Fed Policy & Interest Rates - The CNBC Fed survey projects the Fed funds rate to be at 389% by the end of the year [1] - The base case expectation is that the Fed will cut rates one to two times this year, aligning with the Fed's communication [2] - The Fed's policy statement is expected to remain unchanged, with any news potentially emerging from the statement of economic projections [3] - The Fed is expected to maintain its current stance, awaiting further data to clarify inflation expectations [7] Economic Uncertainty & Geopolitical Factors - There's increased uncertainty due to the Middle East situation, reciprocal tariffs, and unclear US-China relations [4][5] - Geopolitics is playing a bigger role in inflation expectations [6] - The Fed's tools are limited in addressing changes in trade policy, the political environment, and geopolitical factors [6] US Dollar & Treasury Market - The dollar has shown weakness, with a temporary rebound as a flight to safety [8] - Foreign buyers have reduced their holdings of US Treasuries, decreasing from 50% to 30% over the past decade [8] - Dollar depreciation is anticipated to continue marginally, with treasury market volatility expected, especially in the long end [13] Investor Sentiment & Market Dynamics - Investors, including sophisticated institutional investors, are questioning their geographic allocation to US assets [10] - The depth and liquidity of US markets, including treasuries, the dollar, and private assets, remain robust [11] - There is still no alternative to the US dollar [12] - A transition is occurring that matters for flows and valuations, but it is marginal from a geopolitical perspective at the moment [12]

Hey, I'm Kramer. Welcome to Mad Money. Welcome to Kramer. Other people want to make friends. I'm just trying to make you a little money. My job is not just to entertain, but to educate you. So call me at 1800743 CNNBC or tweet me at Jim Kramer. If you spend much time watching this network, you've heard endless chatter about the Federal Reserve, the business cycle, tariffs and trade, and of course all the ways our trading partners try to get over on us by breaking the rules of the Great Arbor, the World Trad ...

There are times when if you tune in to the show, it's all about the Federal Reserve and trade policy all the time. I prefer to focus on the fundamentals of individual companies. You know that trying to help you identify winning stocks.But there are moments when these big picture macro forces trump what's going on at the companies themselves. No, no pun intended. We just went over the Federal Reserve at what they really do, why they feel compelled to raise interest rates in a strong economy, why those higher ...

Wall Street's always looking for signals. Signals from all over the place, but especially from the Federal Reserve, which is why I keep coming back to this subject. I just explained what happens when the Fed signals that it's willing to strangle the life out of the economy in order to curb inflation.Investors figure that we're headed into a slowdown. The stock market plummets and it tends to stay down. Now, let's talk about the other side of the coin.Because while the Fed can be the ultimate destroyer of va ...

There are times when if you tune in to the show, it's all about the Federal Reserve and trade policy all the time. I prefer to focus on the fundamentals of individual companies. You know that trying to help you identify winning stocks.But there are moments when these big picture macro forces trump what's going on at the companies themselves. No, no pun intended. We just went over the Federal Reserve at what they really do, why they feel compelled to raise interest rates in a strong economy, why those higher ...

Hey, I'm Kramer. Welcome to Mad Money. Welcome to Kramer.Other people want to make friends. I'm just trying to make you a little money. My job is not just to entertain, but to educate you.So call me at 1800743 CNNBC or tweet me at Jim Kramer. If you spend much time watching this network, you've heard endless chatter about the Federal Reserve, the business cycle, tariffs and trade, and of course all the ways our trading partners try to get over on us by breaking the rules of the Great Arbor, the World Trade ...

If you spend much time watching this network, you've heard endless chatter about the Federal Reserve, the business cycle, tariffs and trade, and of course, all the ways our trading partners try to get over on us by breaking the rules of the Great Arbor, the World Trade Organization, or at least breaking them in spirit. But for all the relentless focus on the Fed or trade policy or the inherent boom and bust nature of the economy, we don't always do a great job of putting this stuff into context and explaini ...

Interest Rate Policy - Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold interest rates steady [1] - All eyes are on policymakers' projections about the future [1]

Joining me now is Matt Stucky. He's the chief portfolio manager for equities at Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management. And Matt, you know, markets seem to be taking a breather today after yesterday's bounceback.How do you think investors are processing the latest risks here. Not just tariffs and inflation, but now that escalating geopolitical headwinds are on the table, that's another risk that we're going to have to deal with. Well, good morning, Ally.Thanks for having me back. Um yeah, there is no shortag ...

So, where does the industry go from here amid a mixed economic picture and no near-term resolution on these tariff pressures. Let's ask John Lvalo. He's US home building analyst at UBS here with me on set, which I appreciate.It's good to see you. I mean, the number this morning was awful. It was absolutely awful.And the builders had enjoyed a little bit of a a period of outperformance because of these buy downs and so forth. Now, that doesn't seem to be working as well. It's it's not dead.So, we're not quit ...