建筑央企估值回升
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建筑央企前三季度业绩承压,券商指订单优势有望促估值回升
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-11-20 12:11
Group 1 - The core point of the news is that major Chinese construction state-owned enterprises (SOEs) have reported a decline in net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with only China Chemical achieving growth [1][2] - Among the nine major construction SOEs, revenue and net profit accounted for 83.45% and 83.99% of the Shenwan construction sector, respectively, indicating their dominant position in the industry [1] - Excluding SOEs, the construction sector experienced a revenue decline of 12.37% and a net profit decline of 5.48%, showing a significant worsening in performance compared to the previous year [1] Group 2 - China State Construction's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 1,558.22 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.20%, while net profit was 38.182 billion yuan, down 3.83% [2] - China Metallurgical Group and China Nuclear Engineering reported significant declines in net profit, with China Metallurgical's net profit down 41.9% and China Nuclear's down 23.96% [2][3] - The decline in profits for these companies is attributed to external factors such as decreased demand in the steel industry and a slowdown in the construction and real estate sectors [3] Group 3 - National fixed asset investment decreased by 0.5% in the first nine months of 2025, with infrastructure investment growing by only 3.34%, indicating a slowdown in overall investment [3] - China Chemical reported a revenue of 136.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.15%, and a net profit of 4.232 billion yuan, up 10.28%, marking it as an outlier in a struggling market [3][4] - The company has focused on chemical engineering and infrastructure, with its chemical engineering business generating 748.12 billion yuan in revenue, accounting for 83.06% of its main business income [4] Group 4 - The total new contracts signed by construction SOEs in the first three quarters reached approximately 10.5 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of about 1.31% [5] - Major players like China State Construction and China Railway have a price-to-earnings ratio of about 5 and a price-to-book ratio of less than 0.5, indicating a high safety margin and potential for valuation recovery [5]