政府医保政策冲击

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医保成本困局难解 联合健康(UNH.US)盈利指引“跳水”股价跟跌
智通财经网· 2025-07-29 11:31
Group 1 - The company, UnitedHealth, reported disappointing annual profit guidance for Q2, forecasting adjusted EPS of at least $16 for 2025, significantly below analysts' expectations of $20.40, and revenue between $445.5 billion and $448 billion, compared to the expected $449.16 billion [1][2] - The company had previously projected adjusted EPS of $26 to $26.50 in April but withdrew this guidance in May, marking a substantial reduction from the original target of $29.50 to $30 set at the end of the previous year [2] - The management has committed to restoring growth by 2026 and returning to a long-term EPS growth target of 13%-16% [2] Group 2 - The healthcare insurance industry is facing challenges, with peers like Elevance Health, Centene, Molina Healthcare, and Oscar Health also lowering or withdrawing their earnings guidance due to issues with government healthcare programs [2][3] - The expiration of tax credits that have increased enrollment under the Affordable Care Act next year, along with a recent budget plan that will cut nearly $1 trillion in Medicaid funding, is expected to increase the uninsured population by 10 million over the next decade [3] - The company is experiencing a decline in profits from its Optum Health segment due to increased treatment volumes, pricing errors, and cuts in federal Medicare funding, which had previously been a significant growth driver [5] Group 3 - The latest earnings report showed that the company faced industry-wide issues related to the Affordable Care Act, with a provision for "accelerated recognition of future losses" being recorded [3] - The second-quarter earnings per share were $4.08, below the analyst estimate of $4.59, while revenue was $111.62 billion, slightly above the market expectation of $111.52 billion [3] - Following the earnings report, the company's stock price fell by 6.7% in pre-market trading, and it has dropped over 44% year-to-date due to the DOJ investigation and suspended earnings guidance [5]