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麦格理:上调京东健康(06618)目标价至74.57港元 维持“跑赢大市”评级
智通财经网· 2025-10-17 03:25
Core Viewpoint - Macquarie has raised the target price for JD Health (06618) by 20%, from HKD 62.14 to HKD 74.57, while maintaining an "Outperform" rating. The earnings forecast for the company remains unchanged [1]. Group 1: Revenue Growth and Market Position - JD Health is expected to achieve a 22% year-on-year revenue growth in the second half of 2025, driven by a strong trend in the third quarter [1]. - The company is anticipated to solidify its position in key healthcare product distribution channels, enhancing market share and market integration despite weak performance in offline pharmacies [1]. Group 2: Profitability and Margin Expectations - The company is projected to maintain strong growth momentum in the second half, benefiting from the direct launch of new drugs and increased advertising spending from merchants [1]. - An increase in drug sales is expected to positively impact overall gross margin, with a projected year-on-year expansion of 1.5 percentage points to 23.7% in the second half [1]. - Adjusted net profit margin is expected to reach 8.1% in the second half, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 90 basis points, considering cautious expansion in offline stores and increased spending during the fourth quarter promotional period [1].