were topping up IG USD and AAA - guaranteed issues, and flows on higher - yielding papers were sporadic [3]. Morning Update - This morning, the new ASBBNK 4.155 30 tightened 1 bp from initial issuance at T + 60, and ASBBNK Float 30 tightened 10 bps from RO at SOFR+90. The new GSCCOR 4.25 30 tightened 1 bp from pricing at T + 77 [4]. - The new GEZHOU 4.25 Perp traded up to 0.1 pt higher with light flows. SOFTBKs were unchanged, and LGELECs were unchanged after S&P revised the outlook of LG Electronics to positive from stable [4]. Top Performers and Underperformers - Top performers included VLLPM 7 1/4 07/20/27 (price 69.2, change 4.4) and NWDEVL 4 1/2 05/19/30 (price 72.7, change 1.5). Top underperformers included NWDEVL 5 1/4 PERP (price 48.8, change - 1.3) and YUZHOU 7 06/30/27 (price 12.0, change - 0.7) [5]. Macro News Recap - On Tuesday, the S&P was flat (+0.00%), the Dow rose 0.47%, and the Nasdaq fell 0.16%. UST yields were lower, with 2/5/10/30 - year yields at 3.45%/3.56%/3.98%/4.55% [7]. Desk Analyst Comments on SoftBank - SoftBank Group proposes to issue 35.5NC5.5 and 40NC10 Reg S USD subordinated bonds (S&P: B+) and 37NC7 EUR subordinated bonds for general corporate purposes [8]. - The fair value of the new SOFTBK 61 (first call Apr'31) is estimated at around 7.6% vs IPT at 7.875% - 8%, and for the new SOFTBK 65 (first call Oct'35) at around 8.4% vs IPT at 8.5% - 8.625% [9]. - The bonds have step - up mechanisms, and will receive 50% equity credit from S&P and JCR until the first reset date. SoftBank has a track record of calling its bonds on the first call date [10]. - In Jun'25, SoftBank's investment portfolio was valued at about USD269.6 bn, with 76% in listed shares (about USD205 bn). It held cash of about USD25.3 bn and standalone net debts of about USD45.9 bn, with an LTV ratio of 17.0% [11][12]. - While it has completed refinancing for the current fiscal year, there is a medium - term refinancing requirement in 2028 - 31, but it has access to diverse funding channels [12]. Offshore Asia New Issues - Priced new issues include ASB Bank (USD500/300 mn, 5 - year, 4.155%/SOFR+90), China Energy Overseas Investment (USD100/100 mn, 3 - year/PerpNC5, 3.8%/4.25%), GS Caltex Corporation (USD300 mn, 5 - year, 4.25%), and Republic of Kazakhstan (USD1500 mn, 5 - year, 4.412%) [16]. - Pipeline new issues include Avation Plc, China Three Gorges Corporation, Softbank Group, and The Republic of Korea with various tenors and coupon rates [17]. News and Market Color - Yesterday, there were 158 onshore credit bonds issued with an amount of RMB156 bn. Month - to - date, 910 credit bonds were issued with a total amount of RMB889 bn, a 31.1% yoy increase [18]. - S&P revised the outlook of LG Electronics to positive from stable, and the Republic of Indonesia is looking to price 5 - year/10 - year dim sum bonds tomorrow [18]. - Other corporate news includes S&P revising the outlook of Japfa Comfeed to stable from negative, NWD denying LME on perps, San Miguel obtaining a USD1.5 bn syndicated loan, Sun Hung Kai Properties announcing a USD10 bn debt instruments issuance programme, and Woodside Energy's 9M25 oil and gas output rising 5% yoy [25].

Core Insights - BlackRock reported strong quarterly results, beating expectations on both revenue and earnings, with assets under management reaching a record $13.5 trillion [1][5]. Company Performance - The positive performance is attributed to strong fund flows and a strategic focus on expanding into alternative investments, private assets, and infrastructure [2][5]. - Digital assets, commodities, and fixed income also contributed significantly to the quarter's results, alongside core equity ETFs [5][6]. - BlackRock's shares have outperformed the asset management peer group, with a year-to-date increase of approximately 13% [10]. Market Environment - The current investment climate is characterized as "risk-on," benefiting firms like BlackRock, with expectations for continued strong performance in the fourth quarter [5][6]. - Macro factors, particularly US-China trade relations, may impact market performance, but BlackRock is positioned to navigate these challenges [3][4]. Competitive Position - BlackRock holds a competitive edge due to its efficient fee structure and a strong portfolio of ETFs, which are less susceptible to market volatility [12][14]. - The company is focusing on innovation and diversification to maintain its competitive position and enhance its business model [12][14]. Future Outlook - The outlook for 2026 suggests that macroeconomic risks will be more significant than inherent risks to BlackRock, as the company prepares to strengthen its product offerings [13][14].

Fixed Income Market Outlook - BlackRock's Q4 outlook emphasizes disruption and desynchronization of global economies, creating opportunities beyond the US fixed income market [2] - The firm suggests investors consider global opportunities due to differing central bank actions across varying inflation environments [2] Investment Strategies - BlackRock favors the short to middle end of the yield curve, but notes improved valuations in the back end, suggesting adding some exposure there [3][4] - The firm highlights municipal bonds as an attractive opportunity due to a yield premium compared to treasuries [8] Alternative Data & Economic Indicators - BlackRock utilizes alternative labor market data, including job posting and wage data, to gauge the macro environment, especially during government shutdowns [6][7] - Wage data validates the economic slowdown already priced into the market, supporting expectations of continued Federal Reserve easing [7] Impact of Macroeconomic Factors - A weakening dollar and uncertainty around the back end of the treasury curve due to fiscal policy are driving investors towards alternative stores of value like gold [9][10] - Declining real interest rates, resulting from lower inflation expectations and Fed rate cuts, are also supporting gold prices [11]

Economic Data and Market Sentiment - The current market operates in a data-scarce environment, making it challenging to gauge fixed income and yield movements during the government shutdown [1] - Corporate data is deemed more reliable than survey data, which often reflects market sentiment rather than actual conditions [2][3] Labor Market and Productivity - Labor data is identified as the most critical information for the next five years, with expectations that productivity and technological advancements will alleviate wage pressures and inflation [7] - The economy is projected to achieve a real GDP growth of 3.8% and nominal GDP growth exceeding 5%, indicating strong corporate earnings without a proportional increase in infrastructure needs [8] Business Efficiency and Scale - Companies are focusing on improving productivity through better inventory management and logistics, which is essential for maintaining higher margins and lower infrastructure costs [9] - There is a trend towards achieving scale in operations, which allows companies to run more efficiently while also supporting employment levels [9][10]