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欧洲化工行业崩溃风险
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Cefic:欧洲化工业处于崩溃边缘
Zhong Guo Hua Gong Bao· 2026-02-03 03:28
Core Viewpoint - The European chemical industry is facing a severe crisis, with a significant increase in plant closures and a drastic reduction in new investments, raising concerns about its competitiveness and long-term viability [1][3]. Group 1: Capacity Closures - Since 2022, the closure of chemical plants in Europe has surged sixfold, resulting in a cumulative loss of 37 million tons of capacity, which accounts for approximately 9% of the total chemical capacity in Europe [1]. - The announced capacity closures from 2022 to 2025 are projected to reach 37 million tons, with specific annual closures of 2.9 million tons in 2022, 8.7 million tons in 2023, 8 million tons in 2024, and a dramatic increase to 17.2 million tons in 2025 [1][2]. Group 2: Employment Impact - The closures have led to direct job losses of 20,000 in the chemical sector, with an additional 89,000 indirect jobs at risk across Europe [3]. Group 3: Investment Decline - New investments in the European chemical industry have plummeted, with annual investment dropping from 2.7 million tons in 2022 to just 300,000 tons by 2025, totaling approximately 7 million tons over four years [3]. - Confirmed capital expenditures have decreased by 81%, from €7.6 billion in 2022 to €1.5 billion in 2025, indicating a significant shift in investment focus away from innovative areas such as electrification and hydrogen materials [3]. Group 4: Regional Impact - The most affected countries by the capacity closures include Germany (8.8 million tons, 25%), the Netherlands (7.2 million tons, 20%), and the UK (4.5 million tons, 12%), among others [2].