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REIT Shorts Are Losing Their Lunch Money
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-29 23:16
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the risks associated with shorting REITs, particularly in December 2025, when short interest increased as REIT prices were at their lows, suggesting that this strategy may lead to significant losses as the market rebounds in 2026 [1][3][5]. Group 1: Market Trends and Shorting Dynamics - Short interest in REITs surged in December 2025, coinciding with a market low for these assets [1][3]. - The Vanguard REIT ETF (VNQ) saw a substantial price increase in 2026, indicating that many shorts entered positions at an inopportune time [5]. - The average short position is currently underwater by about 5%, which is not unusual in the stock market [5]. Group 2: Risks of Momentum Investing - Shorting based on momentum is deemed particularly risky, as it assumes that price movements reflect underlying fundamentals, which may not always be the case [7][10]. - The average stock historically rises by 8%-9% annually, meaning that short sellers must outperform this benchmark to avoid losses [11][12]. - The asymmetry of risk in shorting is highlighted, as potential losses are theoretically unlimited while gains are capped at the stock price going to zero [17]. Group 3: Specific REITs Under Scrutiny - Centerspace (CSR) is identified as a heavily shorted REIT, with a short interest increase of 270 basis points in December [14][16]. - Other REITs with significant short interest include NETSTREIT (NTST), Acadia Realty (AKR), and Americold (COLD), each facing unique market conditions that challenge the short thesis [26][34][40]. - CSR is projected to remain profitable, with consensus estimates for FFO per share showing steady growth through 2027, making it a risky short position [20][22]. Group 4: Potential for Short Squeezes - The article suggests that CSR, NTST, AKR, and COLD are well-positioned for potential short squeezes due to high short interest and the stability of their underlying fundamentals [49][50]. - The demand for cold storage properties remains strong, indicating that Americold could recover from current oversupply issues, further complicating the short thesis [42][45]. - The overall sentiment is that shorting stable, profitable companies with high dividend yields is a precarious strategy, especially as market conditions improve [47][49].
Postal Realty Trust (PSTL) is a Great Momentum Stock: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2026-01-29 18:01
Core Viewpoint - Momentum investing focuses on following a stock's recent price trends, aiming to buy high and sell higher, with the expectation that established trends will continue [1] Company Overview: Postal Realty Trust (PSTL) - PSTL currently holds a Momentum Style Score of B, indicating a favorable momentum characteristic [2] - The company has a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), suggesting strong potential for outperformance in the market [3] Performance Metrics - PSTL shares have increased by 1.03% over the past week, while the Zacks REIT and Equity Trust - Other industry has decreased by 1.76% during the same period [5] - Over the past month, PSTL's price has risen by 9.48%, significantly outperforming the industry's 0.45% [5] - In the last quarter, PSTL shares rose by 16.02%, and over the past year, they increased by 36.98%, compared to the S&P 500's gains of 1.56% and 16.34%, respectively [6] Trading Volume - PSTL's average 20-day trading volume is 284,023 shares, which serves as a bullish indicator when combined with rising stock prices [7] Earnings Outlook - In the past two months, two earnings estimates for PSTL have been revised upwards, while none have been lowered, leading to an increase in the consensus estimate from $1.29 to $1.31 [9] - For the next fiscal year, three estimates have moved higher with no downward revisions, indicating positive earnings momentum [9] Conclusion - Considering the positive performance metrics and earnings outlook, PSTL is positioned as a 1 (Strong Buy) stock with a Momentum Score of B, making it a strong candidate for near-term investment [11]
Forestar Group (FOR) Is Attractively Priced Despite Fast-paced Momentum
ZACKS· 2026-01-29 14:56
Core Viewpoint - Momentum investing focuses on "buying high and selling higher" rather than traditional strategies of "buying low and selling high" [1] Group 1: Momentum Investing Strategy - Momentum investors often face challenges in determining the right entry point for fast-moving stocks, which can lead to investments with limited upside or potential downside [2] - A safer approach involves investing in bargain stocks that exhibit recent price momentum, utilizing tools like the Zacks Momentum Style Score to identify these opportunities [3] Group 2: Forestar Group (FOR) Analysis - Forestar Group (FOR) has shown a four-week price change of 2.2%, indicating growing investor interest and positioning it well in the market [4] - The stock has gained 0.6% over the past 12 weeks and has a beta of 1.42, suggesting it moves 42% more than the market in either direction, indicating strong momentum [5] - FOR has a Momentum Score of B, suggesting it is an opportune time to invest in the stock to capitalize on its momentum [6] Group 3: Earnings Estimates and Valuation - An upward trend in earnings estimate revisions has contributed to FOR earning a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), which is associated with strong momentum effects as analysts raise earnings estimates [7] - FOR is trading at a Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.76, indicating it is relatively undervalued, as investors pay only 76 cents for each dollar of sales [7] Group 4: Additional Investment Opportunities - Besides FOR, there are other stocks that meet the criteria of the 'Fast-Paced Momentum at a Bargain' screen, suggesting further investment opportunities [8] - The Zacks Premium Screens offer over 45 different strategies to help identify potential winning stock picks based on individual investing styles [9]
Ericsson (ERIC) Is Up 10.72% in One Week: What You Should Know
ZACKS· 2026-01-28 18:01
Core Insights - The article discusses the concept of momentum investing, emphasizing the strategy of buying stocks that are trending upwards with the hope of selling them at even higher prices [1] - Ericsson (ERIC) is highlighted as a stock with a Momentum Style Score of B, indicating its potential as a solid momentum pick [2][11] Company Performance - Ericsson's shares have increased by 10.72% over the past week, while the Zacks Wireless Equipment industry has decreased by 1.13% during the same period [5] - Over the last month, Ericsson's stock price has risen by 13.6%, outperforming the industry's growth of 6.74% [5] - In the last quarter, Ericsson's shares have risen by 13.25%, and over the past year, they have increased by 44.29%, compared to the S&P 500's gains of 1.81% and 17.32%, respectively [6] Trading Volume - The average 20-day trading volume for Ericsson is 10,930,460 shares, which serves as a bullish indicator when combined with rising stock prices [7] Earnings Outlook - In the past two months, two earnings estimates for Ericsson have been revised upwards, while none have been revised downwards, leading to an increase in the consensus estimate from $0.62 to $0.66 [9] - For the next fiscal year, one estimate has moved upwards with no downward revisions, indicating a positive earnings outlook [9] Conclusion - Given the positive performance metrics and earnings outlook, Ericsson is rated as a 2 (Buy) stock with a Momentum Score of B, making it a recommended pick for investors seeking short-term gains [11]
Best Momentum Stocks to Buy for January 28th
ZACKS· 2026-01-28 16:01
Group 1: New Gold Inc. (NGD) - New Gold Inc. is a gold mining company with a Zacks Rank 1, indicating strong performance potential [1] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for New Gold's current year earnings has increased by 5.3% over the last 60 days [1] - New Gold's shares have gained 79.8% over the last three months, significantly outperforming the S&P 500, which advanced by only 1.2% [1] - The company has a Momentum Score of A, reflecting strong momentum characteristics [1] Group 2: Investar Holding Corporation (ISTR) - Investar Holding Corporation is a bank holding company for Investar Bank, also holding a Zacks Rank 1 [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Investar's next year earnings has increased by 5.8% over the last 60 days [2] - Investar's shares have gained 16.2% over the last three months, again outperforming the S&P 500's 1.2% advance [2] - The company possesses a Momentum Score of B, indicating solid momentum characteristics [2]
Why Fast-paced Mover DHL Group Sponsored ADR (DHLGY) Is a Great Choice for Value Investors
ZACKS· 2026-01-27 14:55
Core Viewpoint - Momentum investing focuses on "buying high and selling higher" rather than traditional strategies of buying low and waiting for recovery [1][2] Group 1: Momentum Investing Strategy - Momentum investors typically avoid timing the market and instead capitalize on stocks that are trending upwards [1] - The challenge lies in determining the right entry point, as stocks can lose momentum if their valuations exceed future growth potential [2] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - A safer approach involves investing in bargain stocks that exhibit recent price momentum, identified through the Zacks Momentum Style Score [3] - DHL Group Sponsored ADR (DHLGY) is highlighted as a strong candidate, showing a four-week price change of 0.3% and a 20.2% gain over the past 12 weeks [4][5] - DHLGY has a beta of 1.21, indicating it moves 21% more than the market, suggesting strong momentum [5] Group 3: Performance Metrics - DHLGY has a Momentum Score of B, indicating a favorable time to invest [6] - The stock has a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) due to upward revisions in earnings estimates, which attract more investor interest [7] - DHLGY is trading at a Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.65, suggesting it is undervalued at 65 cents for each dollar of sales [7] Group 4: Additional Opportunities - Besides DHLGY, there are other stocks that meet the criteria of the 'Fast-Paced Momentum at a Bargain' screen, presenting further investment opportunities [8] - The Zacks Premium Screens offer over 45 different strategies to help identify potential winning stocks [9]
Are You Looking for a Top Momentum Pick? Why Fortis (FTS) is a Great Choice
ZACKS· 2026-01-26 18:00
Core Viewpoint - Momentum investing focuses on following a stock's recent price trends, aiming to buy high and sell higher, with the expectation that established trends will continue [1] Company Overview: Fortis (FTS) - Fortis currently holds a Momentum Style Score of B, indicating potential as a solid momentum pick [3] - The company has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), which historically outperforms the market when combined with a Style Score of A or B [4] Price Performance - Over the past week, Fortis shares increased by 1.48%, while the Zacks Utility - Electric Power industry declined by 0.83% [6] - In the last month, Fortis shares rose by 1.62%, compared to the industry's performance of 2.71% [6] - Over the past quarter, Fortis shares have risen by 4.92%, and over the last year, they are up 24.23%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's increases of 2.92% and 14.29%, respectively [7] Trading Volume - Fortis has an average 20-day trading volume of 1,047,173 shares, which serves as a bullish indicator when the stock price is rising [8] Earnings Outlook - In the past two months, one earnings estimate for Fortis has increased, raising the consensus estimate from $2.47 to $2.49 for the full year [10] - For the next fiscal year, two estimates have moved upwards with no downward revisions during the same period [10] Conclusion - Considering the positive price trends, trading volume, and earnings outlook, Fortis is positioned as a 2 (Buy) stock with a Momentum Score of B, making it a strong candidate for near-term investment [12]
Best Momentum Stocks to Buy for January 26th
ZACKS· 2026-01-26 16:00
Group 1: Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) - The company has a Zacks Rank of 1 and a Momentum Score of A [1] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings increased by 5.4% over the last 60 days [1] - Shares gained 11.7% over the last three months, outperforming the S&P 500's advance of 0.5% [1] Group 2: Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) - The company has a Zacks Rank of 1 and a Momentum Score of A [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings increased by 4.6% over the last 60 days [2] - Shares gained 17.7% over the last three months, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's advance of 0.5% [2] Group 3: Simmons First National Corporation (SFNC) - The company has a Zacks Rank of 1 and a Momentum Score of A [3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings increased by 5.2% over the last 60 days [3] - Shares gained 12.1% over the last three months, also outperforming the S&P 500's advance of 0.5% [3]
Bayer Aktiengesellschaft (BAYRY) is a Top-Ranked Value Stock: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2026-01-26 15:41
Core Insights - Zacks Premium offers tools for investors to enhance their stock market strategies, including daily updates, research reports, and stock screens [1] - The Zacks Style Scores provide a framework for evaluating stocks based on value, growth, and momentum, aiding investors in selecting securities likely to outperform the market [2] Zacks Style Scores Overview - Stocks are rated A, B, C, D, or F based on their value, growth, and momentum characteristics, with higher scores indicating a better chance of outperforming the market [3] - The Style Scores are categorized into four types: Value Score, Growth Score, Momentum Score, and VGM Score [3][4][5][6] Value Score - The Value Style Score focuses on identifying undervalued stocks using metrics like P/E, PEG, Price/Sales, and Price/Cash Flow [3] Growth Score - The Growth Style Score assesses a company's financial health and future outlook through projected and historical earnings, sales, and cash flow [4] Momentum Score - The Momentum Style Score evaluates trends in stock prices and earnings estimates to identify favorable buying opportunities [5] VGM Score - The VGM Score combines all three Style Scores, providing a comprehensive indicator for investors seeking attractive value, growth, and momentum [6] Zacks Rank Integration - The Zacks Rank utilizes earnings estimate revisions to simplify portfolio building, with 1 (Strong Buy) stocks achieving an average annual return of +23.83% since 1988, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 [7] - There are over 800 stocks rated 1 or 2, making it essential for investors to utilize Style Scores to narrow down choices [8] Investment Strategy - For optimal returns, investors should focus on stocks with a Zacks Rank of 1 or 2 and Style Scores of A or B, while 3 ranked stocks should also have high Style Scores to maximize upside potential [9][10] Company Spotlight: Bayer Aktiengesellschaft - Bayer AG, headquartered in Leverkusen, Germany, is rated 2 (Buy) on the Zacks Rank with a VGM Score of A and a Value Style Score of A, indicating strong valuation metrics [11] - The company has seen two analysts raise their earnings estimates for fiscal 2025, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate increasing by $0.10 to $1.43 per share and an average earnings surprise of +18.5% [12]
Here's Why Momentum in Impala Platinum (IMPUY) Should Keep going
ZACKS· 2026-01-26 14:55
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of timing and sustainability in short-term investing, highlighting that a solid trend can lead to profitable opportunities if supported by strong fundamentals and positive earnings revisions [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd. (IMPUY) has shown a significant price increase of 106.2% over the past 12 weeks, indicating strong investor interest [4]. - The stock has also increased by 31.4% in the last four weeks, suggesting that the upward trend is still intact [5]. - Currently, IMPUY is trading at 99.9% of its 52-week high-low range, indicating a potential breakout [5]. Group 2: Fundamental Strength - IMPUY holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), placing it in the top 5% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate revisions and EPS surprises [6]. - The stock has an Average Broker Recommendation of 1 (Strong Buy), reflecting high optimism from the brokerage community regarding its near-term price performance [7]. - Historically, Zacks Rank 1 stocks have generated an average annual return of +25% since 1988, showcasing the effectiveness of this ranking system [7]. Group 3: Investment Strategy - The "Recent Price Strength" screen is a useful tool for identifying stocks like IMPUY that have the fundamental strength to maintain their upward momentum [3]. - There are additional stocks that meet the criteria of the "Recent Price Strength" screen, providing further investment opportunities [8]. - The Zacks Research Wizard can assist in backtesting stock-picking strategies to ensure they have produced profitable results in the past [9].