偏光片供需动态平衡
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群智咨询:预计2026年偏光片供需动态平衡 偏光片价格有望趋于稳定
智通财经网· 2025-12-12 06:53
Core Viewpoint - The polarizer industry is undergoing a significant restructuring influenced by the global display industry, with a shift towards a more concentrated and collaborative competitive landscape by 2026. Major manufacturers are forming strategic alliances and joint development models, leading to a balanced supply-demand dynamic and stable pricing for polarizers [1][10]. Group 1: Industry Restructuring - The concentration of display panel production in mainland China is driving the restructuring of the polarizer industry, with Chinese manufacturers taking a leading role. By 2025, major players like Sanjin Optoelectronics and Hengmei are expected to dominate the market, with Sanjin holding over 30% of global capacity and Hengmei surpassing 20% [2][3]. - The acquisition activities, such as Sanjin's purchase of LGC's production lines and Hengmei's acquisition of SDI's lines, are pivotal in establishing a dual-giant competitive landscape dominated by Sanjin and Hengmei [2][3]. Group 2: Supply Chain Dynamics - The new competitive landscape will significantly impact the display industry, enhancing the upstream supply capabilities and promoting domestic material sourcing. However, Chinese polarizer manufacturers still rely heavily on Japanese and Korean suppliers for raw materials, indicating a need for further localization [6]. - Major LCD panel manufacturers are forming "camp-style" collaborations with leading polarizer firms, ensuring a concentrated supply chain. For instance, BOE's partnership with Sanjin is expected to secure nearly 50% of its polarizer supply by 2025 [7]. Group 3: Market Balance and Pricing - By 2026, the polarizer market is projected to achieve a supply-demand balance, with a modest capacity growth of 6.6% year-on-year, aligning with the growth of LCD panel supply. This stability is attributed to a slowdown in new capacity investments and the impact of ongoing mergers and acquisitions [10][11]. - The anticipated supply-demand ratio for LCD panel polarizers in 2026 is expected to be 10.9%, indicating a dynamic equilibrium that will likely lead to stable pricing for polarizers [11].