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Workday刚刚实现盈利,但股价不够便宜,还不是买入时机
美股研究社· 2025-02-28 10:47
Core Viewpoint - The stock of Workday is considered too expensive despite the company's achievements and potential for growth [10][11]. Company Overview - Workday (NASDAQ: WDAY) is a US-based SaaS company founded in 2005 and went public in 2012. Since its IPO, it has delivered a total return of 456.77%, outperforming the S&P 500's 419.26% [2][3]. - The company specializes in cloud-based enterprise software for human resources and finance departments, targeting Fortune 500 companies [3]. Financial Performance - Workday achieved GAAP profitability last year, with positive free cash flow (FCF) since 2016. The company reported a revenue CAGR of 31.5% over the past 10 years [3][4]. - Recent earnings history shows consistent revenue growth, with Q4 2025 revenue expected to be $2.21 billion, a 15.04% year-over-year increase [6]. Market Position and Strategy - Workday has a strong market share in its category, providing services that large companies prefer to maintain due to their complexity [7]. - The company has completed 19 acquisitions to enhance its service offerings, focusing on large clients rather than acquiring competitors [3][4]. Valuation Metrics - Workday's valuation metrics indicate a high EV/Sales ratio of 7.8 and an EV/EBITDA ratio of 87.8, suggesting that the stock is priced at a premium compared to peers like SAP and Oracle [9][10]. - The historical price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio shows a decline, reflecting a slowdown in revenue growth as the company transitions from a high-growth phase [10]. Future Outlook - Analysts remain optimistic about Workday's potential for growth, particularly in expanding operating margins and maintaining market share due to the stickiness of its services [10]. - The company has a significant total addressable market (TAM) for future growth, but current stock prices rely heavily on earnings growth for returns [10][11].