Market Concerns - Senator Warren warns that crypto could "blow up" the US economy [1] - The concern is that companies listed on the NYSE could potentially evade SEC regulation by digitizing themselves [1] - Senator Warren suggests that if companies like Amazon, Meta, or GM were to opt out of the NYSE, it "would blow up the value of the NYSE" [1] Company Valuation - The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), fully owned by ICE, has a market capitalization of approximately $100 billion [1] - Amazon's market capitalization is significantly larger, at $240 trillion [1] Economic Perspective - The report argues that the NYSE is not synonymous with the entire US economy [1] - The report asserts that all companies collectively constitute the economy [1]

Fed Rate Policy & Inflation - The Fed is likely to lower rates, considering the downward trend of inflation approaching the 2% target [1] - High real rates are restraining the economy, suggesting a need for rate cuts [2] - The impact of tariffs on inflation is considered minimal and temporary, unlikely to significantly alter the Fed's course [3][4] - A potential one-time price jump from tariffs is expected, with the US being a relatively closed economy where services constitute 70% of the consumer basket [4] - Even a 20% tariff increase is projected to raise prices by less than 1 percentage point [4] - Dollar decline since February is adding to inflation pressure, potentially more so than tariffs [10] Labor Market & Economic Impact - The Fed is cautious about weakness in the labor market translating to unemployment [6] - Maintaining the unemployment rate in the 4-45% range is a key objective for both the President and the Fed [7] - Weakness in the labor market will drive the Fed's rate decision more than inflation [8] - Long-term interest rates significantly affect the economy, influencing housing and investment decisions [8] - The US government's deficit and spending policies are crowding out the economy, potentially hurting it more than other factors [9]

Let's look at the the chart. You can see JP Morgan is off a little bit, less than a percent, just out with results. The company reporting um GAP earnings of 524 a share on revenue of 45.7% billion.There's a lot here. Number one, the 524 is down from last year's 612. Last year's $612 had had a big accounting gain.Uh there's also a 700 million plus um uh tax benefit in the 524. So uh I would say that's 28 cents a share. Is that 28. That's 28 cents a share from from that.I don't know if that was considered or ...

Copper is used in everything from phones and cars to home construction and the military. Now President Trump is proposing a 50% tariff. On today’s Big Take podcast, Bloomberg’s @JoeDeaux and @davidgura discuss what new levies mean for the US economy and your next big purchase.🎙️ Listen now: https://t.co/yT3DsoVeH6 ...

Economic Outlook - The US is potentially undergoing a systemic shift, drawing comparisons to both the "Reagan moment" (positive change) and the "Jimmy Carter moment" (stagflation/recession) [1] - Market sentiment regarding the US economic trajectory has been volatile, fluctuating between an 80% probability of a "Reagan moment" at the beginning of the year, dropping below 50% by April, and currently residing around 70% [2] - There is an approximate 50/50 chance of either a positive transformation or stagflation/recession in the US [2] Market Dynamics - The US market's significant fluctuations are unusual given its mature institutions and diversified economy [2]

Join us now. Sylvia Jablonsky, Defiance ETF CEO uh and chief me chief investment officer. I I'm I'm feeling I'm feeling you have not been that negative.No. Throughout all this, I I can remember I it's sad because I look at some people and I remember how wrong they were. Yeah.And we have a lot of people on that when I look at now that's all I can think about and I'm not sure why they're here. Glad I'm glad I'm not one of them for You're not one of them. You are not one of them.Why didn't you Um it wasn't a h ...

Dollar's Decline and Economic Impact - The US dollar has experienced a significant decline, losing over 10% of its value against other major currencies in the past 6 months, a drop not seen since 1973 [6] - A weaker dollar leads to more expensive imports, driving up prices for consumers at grocery stores, gas pumps, and for everyday products, reducing purchasing power [7][8] - While a cheaper dollar can boost certain American exports, the primary concern is the loss of confidence in the US economy by foreign investors [9] Factors Contributing to Dollar's Weakness - Ballooning debt, political dysfunction, and economic uncertainty caused by unpredictable tariff threats are fueling the loss of faith in the US economy [10] - Major global investors, including countries and sovereign wealth funds, are starting to seek investment opportunities elsewhere [11] - Foreign investors have begun selling off US treasuries, signaling a potential crack in the trust of the US government's ability to pay its debt [16][17] Geopolitical Implications - The US dollar's status as the world's reserve currency provides significant geopolitical power, allowing the US to exert influence through financial leverage [12][13] - A weakening dollar could lead to other currencies, like China's RMB, challenging its dominance, potentially diminishing America's influence [14] - If global investors lose confidence in America's ability to honor its financial obligations, it could erode soft power and make it harder for the government to pay its bills [20][21]

Trade Policy & Tariffs - The current US effective tariff rate stands at 15%, increasing to 17% after recent trade agreements, significantly higher than the pre-administration level of 2% or less [9] - The imposition of tariffs is viewed as taxes on American businesses and consumers, ultimately leading to higher prices and reduced spending [14][17] - The US trade policy is causing a reshaping of global supply chains, trade relationships, and geopolitical dynamics [11] - There is concern that the US President's approach to trade deals lacks binding commitment and can be unilaterally altered, making it difficult for other countries to offer meaningful concessions [6][7] Economic Impact - The tariffs are expected to negatively impact economic growth and employment in the latter half of the year [17][18] - Consumers are starting to feel the impact of tariffs through increased costs, as exemplified by unexpected tariff charges on imported goods [15][16] Federal Reserve & Monetary Policy - The US President is expected to exert pressure on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, potentially compromising the Fed's independence and its broader economic objectives [21][22]

Joining me now is Shenika McClendon, vice president of political strategy at Crooked Media, along with former Florida representative and MSNBC political analyst Carlos Kubelloo. Chenika, starting with you, new deadline at the end of the day. Yeah, it is.um you know they can say July 9th is when everything has to get done but if the tariffs are not going to return to these elevated places until August 1st that means there's another month of time that these countries can use to negotiate I think Donald Trump ...

On this episode of the Everybody's Business podcast, @AllisonSchrager joins @svaneksmith and @BradStone to discuss President Trump's Big Beautiful Bill and why the generally healthy and strong US economy is in need of some lifestyle tweaks https://t.co/i51n7zR9iH https://t.co/rSXPldIJtO ...