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Buy, Sell or Hold Monday.com Stock?
Forbes· 2025-08-18 09:50
Core Insights - Monday.com Ltd (NASDAQ: MNDY) experienced a 30% decline in share price over five days despite a positive earnings report, driven by conservative guidance and concerns over web traffic variability due to changes in Google's search algorithms [2][3] Financial Performance - The company reported $299 million in revenue, reflecting a 30% year-over-year increase, and an adjusted EPS of $1.09, both exceeding consensus forecasts [3] - Revenue for the last twelve months reached $1.0 billion, up from $784 million, marking a 32% increase compared to a 5.0% rise in the S&P 500 [4] Valuation Metrics - Monday.com is trading at a high valuation, with a price-to-sales ratio of 12.8 compared to the S&P 500's 3.2, and a price-to-free cash flow multiple of 252.8, significantly higher than the index's 23.6 [4] Profitability Analysis - The company reported a modest net income of $53 million, yielding a margin of 5.1%, while its operating income was negative at $6.2 million, with a margin of -0.6% [5][6] - Operating cash flow stood at $331 million, with a margin of 31.9%, outperforming the S&P 500's 20.3% [6] Financial Stability - Monday.com has minimal leverage, with only $123 million in debt and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.9%, compared to the S&P 500's 21.8% [6] - The company's liquidity is strong, with cash and equivalents making up 86% of total assets, amounting to $1.6 billion out of $1.8 billion [6] Market Resilience - Historically, Monday.com has shown significant vulnerability to market downturns, with an 82.8% decline from its peak in November 2021 to a year later, compared to a 25.4% decline in the S&P 500 [7] - The stock has not yet regained its pre-crisis peak, currently trading at $172, down from a high of $327.92 in February 2025 [7]