Group 1 - Chipotle Mexican Grill is expected to report fiscal Q2 results on July 23, 2025, with earnings projected at $0.33 per share and sales of $3.11 billion, indicating no growth in earnings and a 5% increase in sales year-over-year [1] - In Q1, Chipotle's revenue rose by 6% to $2.88 billion, while adjusted EPS increased by 7% to $0.29, but comparable sales fell by 0.4% due to a 2.3% decline in transactions [2] - The company anticipates low single-digit comparable sales growth for 2025, with traffic expected to improve in the latter half of the year [2] Group 2 - Chipotle has historically experienced a decline in stock price after earnings announcements 55% of the time, with an average one-day drop of 4.9% [1][6] - Over the past five years, there have been 20 earnings data points, with positive one-day returns observed approximately 45% of the time, increasing to 50% when considering the last three years [6] - The median of positive one-day returns is 7.2%, while the median of negative returns is -4.9% [6]