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“导弹焦虑症”诱发“空中楼阁幻想” 美“金穹”系统遭广泛质疑
Yang Shi Xin Wen· 2025-05-22 01:45
Core Points - The U.S. President Trump announced the development plan for the "Iron Dome" missile defense system, aiming for it to be fully operational within three years [1][2] - The "Iron Dome" system will integrate with existing U.S. missile defense capabilities and is designed to intercept missiles launched from around the world, including space [2][4] Group 1: System Overview - The space-based missile defense system is intended to consist of thousands of small satellites, including missile detection and destruction satellites [4] - The current U.S. missile defense systems target mainly ballistic missiles, categorized by range: short-range (≤1000 km), medium-range (1000-3500 km), long-range (3500-5500 km), and intercontinental ballistic missiles (>5500 km) [7][10] Group 2: Budget and Feasibility Concerns - The estimated cost for the "Iron Dome" system is approximately $175 billion, with initial funding of $25 billion proposed for the next fiscal year's budget [17][19] - The Congressional Budget Office estimates the total cost could reach up to $542 billion, raising concerns about the project's financial feasibility [19] Group 3: Technical Challenges - Achieving full operational capability for the "Iron Dome" system within three years is considered technically challenging, with significant funding and time required for system testing and technology development [13][16] - The concept of a space-based missile defense system has historical roots in the Cold War, previously attempted under the "Star Wars" program, which was abandoned due to technical limitations [22] Group 4: Geopolitical Implications - The introduction of the "Iron Dome" system may exacerbate geopolitical tensions and lead to a new arms race, similar to the historical context of the "Star Wars" initiative [22][24] - Analysts warn that the system could create greater threats and potentially trigger a military competition not seen since the Cold War [24] Group 5: Military-Industrial Complex - The "Iron Dome" project is viewed as a significant opportunity for defense contractors, with expectations of unlimited spending on this super project [27] - There are concerns that the initiative may serve as a means for political and financial gain for certain U.S. politicians and military-industrial entities [25][29]