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发电侧容量电价机制完善
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发电侧容量电价机制完善,容量机制扩围提比,调节性资产价值重塑
Core Viewpoint - The report from Dongwu Securities highlights the recent notification from the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration regarding the improvement of the capacity price mechanism for power generation, which includes an increase in the coal power capacity price recovery ratio and the inclusion of new energy storage, gas power, and pumped storage in the capacity compensation framework [2][3]. Group 1: Investment Highlights - The coal power capacity recovery ratio is set to increase from approximately 30% in 2024-2025 to no less than 50% [2]. - The average capacity fee revenue for coal power is expected to rise from 0.027 yuan/kWh to 0.040 yuan/kWh by 2026 due to the increased recovery ratio [2]. - Local governments are encouraged to adjust the lower limit of medium- and long-term trading prices for coal power and to relax the signing ratio requirements for medium- and long-term contracts, promoting flexible pricing mechanisms [2]. Group 2: Capacity Compensation Mechanism Expansion - A new independent capacity price mechanism for grid-side energy storage has been established, which will be compensated based on local coal power standards [3]. - The pumped storage capacity price mechanism will adopt a "new and old distinction" principle, allowing for market-based cost recovery [3]. - A capacity price mechanism for gas power generation may be established by provincial pricing authorities, determining capacity prices based on a fixed cost recovery ratio [3]. Group 3: Reliable Capacity Compensation Mechanism - A reliable capacity is defined as the capacity that can provide stable power supply during peak demand periods [4]. - A reliable capacity compensation mechanism will be established to replace the original capacity price, focusing on compensating for the fixed costs not recovered by marginal units [4]. - The compensation scope will include coal power, gas power, and independent new energy storage, gradually expanding to pumped storage [4]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Operators of coal power, gas power, and pumped storage will benefit from the increased fixed cost recovery ratio and market revenue sharing mechanisms [4]. - The implementation of capacity prices will significantly improve the revenue model for independent energy storage stations, favoring high-quality storage asset operations [4]. - The regulatory resources will support the construction of new power systems and facilitate the absorption of renewable energy [4]. Recommended companies include Huaneng International (600011), Huadian International (600027), and Longyuan Power (001289) [4].