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美国“蓝州”拟征“富人税”填窟窿
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2025-08-15 09:00
Core Viewpoint - Several "blue states" in the U.S. are increasing taxes on high-income groups to address fiscal pressures resulting from the federal tax law enacted during Trump's presidency, which significantly reduced taxes for the wealthy while cutting funding for social programs like Medicaid [1][2]. Taxation and Economic Policy - The federal tax law, known as the "Tax Cuts and Jobs Act," has led to substantial tax reductions for high-income individuals and significant cuts to social safety net programs, creating fiscal challenges for state governments, particularly in blue states [2][3]. - Lawmakers in multiple states are seeking to implement more progressive tax systems to increase taxation on the wealthy, with Massachusetts' "millionaire tax" serving as a notable example, generating billions in additional revenue [3][5]. - Connecticut and Washington state are also proposing tax increases on high-income earners to offset losses from the new federal tax law, while Maryland has approved tax increases for residents earning over $500,000 [3]. Wealthy Migration Concerns - Concerns about wealthy individuals relocating to low-tax states due to increased tax burdens are prevalent, but research indicates that the relationship between taxation and migration is not straightforward [4]. - Studies show that the migration rate of millionaires facing higher taxes has not significantly increased, suggesting that factors beyond financial considerations, such as social ties and local investments, play a crucial role in their decision to stay [4]. - Historical data indicates that while some wealthy individuals may move to lower-tax states, the overall impact on state budgets from such migrations is complex and influenced by various factors [5]. Revenue Generation from Tax Increases - Massachusetts' "millionaire tax," approved in 2022, imposes a 4% additional tax on income over $1 million, projected to generate nearly $3 billion in revenue for the fiscal year 2025, an increase from $2.46 billion the previous year [5]. - Research indicates that while there may be some migration among billionaires in response to tax changes, the overall revenue generated from such taxes often outweighs the losses incurred from any potential outflow of wealthy residents [5].