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China Beige Book CEO: Saw a falloff 'in just about everything' in China's economy in June
CNBC Television· 2025-06-26 11:43
exclusive new data providing key insights into the state of China's economy. Joining us now, China Beige Book CEO Leland Miller. Let's just run down the uh the list of things that that where you're seeing clear evidence of of maybe some slowdowns.Uh Leland, how how many things can you point to would you say right now. Are there a half dozen. I mean, at least the whole month looked poor.Uh and this is this is a bit surprising because the May data, our May data, official May data looked very good and of cours ...
《清华金融评论》 | 封面专题:“大力提振消费 全方位扩大国内需求”
清华金融评论· 2025-06-26 10:27
《意见》强调,要聚焦消费重点领域加大金融支持,结合消费场景和特点创新金融产品,持续推 动消费领域金融服务提质增效。优化消费支付服务,健全消费领域信用体系建设,加强金融消费 权益保护。下一步,中国人民银行将会同有关部门加快推动《意见》各项政策实施落地,强化跟 踪监测,指导金融机构持续加大消费领域金融支持力度,为更好发挥消费对经济发展的基础性作 用提供有力金融支撑。 内需是经济发展的基本动力。习近平总书记指出,要加快补上内需特别是消费短板,使内需成为 拉动经济增长的主动力和稳定锚。 2025 年《政府工作报告》将"大力提振消费、提高投资效益, 全方位扩大国内 封 面专题:大力提振消费 全方位扩大国内需求 需求"列为今年首要任务。 2025 年 3 月 16 日,中办、国办印发《提振消费专项行动方案》,从 提升消费能力、增加优质供给、改善消费环境等方面提出了提振消费的顶层政策框架。党中央、 国务院的各项政策体现了进一步凝聚共识、拓宽思路,把经济政策着力点更多转向促消费具有重 要意义。 为贯彻落实党中央、国务院决策部署,完善扩大消费长效机制,更好满足消费领域金融服务需 求,近日中国人民银行、国家发展改革委、财政部、商 ...
General Mills CEO Jeff Harmening on consumer demand
CNBC Television· 2025-06-25 18:33
what we're seeing from the consumer really isn't surprising. You know, for the last few months or so, uh the consumer really has faced a lot of uncertainty and in a whole variety of ways, whether it's economic uncertainty or uncertainty with tariffs or global conflict. I mean, we all know the list and when consumers feel a little bit uncertain, um you know, they they tend to pull back on their spending a little bit and and so we we see that.I mean, it's one of the reasons why food at home consumption remain ...
General Mills CEO: The consumer is still spending but uncertain, it makes for a volatile environment
CNBC Television· 2025-06-25 16:29
Jeff Harmening, General Mills CEO, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss consumer demand challenges, economic uncertainty and earnings. ...
3 Solid Stocks to Bet on From the Prospering Airline Industry
ZACKS· 2025-06-25 16:16
Industry Overview - The Zacks Airline industry is involved in transporting passengers and cargo globally, with operators maintaining a fleet of mainline jets and regional planes [3] - The industry includes both legacy carriers and low-cost airlines, and its performance is closely tied to the overall economy [3] - Air travel demand has improved significantly from pandemic lows, indicating a recovery trend [3] Current Market Conditions - The gradual de-escalation of the Israel-Iran conflict has led to a decline in oil prices, positively impacting airline fuel costs [1][9] - The average jet fuel cost is projected to decrease to $86 per barrel in 2025 from $99 per barrel in 2024, contributing to a lower total fuel bill of $236 billion in 2025 compared to $261 billion in 2024 [8] - Despite low fuel costs, airlines are facing increased labor costs due to a post-COVID-19 labor shortage, which is affecting their bottom-line growth [10] Financial Performance and Projections - The International Air Transport Association (IATA) forecasts total airline revenues to reach $979 billion in 2025, with passenger revenues expected to hit $693 billion, marking a 1.6% increase from 2024 [4] - A record 4.99 billion passengers are anticipated to travel globally in 2025, representing a 4% increase from 2024 [4] - The Zacks Airline industry has outperformed the S&P 500, returning 22.7% over the past year compared to the S&P 500's 9.6% rise [14] Shareholder Returns - Airlines are increasingly returning cash to shareholders through dividends and buybacks, reflecting financial strength and confidence [5] - Delta Air Lines has approved a 25% dividend hike, raising its quarterly cash dividend to $0.75 from $0.60, to be paid on August 21, 2025 [6][7] Investment Opportunities - LATAM Airlines is experiencing strong air travel demand, with a 3.6% increase in passengers in Q1 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, and a 28.8% upward revision in earnings estimates [22] - Copa Holdings is benefiting from regional economic expansion and has consistently beaten earnings estimates, with upward revisions of 6.3% and 4.5% for current and next-year earnings, respectively [26][27] - SkyWest has gained 7.5% over the past three months, with a 3.5% upward revision in earnings estimates for 2025 [31]
Should You Retain Mid-America Stock in Your Portfolio Now?
ZACKS· 2025-06-25 16:00
Key Takeaways MAA gains from a diverse Sunbelt portfolio and rising rental demand, driven by housing affordability issues. Three internal initiatives, redevelopment, repositioning and tech upgrades, may boost margins and returns. Elevated supply in some markets and $5B in debt are pressuring MAA's rent growth and interest expenses.Mid-America Apartment (MAA) is poised to gain from a well-diversified, Sun Belt-focused portfolio. The prospects of its redevelopment program and technology measures will drive ...
FedEx Profit Guidance Disappoints as Tariffs Weigh on Demand
Bloomberg Television· 2025-06-25 15:15
FedEx forecast a worse-than-expected profit for the current quarter and said it would only share its outlook for the current quarter due to the uncertain environment for global demand. Katie Linsell reports on Bloomberg Television. -------- More on Bloomberg Television and Markets Like this video? Subscribe and turn on notifications so you don't miss any videos from Bloomberg Markets & Finance: https://tinyurl.com/ysu5b8a9 Visit http://www.bloomberg.com for business news & analysis, up-to-the-minute market ...
高盛:中国太阳能行业 - 追踪盈利拐点-5 月装机量激增或暗示 2025 年下半年需求将进一步回落
Goldman Sachs· 2025-06-25 13:03
China Solar: Tracking profitability inflection May rush installation spike suggests deeper demand pullback into 2H25 Our China Solar Profitability Tracker follows monthly supply/demand and inventory dynamics by sub-sector, and the spot prices/input costs implied cash GP & EBITDA margin trends for companies under our coverage. Key highlights in June MTD: Sector view: We continue to expect capacity cuts in 2025E-26E (average 17% of end-24 capacity cut across main value chain) due to cash burn and market acces ...
高盛:中国太阳能-低价持续
Goldman Sachs· 2025-06-25 13:03
24 June 2025 | 2:17PM CST China Solar Lower for longer Bottom line: Profitability inflection to be pushed out due to slower demand growth and long run normalized earnings to stay low, but still on track to reach a cyclical bottom in 2025E. We believe China's solar industry is on track to reach a cyclical bottom in 2025E with improving supply/demand balance on back of larger capex cut by Group 1 players, but mid-to-long run normalized profitability will likely stay low in our view, given demand growth slowdo ...
供应增加预期高悬 沪锌继续负重而行?
Wen Hua Cai Jing· 2025-06-25 09:36
由于全球锌矿产量增加较为确定,市场对于锌价走势的预期普遍偏空,叠加贸易争端一度激化拖累,今 年以来沪锌重心震荡下移。不过前期冶炼厂利润不足且二季度检修较多,国内精炼锌产量并未出现大幅 增加一幕,社会库存持续低位,现实表现不算弱势,可以看到期价几次触及21600一线附近后都有反 弹。然而进入6月份冶炼厂产量将有明显提升,沪锌会继续向下寻找支撑吗? 贸易争端整体缓和 地缘风险扰动增加 4月美国超预期的对等关税落地,叠加其他国家纷纷反制,工业品一度重挫,不过美国对外关税政策显 然是雷声大雨点小,历经谈判过后对多国的关税税率都出现明显下调,市场情绪随之缓和。当前时间仍 处于美国关税缓冲期当中,目前市场仍在衡量关税对于美国经济的冲击,由于对关税政策可能推高通胀 的担忧存在,美联储6月议息会议传递偏鹰态度,后续仍需关注关税缓冲期过后特朗普政府的态度变化 和年内美联储降息节奏。 最近中东地缘政治局势一度紧张,一定程度推升市场避险情绪,原油系和贵金属都出现剧烈波动,对其 余金属的影响相对有限,但对锌市则带来两个方面的担忧。一方面,近几年伊朗锌矿对华都有出口, 2024年全年进口量在8万吨附近,占国内总进口的2%附近,冲突的加 ...