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Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk May Soon Sell Weight Loss Drugs on the Planned TrumpRx. Could This Further Boost the Healthcare Giants' Stocks?
The Motley Fool· 2025-11-16 17:10
Core Viewpoint - The Trump administration has reached a deal with pharmaceutical companies Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly to significantly reduce the prices of weight loss drugs through a national online platform called TrumpRx, which may benefit consumers but could impact the drugmakers' profitability [1][2][12]. Group 1: Drug Pricing and Market Impact - The agreement allows Novo Nordisk's Wegovy and Eli Lilly's Zepbound to be sold at steep discounts, with Wegovy priced at $350 for a one-month supply and Zepbound at an average of $346 through TrumpRx [10]. - Wegovy's list price is over $1,349 for a 28-day supply, while Zepbound costs more than $1,250, making them potentially unaffordable for lower-income households without assistance [8][7]. - The Medicare prices for these drugs will be set at $245, with eligible patients paying a copay of $50 [11]. Group 2: Sales Growth and Market Demand - Wegovy's popularity has surged, contributing to Novo Nordisk's recognition, while Zepbound's sales increased from approximately $517 million in Q1 2024 to nearly $3.6 billion in Q3 2024 [4]. - A Gallup survey indicated that the percentage of respondents who have taken weight loss injections more than doubled from Q1 2024 to Q3 2025, suggesting growing demand for these treatments [6]. - The potential for increased demand from a budget-constrained population raises questions about the impact on sales volume and profit margins for both companies [15][16]. Group 3: Future Considerations and Investor Insights - The success of TrumpRx is uncertain, and its implementation may face challenges similar to previous policy efforts by the Trump administration [14]. - Investors should monitor adjustments in quarterly earnings guidance from Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly, as well as potential analyst revisions related to the TrumpRx rollout [17]. - Given the current uncertainties surrounding TrumpRx, investment decisions regarding Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly should not be solely based on this initiative [18].