美股波动率指数

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安静已达极致
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-08-17 05:28
Group 1 - The market is experiencing an unusual calm, with the VIX (Volatility Index) dropping to 14, nearing its post-pandemic low, indicating a collective belief that no significant events will occur [1] - The cost of buying call options (insurance) is also approaching post-pandemic lows, suggesting that investors are not hedging against potential market turbulence [1] - This current calm is characterized as "numbness," differing from previous periods of quiet that were seen as "calm before the storm," indicating a potential for greater volatility if sentiment shifts [1] Group 2 - Two critical upcoming events are highlighted: developments in the Russia-Ukraine situation and Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole, which could impact market sentiment [1] - The current state of tranquility is described as the "last calm" before potential market movements [1]