Summary of ONEOK (OKE) Fireside Chat - May 28, 2025 Company Overview - **Company**: ONEOK (OKE) - **Industry**: Energy and Natural Gas Key Points and Arguments Commodity Price Impact - ONEOK is less affected by commodity price fluctuations compared to other companies, which can see cash flow changes of up to 40% with a $1 change in gas or a $10 change in oil prices [4][6] - Recent oil price declines have not led to a decrease in volume for ONEOK, indicating stability in their operations [4][6] Natural Gas Outlook - Natural gas production in the U.S. has increased from approximately 20 trillion cubic feet (Tcf) in 2000-2007 to around 42 Tcf in 2024, driven by coal-to-gas conversions and LNG exports [8][9] - Current LNG export facilities are projected to increase capacity to 10 billion cubic feet (Bcf) per day, with potential future expansions [10] - The demand for natural gas is expected to grow due to factors such as artificial intelligence data centers and ongoing coal plant conversions [11] Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs) and Petrochemicals - NGLs are primarily byproducts of crude oil and natural gas production, and their value is dependent on transportation to markets where they can be sold at higher prices [12][13] - The U.S. is expected to remain a significant supplier of ethane to petrochemical companies, with a notable portion being exported to China [18][20] Regulatory Environment - The current administration is actively seeking specific feedback from the industry to improve regulatory processes, which is seen as a positive change [22] - Tariff policies are viewed as volatile, but there is a growing understanding that they may not be permanent [23][24] Strategic Focus and Growth - ONEOK's strategy emphasizes brownfield expansions to reduce capital costs and enhance integration within their existing systems [26][27] - The company has divested non-integrated assets to focus on core business areas, which has allowed for better capital allocation [28] Financial Strategy - ONEOK aims for a balanced capital allocation strategy, prioritizing organic growth projects while maintaining a strong dividend policy [75][76] - The company targets a debt-to-EBITDA ratio of around 3.5 times, with plans for stock buybacks if excess cash is generated [78][79] Storage and Volatility Management - Storage capacity is seen as a critical component for managing the volatility of natural gas pricing, especially with increasing LNG exports [37][44] - ONEOK is expanding its storage capabilities, which are expected to provide opportunities in a volatile market [47][59] Customer Diversification - The company is shifting from a supply-push model to a demand-pull model, diversifying its customer base and reducing reliance on specific markets [51][52] Long-term Outlook - The Bakken region is expected to sustain production levels for decades, supported by advancements in drilling technology [54] - ONEOK anticipates continued growth in its core business, driven by synergies from recent acquisitions and ongoing demand for natural gas and NGLs [83][84] Additional Important Insights - The integration of various assets is a key focus for ONEOK, as it allows for better control over revenue streams and operational efficiencies [91][94] - The company is positioned well in the LNG market, with the U.S. being a significant player in global exports, particularly to Asia [71][72] This summary captures the essential insights from the ONEOK Fireside Chat, highlighting the company's strategic focus, market outlook, and financial strategies.

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q1 2025, the company achieved the highest first quarter lithium sales volumes in its history, with a 20% year-on-year increase, driven by strong demand from the electric vehicle market in China and Europe [6][8] - Average realized prices for lithium in Q2 2025 are expected to be lower than in Q1 due to recent price declines [7][59] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Lithium sales volumes increased significantly, while iodine prices reached record averages amid tight supply and steady demand, particularly for X-ray contrast media applications [6][8] - Specialty Plant Nutrition (SPN) sales volumes grew healthily, with an upward trend in prices due to strong demand for potassium chloride and supply disruptions [9] - Potassium business volumes were significantly lower compared to the same period last year as part of a strategy to prioritize high lithium content brines [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company maintains a view that global lithium demand will grow by 17% in 2025, with SQM's sales expected to grow by 15% year-on-year, although this forecast remains unchanged amid current market conditions [29][64] - The lithium market is currently oversupplied, with prices under pressure, particularly in China [71][90] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on expanding lithium production capacity to 240,000 metric tons of lithium carbonate and 100,000 metric tons of lithium hydroxide [8] - Investment in operational efficiencies and capacity expansions is ongoing, with a commitment to sustainable high-quality growth [11] - The company is confident in its strategy and ability to generate cash flow despite current pricing pressures [17][88] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management believes the current low price environment is unsustainable and expects prices to improve in the future [88][90] - The company is well-prepared to take advantage of market recovery due to its strong position as a low-cost producer [88][90] - There is optimism regarding long-term demand growth, particularly in the electric vehicle sector [64][90] Other Important Information - The company is advancing its seawater pipeline construction to expand iodine production capacity [8] - The dividend policy established a distribution of 30% of net income for 2025, with no interim dividends planned for the first quarter [48] Q&A Session Summary Question: Will operating cash flow be breakeven or positive per metric ton in lithium in Q2? - Management indicated they are far from breakeven costs and expect to be significantly above that in Q2 [14][15] Question: How will lower lithium prices affect capital structure and funding for future projects? - Management stated that the company has a strong balance sheet and cash generation capacity from other business lines, which will not constrain future projects [16][18] Question: What is the status of the Codelco joint venture in Chile? - Management described the situation as "noise" due to election year discussions but confirmed that the transaction is progressing as planned [20][26] Question: Will SQM's lithium sales grow by 15% this year? - Management has not updated the annual volume forecast but expects similar or slightly lower volumes in Q2 compared to Q1 [29] Question: How is SQM handling pricing dynamics in China? - Management noted that pricing mechanisms with customers are confidential and cannot provide specifics [36] Question: What is the outlook for Mt. Holland production? - Management confirmed that Mt. Holland is cash positive and ramping up as planned, despite facing higher costs during the ramp-up phase [84][97] Question: What is the company's dividend policy? - The company will distribute 30% of its net income for 2025, with no interim dividends planned for the first quarter [48]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2024, the company reported earnings of $34 billion and cash flow from operations of $55 billion, which were utilized to fund profitable growth, maintain financial strength, and reward shareholders [14][26] - The total shareholder return, which includes share price appreciation and dividends paid, was industry-leading over one, three, and five years [14][26] - The company has consistently increased its dividend for 42 consecutive years, marking it as a significant commitment to shareholders [14][34] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the Upstream segment, the company achieved the highest liquids production in 40 years, with a focus on value rather than volume, resulting in unit profitability doubling since 2019 [15][16] - The acquisition of Pioneer is expected to deliver annual synergies averaging $3 billion over the next ten years, enhancing the company's position in the Permian Basin [17][65] - In Product Solutions, record sales of high-value products were driven by new advantaged projects, contributing to earnings power improvement [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company anticipates a 15% increase in overall global energy use by 2050, with oil and natural gas demand expected to grow by 4% and 39% respectively [21] - Demand for chemical products is projected to grow from around 200 million tons per year to nearly 400 million tons by mid-century [21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on leveraging its competitive advantages to deliver industry-leading value across its businesses, emphasizing technology and innovation [8][12] - The strategy includes a commitment to low-carbon solutions, with expectations of contributing $3 billion to earnings by 2030 from these initiatives [24][55] - The company aims to maintain a strong balance sheet and lean cost base, having cut $13 billion in structural costs since 2019 [40] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to excel in any market environment, having prepared for challenging conditions through strategic planning [40][42] - The company views the energy transition as an opportunity rather than a threat, with plans to invest in profitable growth and advantaged investment opportunities [21][23] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining dependable shareholder distributions while navigating market fluctuations [42] Other Important Information - The company has no shareholder proposals on the ballot for the first time in nearly 70 years, attributing this to its strong financial performance and proactive engagement with investors [24][39] - The company has invested over $43 million in community projects in Guyana, focusing on education, health care, and economic diversification [61] Q&A Session Summary Question: Will there be an increase in dividends this year? - The company recently increased the dividend to $0.99 per share, reflecting a commitment to a sustainable and growing dividend [33][34] Question: Where are the shareholder proposals? - The absence of proposals is attributed to the company's strong performance and willingness to engage with shareholders directly [36][39] Question: How does the company plan to adapt if oil prices decline? - The company has a robust strategy and low-cost supply portfolio, allowing it to maintain capital allocation priorities even at lower oil prices [40][42] Question: Why has the stock price been range-bound despite strong fundamentals? - The company has led its industry in total shareholder return and believes its stock is undervalued compared to its performance and opportunities [43][46] Question: What is the company's stance on current administrative policies? - The company maintains a long-term view and engages with governments to support policies that ensure energy security and responsible operations [47][48] Question: How has the Denbury acquisition progressed? - The integration of Denbury has strengthened the company's carbon capture and storage capabilities, with significant synergies expected from the acquisition [63][65]

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Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - PPL achieved targeted earnings per share growth of 6% to 8% in 2024 [25] - The common stock dividend was increased by more than 7% in 2024 [26] - PPL's stock price increased by nearly 20% in 2024, ranking among the best performing regulated utility stocks in the U.S. [28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - PPL completed over $3 billion in planned infrastructure improvements in 2024 to enhance grid reliability and resilience [24] - Achieved annual O&M savings of approximately $130 million from a 2021 baseline, allowing for over $1 billion in capital investments [24][25] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - PPL serves approximately 3.6 million customers across its service territories [23] - The company is experiencing unprecedented demand growth, particularly in Pennsylvania, with nearly 11 gigawatts of data center load in advanced planning stages [53] Company Strategy and Development Direction - PPL is focused on creating the utilities of the future, emphasizing innovation, efficiency, and advanced technology [29] - The company plans to invest $20 billion from 2025 to 2028 to strengthen reliability and advance a cleaner energy future [31] - PPL is committed to an all-of-the-above technology approach to achieve net zero carbon emissions by 2050 [52] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management highlighted the importance of affordability in energy services and ongoing engagement with stakeholders to identify opportunities [25] - The company is adapting to challenges in the energy sector, including the need for new technologies and infrastructure to meet growing demand [54] Other Important Information - PPL has implemented a wildfire mitigation plan, including public safety power shutoff policies and updated emergency response plans [62] - The company is actively exploring nuclear power as part of its strategy to achieve net zero emissions, while also considering advanced small modular reactors [56] Q&A Session Summary Question: Why does PPL have so many directors? - The board size is consistent with industry standards, with 10 members, nine of whom are independent, providing a mix of experience and perspectives [39][40] Question: Why does PPL employ so many contractors? - Contractors are used for specialized expertise, seasonal work, and to provide flexibility in scaling operations [43][45] Question: What impact will tariffs have on PPL's partnership with WindGrid? - Tariffs may affect pricing and timing of offshore wind projects, but PPL remains prepared to participate in future opportunities [48][50] Question: How does PPL support the development of nuclear and fusion power? - PPL recognizes the need for nuclear power in achieving net zero emissions and is exploring partnerships for advanced nuclear technologies [56][58] Question: How is PPL addressing wildfire risks? - PPL has developed a wildfire mitigation plan, including updated training and capital projects to enhance safety and reduce risks [62]

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Product & Strategy - ESS launched the Energy Base, a new product configuration scalable from 5 MW to 100+ MW with a duration of 10+ to 22 hours, utilizing the Iron Core technology[14,32] - The Energy Base is designed to be more capital efficient for both ESS and its customers, shifting manufacturing mix to higher margin components and lowering working capital burden[32,47] - ESS partners with Honeywell to optimize Energy Base design for quality, cost-efficiency, and scale, exploring product collaboration and procurement leverage[30] - ESS's product line is evolving to meet a broader range of use cases at larger scales, with the same core technology across all products[31] Market & Opportunities - Data centers' electricity demand is estimated to grow to 800 TWh by 2026, putting extreme pressure on aging infrastructure and increasing the risk of failure[37] - Power disruption accounts for 54% of impactful data center outages, highlighting the need for resilient power solutions[40] - ESS Energy Base enables fast deployment of additional grid capacity and increases grid balancing and resilience for data center customers[38] Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue was $0.6 million, a 78% decrease compared to $2.7 million in Q1 2024[53] - Q1 2025 net loss was $18.0 million, a 2% improvement compared to $18.3 million in Q1 2024[53] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 was a loss of $15.0 million, a 3% improvement compared to a loss of $15.4 million in Q1 2024[53]

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