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KG: Monitoring Market "Fade," Next Week's Catalysts & Metal Breakouts
Youtube· 2025-12-12 16:05
Market Overview - The market is experiencing a rotation trade, with approximately 60% of S&P 500 stocks in the green, but the S&P 500 equal weight index is trading flat to negative, indicating a shift in market dynamics [2][4] - Volatility is relatively low, with the VIX at 14, suggesting a potential for an increase in volatility in the near future [4][10] - The yield on the 10-year benchmark is at 4.19%, reflecting a return to pre-FOMC meeting levels, indicating market caution regarding rate cuts [7][8] Federal Reserve Commentary - Fed speakers, including Austin Goolsby and Schmidt, express concerns about elevated inflation risks, leading to a cautious stance on rate cuts [5][8] - Upcoming Fed commentary and economic data will be crucial for market direction, with a focus on employment and housing data [11][12] Sector Performance - The technology sector is facing sell-offs, with companies like Broadcom and Oracle experiencing declines [4][9] - The healthcare sector is performing well, with stocks like UNH and Humana showing aggressive gains [14][15] Commodities Insights - Natural gas prices are down nearly 3%, influenced by warmer weather forecasts and an inventory buildup in the U.S. [16][18] - If natural gas remains around the $4 level for a few weeks, there is potential for a rebound to $5 or $6 due to expected winter weather disruptions [19][20] - In the metals market, platinum and palladium are seeing gains, driven by industrial demand and potential regulatory rollbacks on emissions [24][25]
X @The Economist
The Economist· 2025-12-12 12:40
The Treasury is now one of the largest buyers of its own long-term government bonds, which has kept volatility in the bond market in check. Yet perhaps things are a little too calm https://t.co/PJXjPawwzz ...
5 Stocks to Buy and 5 to Sell for 2026
Benzinga· 2025-12-11 20:48
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses stocks categorized into "Naughty" and "Nice" lists based on the pricing of their options, highlighting those with inflated premiums to avoid and those with attractive pricing to consider for buying options. Naughty List - Stocks on the Naughty List have options prices that are significantly inflated, making them risky for trading calls or puts due to high premiums [2] - Oracle Corp. (NYSE:ORCL) has seen its implied volatility rise from 24 to 64, indicating overpriced options ahead of earnings [4] - Lululemon athletica Inc. (NASDAQ:LULU) shows options priced above normal, making it difficult to justify long calls or puts [5] - Paychex Inc. (NASDAQ:PAYX) has inflated options that do not align with its consistent performance, stacking odds against buyers [7] - Ciena Corp. (NYSE:CIEN) has overpriced options despite solid stock movement, making it a red flag for potential buyers [8] - FactSet Research Systems Inc. (NYSE:FDS) has options trading at rich premiums, affecting the risk-reward balance for traders [10] Nice List - Stocks on the Nice List have options trading at or near their lowest levels of the year, providing opportunities for buying time premium without overpaying [11] - Uber Technologies Inc. (NYSE:UBER) has seen its implied volatility drop from 80 to 30, making it an attractive option for bullish plays [12] - Rubrik Inc. (NYSE:RBRK) is trading at the bottom of its implied volatility range, presenting a good opportunity for call buying [13] - Tempus AI Inc. (NASDAQ:TEM) is also at low option premium levels, making it a smart choice for potential moves [14] - Ross Stores Inc. (NASDAQ:ROST) has equal high and low volatility levels, indicating a new low in options pricing, which could be favorable for long calls [15] - Ventas Inc. (NYSE:VTR) has dropped premiums near year-lows, making it an attractive option for buyers if a catalyst appears [16]
X @Santiment
Santiment· 2025-12-11 15:19
RT denome (@denomeme)Warning: This could be just FOMC volatility, but we do NOT want to see old whales move Bitcoin when price is forming a bottom (spikes in the chart).Optimally we want to see old whales continue holding (flat - no spikes).Spikes indicate on-chain movements from old whales = low whale conviction.Chart from @santimentfeed ...
Interview: brace for volatility as AI reshapes markets in 2026, says Erlen Capital's Schneller
Invezz· 2025-12-11 13:30
2025 delivered no shortage of drama across the global economic, business, and financial landscape. From DeepSeek's shockwaves to tariff battles and the relentless march of AI reshaping boardrooms and stock charts, the year had it all. ...
X @Trust Wallet
Trust Wallet· 2025-12-11 12:18
EEA notice: "Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile and are not covered by investor compensation schemes. Some cryptocurrencies are unregulated. Profits may be subject to tax.Learn more about the cryptocurrency risks here: https://t.co/LvCad2CGZc ...
X @Cointelegraph
Cointelegraph· 2025-12-11 09:31
💡 CRYPTO 101: Why do markets jump or dump during FOMC?Traders watch the “surprise gap,” central bank language, and cross-asset reactions to map out short-term volatility. https://t.co/hRjyJRpyJK ...
The Big 3: XOM, JPM, TLT
Youtube· 2025-12-10 17:30
Welcome back to Trading 360. I'm Marley Kaden. It's time for the big three.We've got three stocks, three charts, and three trades. Rick Dat will take us through the charts. And here to take us through the trades is Don Kaufman from Theo Trade.Great to have you both with us as always. Don, you know the drill. Big picture thought.It's Fed Day. We are seeing a bit of a mixed picture right now as I take a look at the big board ahead of the decision at 2 PM Eastern. You know, what are your thoughts on the action ...
Volatile Markets Make For Perfect “Direxion Weather,” Says CEO
Etftrends· 2025-12-10 14:56
TECL data by YCharts Education is Paramount Risk-fueled and volatile — these are words that investors with low-risk profiles typically don't want to hear. However, for the uninhibited short-term trader, it's music to their ears. With that, leveraged exchange- traded funds (ETFs) have seen greater demand this year amid heavier volatility. Douglas Yones, Direxion Investments CEO, visited Bloomberg to discuss the opportunities for current and prospective investors in leveraged ETF products. "It's an exciting t ...
Mazza: Leverage ETFs are tools for short-term tactical traders
CNBC Television· 2025-12-10 12:26
the action on that meme ETF. We were actually talking about it as a as you know a group all of us how interesting it is that it launched. What do you think that says about retail investor interest and not only the meme trade but just risk in general.>> I think actually that the meme stock ETF is really intended to be a reflection of where retail investors are most interested in at any given point in time. And so what we're seeing is that the meme trade actually has come off significantly since we launched. ...