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各地社保缴费基数迟迟未出
经济观察报· 2025-09-06 09:07
Core Viewpoint - The delay in the announcement of social security contribution bases across provinces is attributed to the complexities involved in adjusting the lower limits, which primarily affect low- and middle-income groups [1][4][20]. Group 1: Social Security Contribution Base Adjustment - The social security contribution base lower limit is set at 60% of the average social wage, aimed at a small portion of low- and middle-income groups [4][20]. - In recent years, the pressure of rising social security contributions has been concentrated on low-income individuals, with significant increases observed in contribution bases from 2020 to 2024, such as in Beijing where it rose from 3613 CNY/month to 6821 CNY/month, an increase of 88.8% [4][10]. - The lack of new announcements for the current year's contribution bases has led to companies using the previous year's figures, affecting payroll and social security costs [3][7]. Group 2: Impact on Employment and Wages - The increase in social security contribution bases has led to a decrease in take-home pay for employees whose salaries are below the new limits, with specific examples showing reductions of around 52 CNY per month for those earning below 6300 CNY in Beijing [11][20]. - The rising costs of social security contributions have prompted companies to reconsider their hiring strategies, with some opting for older, retired workers to reduce costs [19][20]. Group 3: Economic Implications and Future Outlook - The average wage growth in various provinces has slowed, with some provinces experiencing near-zero growth, which is expected to lead to low or negative growth in social security contribution bases for 2024 [8][10]. - Discussions are ongoing regarding the potential lowering of the contribution base limits to attract more flexible employment groups into the social security system, but this raises concerns about the long-term sustainability of the social security fund [21][23]. - Experts suggest that while lowering contribution bases could alleviate immediate financial burdens, it may adversely affect future pension benefits for individuals who consistently contribute at lower levels [22][23].