Bitcoin dominance
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Ethereum: Dubious Speculation
Benjamin Cowen· 2025-09-20 19:17
Market Analysis & Predictions - Ethereum is expected to reach new all-time highs within a few months [4][5] - A correction after sweeping the all-time high was always the most likely outcome [8] - Ethereum often peaks after Bitcoin in market cycles [10] - Altcoins are expected to rally against Ethereum until Ethereum tags the 21-week EMA, potentially in late September or early October [17][18][19] - Ethereum's rally to $5,000-$7,000 is contingent on checking in with the 21-week EMA [31] - ETH/Bitcoin valuation is likely to go to 005%, potentially after tagging its 21-week EMA against Bitcoin [34] Risk Management & Indicators - Two weekly closes below the 50-week SMA for Bitcoin (currently around $98,000) would signal the cycle's end [14][15] - October tends to be a strong month for Bitcoin dominance, with ETH/Bitcoin pair typically decreasing by 10% on average [36] - Ethereum is currently in a consolidation phase, similar to patterns observed in 2017 and 2021 [38][39] Investment Strategy - Buying Ethereum when it dips and selling gradually as it rises is considered a successful strategy [2][3] - The most likely outcome is that Ethereum will continue to bide its time, lulling the altcoin market into a false sense of security [30] - Waiting for Ethereum to tag its bull market support band is a likely indicator for when altcoins will start bleeding to Ethereum again [27]
X @Michaël van de Poppe
Michaël van de Poppe· 2025-09-20 14:56
It's very clear: #Altcoins are going to go up in the coming period.However, during those periods, you can have corrections.I wouldn't be surprised to see the #Bitcoin dominance have a slight bounce upwards before we're going to have the next leg down. https://t.co/e7x0QSobyG ...
X @Decrypt
Decrypt· 2025-09-18 17:10
Bitcoin dominance drops amid altcoin surge, but institutions haven’t stopped buying ETFs or BTC for their treasuries.Read more: https://t.co/frPrdMlCVl ...
Crypto Markets Today: Altcoins Make Their Mark Before Fed Rate Decision
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-17 12:00
Core Insights - Bitcoin (BTC) reached a peak of $117,300 before settling at $116,400, influenced by anticipation surrounding the Federal Reserve's interest-rate decision [1] - Bitcoin dominance has decreased to 57%, the lowest since January, indicating a shift towards altcoins during a period of low volatility [2] Market Dynamics - The filling of the CME gap suggests potential consolidation for Bitcoin away from critical support levels at $110,000, which may lead to increased capital flow into altcoins [2] - BTC futures open interest has risen to $32 billion, indicating heightened market activity, while the narrowing three-month annualized basis to 6-7% suggests weakening bullish conviction [4] - The options market presents mixed signals, with short-term bearish sentiment indicated by a flat or slightly negative skew for shorter-term options, while a higher volume of calls than puts suggests some traders are still positioning for price increases [4] Altcoin Outlook - The average crypto token RSI is at 45.47, indicating that altcoins are nearing "oversold" territory, which may lead to upward price movements [5] - Historical data shows Bitcoin dominance fell to 33% in 2017 and 40% in 2021, suggesting that altcoins have further room for growth [5] - Future Bitcoin performance, particularly if it approaches record highs of $124,000, will be crucial in determining capital rotation back to Bitcoin from altcoins [5]
Bitcoin: Bull Market Support Band
Benjamin Cowen· 2025-09-15 03:58
Market Analysis & Predictions - The analysis suggests Bitcoin typically experiences a high in August followed by a low in September, a pattern observed in 2017 and 2021 [2][3] - The report anticipates that the August high could be surpassed in October, potentially mirroring trends from 2017, 2021, or even 2020 [6] - The analysis is monitoring Bitcoin dominance, suggesting a potential rally after rate cuts in late September and into October [15] Key Technical Levels - The 50-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) is currently around 98,000 [8] - The bull market support band ranges from 109,000 to 111,000, and Bitcoin is currently holding above this level [8] - Maintaining the bull market support band is crucial for a potential Q4 rally to new highs; failure to do so could lead to a muted rally [9] Risk Assessment - Multiple weekly closes below the 50-week moving average would signal a potential end to the current cycle [12] - A breakdown in September doesn't necessarily mean the cycle is over, as the 50-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) could provide support [11][12]
X @Ash Crypto
Ash Crypto· 2025-09-13 13:49
Altcoin MCap just hit a new ATH.Meanwhile, Bitcoin dominance is still around the 57%-58% level.Imagine the alts rally once Bitcoin dominance goes below 50% 🚀 https://t.co/CEQkp1LfgG ...
X @Ash Crypto
Ash Crypto· 2025-09-12 06:30
Bitcoin dominance is crashing hard.Massive altcoin pump is coming 🚀 https://t.co/Mco2Hw4gUR ...
X @Ash Crypto
Ash Crypto· 2025-09-11 19:37
Market Analysis - Altseason typically begins when Bitcoin dominance peaks and declines [1] - The combined dominance of BTC and stablecoins has historically signaled the start of Altseason [1][2] - A rejection from the combined dominance ceiling in 2025 suggests a potential upcoming Altseason [1] Liquidity and Demand - Risk-on capital is awaiting rate cuts and QE to expand liquidity, which will benefit alts [3] - Retail demand, search interest, and social engagement are currently below 2021 peaks, indicating missing fuel for alt rallies [3] - Liquidity is still building, preventing alts from moving significantly [4] Narrative and Catalysts - The absence of a dominant narrative, unlike the DeFi, NFTs, and Metaverse trends of 2021, is currently holding back altcoins [3] - Potential catalysts for a larger Altseason include deeper institutional participation, ETF approvals for major alts, and broader use case narratives like AI, RWA, and ETH staking [5] Future Outlook - If BTC + stablecoin dominance continues to decline as in past cycles, it would set the stage for the next large-scale Altseason [3] - Alts historically deliver their biggest gains after Bitcoin tops out and capital rotates into the broader market [4] - The scale of the next Altseason is anticipated to be far larger than previous ones [5]
X @Market Spotter
Market Spotter· 2025-09-11 09:00
#AltcoinSeason Index hit 71 as #Bitcoin dominance fades — signs point to renewed focus on altcoins.Are you shifting allocation? 🤔 ...
X @Ash Crypto
Ash Crypto· 2025-09-10 11:23
Bitcoin dominance is breaking downMoney is flowing into Alts this time 🔥 https://t.co/eMPWHWCYHg ...