Core Insights - Ford Motor has reduced its profit guidance due to a fire at a key aluminum supplier, Novelis, which will impact production of profitable vehicles until the end of the year [1][5] - The fire at the Novelis factory in Oswego, NY, is expected to cost Ford between $1.5 billion and $2 billion before taxes and interest, with an anticipated offset of about $1 billion next year [1][5] - Ford's third-quarter revenue reached $50.5 billion, a 9% increase year-over-year, and earnings per share were 45 cents, surpassing analysts' expectations [4][5] Financial Performance - Ford's annual earnings before interest and taxes outlook has been revised down to between $6.0 billion and $6.5 billion, down from a previous range of $6.5 billion to $7.5 billion [5] - The automaker expects to lose up to 100,000 units of production by year-end due to the Novelis fire, but plans to increase production of F-150 and SuperDuty trucks by 50,000 vehicles next year to recover some losses [12] Supply Chain and Production Adjustments - CEO Jim Farley indicated that efforts are being made to source aluminum from operational parts of the Novelis plant, with a goal to minimize impact in 2025 and recover production by 2026 [2][9] - Production of the F-150 Lightning EV truck will be paused indefinitely to prioritize more profitable gasoline versions [12] Tariff Impact and Government Support - Ford has faced a $1 billion net tariff impact due to recent relief measures announced by the government, which are expected to offset some costs associated with tariffs [7][14] - The company previously estimated that tariffs would cost up to $3 billion this year, with plans to offset $1 billion of that amount [6][7] Industry Context - The auto industry is experiencing potential disruptions beyond the Novelis fire, including tightened controls over battery materials exports from China and an intellectual-property dispute affecting chip supplies [13][16] - Sales of gasoline-fueled trucks and SUVs are driving profits for Detroit automakers, as both Ford and GM have adjusted their electric vehicle strategies to focus on traditional products [15]