Market Outlook & Economic Factors - The speaker turned bullish in late April/early May due to clarity on global tariffs, anticipating a shift towards "fair trade" rather than a "nuclear" approach [2][3] - A potential deal with China is on the horizon, along with progress with Europe, suggesting a favorable outcome on tariffs [4] - The reconciliation bill, expected to pass in early July, will extend current tax regimes and add stimulus through tax breaks on tips, overtime, and social security [4] - Anticipated rate cuts in the latter half of the year could create a "trifecta" for the economy [5] Company Strategy & Performance - The firm is currently at the top 25% of its exposure limits, indicating a high level of confidence in the market [6] Technological Trends - The AI super cycle is driving an acceleration in both topline and earnings [6] - Oracle reported "blockbuster numbers," and 80% of the S&P companies that have reported have beaten expectations [6] - The "Mag 7" companies all beat expectations and accelerated [6]

I want to bring in our contributor for the hour. We've got Bob Lane back with us. He is explosive options technical analyst.A great voice to have when we are looking for clarity in the market because sometimes when the sentiment gets over its skis, you can bring us back to earth with the technicals. I want to start on the inflation data. We saw the market have a significant move to the upside.We're coming in just a bit off of that. How would you describe the market reaction. Uh quite a bit of a surprise, Ma ...

Economic Overview - Inflation is showing signs of cooling, with the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) index rising only 0.1% month-over-month in April and 2.1% year-over-year, down from 2.3% in March [4][5] - Core PCE, excluding food and energy, also rose 0.1% month-over-month and 2.5% year-over-year, marking the smallest advance since March 2021 [5] - Consumer spending increased by 0.2% month-over-month, while personal income rose by 0.8% in April, indicating economic resilience [5][11] Trade and Tariffs - President Trump's tariffs announced in early April have been put on hold as trade negotiations are ongoing, alleviating concerns about inflation and recession [2][6] - The temporary pause in tariffs and the initiation of trade talks, including a deal with the UK, have boosted market optimism [7] Consumer Discretionary Stocks - Positive sentiment in the economy suggests investing in consumer discretionary stocks is prudent [2][8] - Selected stocks include: - **Interface, Inc. (TILE)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 8.2%, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate improvement of 2.6% over the past 60 days [9] - **Kontoor Brands, Inc. (KTB)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 9.6%, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate improvement of 2.9% over the past 60 days [12] - **GDEV Inc. (GDEV)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 58%, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate improvement of 21.8% over the past 60 days [13] - **Netflix, Inc. (NFLX)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 27.7%, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate improvement of 3% over the past 60 days [15]