Group 1 - Trump's recent comments about potential successors to Powell have sparked speculation in the prediction markets [1] - Kevin Hassett and Kevin Warsh are viewed as strong contenders for the next Federal Reserve chair, each with a 35% chance of being appointed [1] - Current Fed chair Powell's term ends in May 2026, and he has faced criticism from Trump for maintaining high interest rates [1] Group 2 - Fed Governor Kugler announced his resignation, which allows Trump to appoint a new member to the Fed Board [2] - Judy Shelton, a former economic advisor to Trump, has a 6% chance of succeeding Powell, while David Malpass has a 4% chance [2] - Interestingly, Trump himself has a 1% chance of leading the Federal Reserve according to prediction markets [2]

美国商务部长卢特尼克同意鲍威尔通过维持高利率，每年让美国付出约7000亿美元代价的说法。 ...