Core Insights - Plug Power is expected to announce earnings on August 11, 2025, with historical trends indicating a likelihood of a negative one-day stock reaction following earnings announcements [2][3] - Analysts project a revenue of $158 million and an adjusted loss of $0.16 per share for the upcoming quarter, which is an improvement compared to the previous year's revenue of $143 million and an adjusted loss of $0.34 per share [3] - The company has a market capitalization of $1.4 billion, with $642 million in revenue over the past twelve months, but has incurred significant operational losses of -$988 million and a net loss of -$2.0 billion [4] Historical Performance - Over the last five years, Plug Power has experienced a one-day decrease in stock price following earnings announcements 61% of the time, with a median loss of -5.9% and a maximum decline of -40.5% [2][7] - In the last three years, the probability of positive one-day returns drops to 36%, with a median of 10% for positive returns and -5.9% for negative returns [7] Post-Earnings Strategies - Traders can assess historical odds and establish positions ahead of earnings reports, as well as investigate the relationship between immediate and medium-term returns following announcements [6] - A strategy involving the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns can be employed, where a positive one-day return could lead to a long position for the next five days if the correlation is strong [8] Peer Performance Impact - The performance of peers can influence Plug Power's stock reaction post-earnings, with historical data showing that peer stock returns may affect pricing before earnings announcements [9]