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ArcelorMittal(MT) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-31 14:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Second quarter EBITDA increased to $135 per ton, reflecting structural improvements and benefits from asset optimization and growth strategy [5][11] - Future normalized EBITDA is expected to be $2.1 billion, with one-third to be captured in the current financial year [6] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Calvert facility achieved a new shipment record in Q2, 10% higher than Q1 and the same period last year [7] - Liberia posted record volume in Q2, with expectations to reach 10 million tonnes of shipments for the year [29] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The North American segment is expected to see marginally higher tariff costs, offset by the impacts of Calvert consolidation [18] - European market is transitioning to a more favorable structure with potential trade defense mechanisms and carbon border adjustments [9][10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Full ownership of Calvert is seen as a positive development, enhancing the North American franchise [7] - Continued investment in strategic projects, including a billion-dollar electrical steel facility in Alabama, is underway [8] - The company aims to capitalize on defense and infrastructure investments, supported by low interest rates [10][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in maintaining growth momentum and highlighted the importance of strategic projects [6][11] - The company is optimistic about the European market's potential improvements due to anticipated trade protections [9][10] Other Important Information - The company has bought back 38% of its equity over the past four and a half years, enhancing shareholder value [12] - The impact of tariffs in Q2 was approximately $140 million, with ongoing efforts to mitigate these costs [36] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you walk us through the EBITDA building blocks into Q3 2025? - Management discussed operational issues in Mexico affecting production, leading to $40 million in losses in Q2 [15][16] - Anticipated impacts include seasonally lower volumes in Europe and marginally higher tariff costs in North America [18] Question: How do you plan to mitigate the risk of tariffs on slab imports? - Management highlighted a new slab supply agreement with US Steel and ongoing discussions with customers to share tariff costs [22] Question: What is the expected timing for the second EAF at Calvert? - Management indicated that a decision will be made in the next capital allocation cycle, likely in 2026 [25][28] Question: Can you provide an update on iron ore shipments from Liberia? - The company expects to achieve 10 million tonnes of shipments this year, with a changing mix towards higher-value products [30] Question: What is the impact of tariffs on your financials? - Management confirmed that the impact of tariffs in Q2 was around $140 million, with efforts to mitigate these costs ongoing [36] Question: How confident are you in maintaining your CapEx envelope? - Management reiterated confidence in maintaining a CapEx envelope of €4.5 billion to €5 billion, with significant projects nearing completion [39] Question: What is the outlook for the European market? - Management noted that demand in Europe remains sideways, but inventory levels are low, creating potential for price increases [51] Question: What is the company's strategy regarding Brazilian slab capacity? - Management emphasized that Brazil's growing flat demand positions the company well, with no immediate need for new upstream investments [95]