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儒竞科技(301525):热泵景气持续向上 数据中心、机器人打开成长空间
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-27 06:47
Group 1: Industry Overview - The export of heat pump-related products and components continues to rise, with November 2025 exports amounting to 1.341 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33.4% [1] - Cumulative exports for 2025 reached 14.846 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 17.3% [1] - Exports to 21 European countries in November totaled 403 million yuan, marking a significant year-on-year increase of 79.3%, the highest growth rate since January 2023 [1] - The European heat pump market is recovering from a multi-year inventory destocking period following the 2022-2023 Russia-Ukraine conflict, with a positive turning point in industry conditions this year [1] - The ongoing transition from gas to electric heating in European households, supported by heat pump subsidy policies, is expected to enhance heat pump penetration rates in the long term [1] Group 2: Company Performance - The company, a major supplier of heat pump variable frequency drives and controllers, is poised to benefit from the industry's recovery [2] - In the first half of 2025, the company's revenue from HVAC, new energy vehicles, thermal management systems, and industrial drives was 422 million, 260 million, 17 million, and 1 million yuan, respectively, accounting for 60.29%, 37.18%, 2.45%, and 0.08% of total revenue [2] - The company has established stable partnerships with clients such as Bosch, Carrier, and Haier, positioning itself to capitalize on the current heat pump export recovery [2] - The company's heat pump business revenue has significantly increased in the first half of 2025, with expectations for substantial improvement in 2026 due to low base effects [2] Group 3: Future Prospects - The company is strategically entering the data center thermal management and energy-saving technology sector, driven by high capital expenditures from major overseas CSP companies [2] - The company’s products are designed for core infrastructure in data centers, including precision air conditioning and cooling systems, which are expected to drive growth in this segment [2] - The company is actively developing its robotics motor controller business, focusing on high-performance and customizable solutions for robotic applications [3] - Revenue projections for the company from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 1.644 billion, 2.243 billion, and 2.826 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 26.75%, 36.41%, and 26.00% respectively [3] - Expected net profits for the same period are projected at 197 million, 322 million, and 423 million yuan, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 17.15%, 63.52%, and 31.22% [3] - The company is rated "recommended" based on comparative analysis with peers in the smart electric control industry [3]