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万国数据 - 积极因素正逐步显现-GDS Holdings Ltd-The positives are playing out
2025-08-12 02:34
Summary of GDS Holdings Ltd Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: GDS Holdings Ltd - **Industry**: Greater China Telecoms - **Current Stock Price**: US$36.37 (as of August 8, 2025) - **Market Capitalization**: Rmb51,663 million - **Price Target**: US$52.00, indicating a 43% upside potential Key Points Positive Developments 1. **C-REIT Performance**: GDS's C-REIT gained 30% on its first trading day, establishing a new valuation benchmark with an EV/EBITDA multiple of approximately 22x, leading to a dividend yield of around 4% [2][1] 2. **MSCI China Index Inclusion**: GDS was re-added to the MSCI China Standard Index after 18 months, which is expected to attract passive and long-only investors, potentially reducing share price volatility [3][1] 3. **NV H20 Licensing**: The US Government granted a license for NV H20, with indications that new orders are being placed with TSMC, suggesting ongoing production and inventory management [4][1] Future Expectations 4. **Strong Order Growth**: Anticipation of strong new orders for DayOne's international business in the upcoming 2Q25 earnings report, supported by solid 2Q earnings from US hyperscalers and upward capex revisions [5][1] 5. **Revenue and EBITDA Growth**: Expected revenue growth of 9-10% YoY, with EBITDA growth tracking similarly, despite the deconsolidation of private REIT assets [5][1] Financial Projections 6. **2Q25 Earnings Preview**: Forecasted revenue growth of 8.7% YoY to Rmb2.8 billion and EBITDA growth of 9.5% YoY to Rmb1.4 billion [9][1] 7. **Long-term Projections**: For 2026, GDS's China business is projected to have an EV/EBITDA multiple of 15x, while the international segment is expected to have a multiple of 17.5x [12][1] Risks and Considerations 8. **Market Risks**: Potential risks include reduced capex from hyperscalers, increased competition, and a reversal of the downward trend in interest rates [12][1] Additional Insights 9. **Management's Strategy**: Management indicated readiness to inject a second batch of assets into the REIT, with a project size of Rmb2 billion and Rmb4 billion, contingent on market conditions [2][1] 10. **Analyst Ratings**: GDS is rated as "Overweight" by Morgan Stanley, reflecting a positive outlook on the company's performance relative to its peers [7][1] This summary encapsulates the critical insights and projections regarding GDS Holdings Ltd, highlighting both the positive developments and potential risks in the current market landscape.
华侨银行:新加坡邮政聚焦资产价值 评级上调至“买入”
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-08-01 05:22
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Singapore Post's rating has been upgraded from "Hold" to "Buy" based on valuation reasons, with a slight adjustment of the fair value target from SGD 0.605 to SGD 0.590 [1] - Singapore Post has made progress in divesting non-core assets, including the sale of its freight forwarding business for SGD 177.9 million, which is expected to generate approximately SGD 10.5 million in disposal gains and release around SGD 104 million in cash [1] - The next step in asset monetization may involve sale-and-leaseback transactions of its post office network, with a potential deal for 10 post offices valued at SGD 50 million [1] Group 2 - Singapore Post is transitioning from a traditional postal service provider to a global logistics company, with potential catalysts for the future including value-accretive acquisitions in the region and feasible structural solutions for the sustainability of its domestic postal business [2] - The possibility of injecting real estate assets into a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) is also considered a potential growth avenue for the company [2]