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一周财经日程:全国两会启幕、特朗普国会演讲......重磅事件密集轰炸的一周
华尔街见闻· 2025-03-02 12:40
Key Events Overview - The National People's Congress (NPC) and the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC) will hold their annual sessions in Beijing on March 4 and 5, respectively, focusing on government work reports and economic development plans [3][4]. - U.S. President Trump will deliver a speech at a joint session of Congress and host a cryptocurrency summit, with significant policy implications expected [8][6]. - The U.S. will implement tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada, with a 25% tariff on most products and a 10% tariff on Canadian energy products, which may provoke strong responses from Canada [6][7]. Economic Data Releases - The U.S. non-farm payroll report for February is anticipated to show an increase of 160,000 jobs, with the unemployment rate expected to remain at 4% [9]. - China's February CPI and PPI data will be released, with expectations of a CPI decline to around -0.6% due to falling agricultural prices and international oil prices [11]. - China's January-February trade data will be published, with a focus on export performance amid tariff uncertainties [12]. Market Sentiment and Predictions - Bloomberg economists have expressed concerns about softening sentiment and reduced spending, which may challenge the narrative of U.S. economic exceptionalism [10]. - The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to announce a 25 basis point rate cut, marking the sixth cut since June, amid mixed inflation signals from Germany and France [14]. New Listings and Fund Issuance - Two new stocks, Yutian Guanjia and Mixue Group, will be listed, with Mixue Group being the largest fresh beverage company in China, holding a market share of 11.3% domestically [21]. - A total of 44 new funds were issued during the week, indicating active market participation [24].