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BitMine Bleeds $6 Billion: Has Tom Lee’s Ethereum Supercycle Bet Turned Fatal?
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-31 21:33
Core Insights - BitMine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) has transformed from a modest crypto-mining hardware firm to the largest corporate holder of Ethereum, owning approximately 4.24 million ETH, which constitutes about 3.5% of the total supply [1] Group 1: Financial Impact - The current value of BitMine's ETH holdings is approximately $10.2 billion, a significant decrease from an estimated $15.6 billion invested at average entry prices of $3,600–$3,900 [3] - If BitMine were to sell its entire Ethereum position, it could trigger one of the most destabilizing liquidation events in Ethereum's history, potentially causing a price drop of 20–40% [2][4] - Market depth estimates suggest that after slippage, BitMine might only net $5–7 billion from a sale, effectively locking in a multi-billion-dollar loss [4] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The Ethereum market typically trades tens of billions of dollars per day, but the sale of over 4 million ETH would overwhelm order books, leading to significant price volatility [3][4] - Historical data indicates that smaller liquidations have previously caused price crashes of 10–30% within hours, suggesting that BitMine's potential sale could have a similar or greater impact [4] Group 3: Staking Considerations - Approximately 2 million ETH of BitMine's holdings are staked, generating an annual yield of about 2.8%, which would be lost if they exited the staking mechanism [5] - Staked ETH cannot be sold instantly due to Ethereum's exit queue, which could delay withdrawals for days or weeks, complicating any potential liquidation strategy [5]