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万国数据 - 积极因素正逐步显现-GDS Holdings Ltd-The positives are playing out
2025-08-12 02:34
Summary of GDS Holdings Ltd Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: GDS Holdings Ltd - **Industry**: Greater China Telecoms - **Current Stock Price**: US$36.37 (as of August 8, 2025) - **Market Capitalization**: Rmb51,663 million - **Price Target**: US$52.00, indicating a 43% upside potential Key Points Positive Developments 1. **C-REIT Performance**: GDS's C-REIT gained 30% on its first trading day, establishing a new valuation benchmark with an EV/EBITDA multiple of approximately 22x, leading to a dividend yield of around 4% [2][1] 2. **MSCI China Index Inclusion**: GDS was re-added to the MSCI China Standard Index after 18 months, which is expected to attract passive and long-only investors, potentially reducing share price volatility [3][1] 3. **NV H20 Licensing**: The US Government granted a license for NV H20, with indications that new orders are being placed with TSMC, suggesting ongoing production and inventory management [4][1] Future Expectations 4. **Strong Order Growth**: Anticipation of strong new orders for DayOne's international business in the upcoming 2Q25 earnings report, supported by solid 2Q earnings from US hyperscalers and upward capex revisions [5][1] 5. **Revenue and EBITDA Growth**: Expected revenue growth of 9-10% YoY, with EBITDA growth tracking similarly, despite the deconsolidation of private REIT assets [5][1] Financial Projections 6. **2Q25 Earnings Preview**: Forecasted revenue growth of 8.7% YoY to Rmb2.8 billion and EBITDA growth of 9.5% YoY to Rmb1.4 billion [9][1] 7. **Long-term Projections**: For 2026, GDS's China business is projected to have an EV/EBITDA multiple of 15x, while the international segment is expected to have a multiple of 17.5x [12][1] Risks and Considerations 8. **Market Risks**: Potential risks include reduced capex from hyperscalers, increased competition, and a reversal of the downward trend in interest rates [12][1] Additional Insights 9. **Management's Strategy**: Management indicated readiness to inject a second batch of assets into the REIT, with a project size of Rmb2 billion and Rmb4 billion, contingent on market conditions [2][1] 10. **Analyst Ratings**: GDS is rated as "Overweight" by Morgan Stanley, reflecting a positive outlook on the company's performance relative to its peers [7][1] This summary encapsulates the critical insights and projections regarding GDS Holdings Ltd, highlighting both the positive developments and potential risks in the current market landscape.
华侨银行:新加坡邮政聚焦资产价值 评级上调至“买入”
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-08-01 05:22
不过,华侨银行分析师也提示了相关风险。报告称,新加坡邮政的核心业务正面临结构性挑战,其国内 邮政业务因数字化趋势面临信件量下滑的结构性衰退,而国际业务的经营环境依然低迷。此外,公司正 经历董事会更新和管理层变动,其新的战略增长计划尚不明朗。 总体而言,新加坡邮政正努力从传统的邮政服务商向全球物流企业转型。分析师认为,未来市场的潜在 催化剂包括区域内的增值性收购、确保国内邮政业务长期商业可持续性的可行结构性解决方案,以及将 房地产资产注入房地产投资信托基金(REIT)的可能性。 (文章来源:新华财经) 新华财经新加坡8月1日电 新加坡华侨银行1日发布报告,基于估值理由,将新加坡邮政(SPOST)的评 级由"持有"上调至"买入"(BUY),但提醒投资者审慎行事。报告将其公允价值(Fair Value)目标从 0.605新元微调至0.590新元。 报告指出,新加坡邮政在剥离非核心资产方面取得进展。公司于7月22日宣布,以1.779亿新元的价格整 体出售其货运代理业务,此次交易预计将实现约1050万新元的处置收益,并为公司释放约1.04亿新元的 现金。此前,新加坡邮政已于2025年3月剥离了其澳大利亚业务。 该机构分 ...