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钒钛股份(000629):2024年年报点评:钒产品价格下跌拖累业绩,期待行业反转
Minsheng Securities· 2025-04-08 07:19
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [6][55]. Core Views - The company's performance in 2024 was negatively impacted by a decline in vanadium product prices, leading to a revenue drop of 8.15% year-on-year to CNY 13.209 billion and a significant net profit decrease of 73.03% to CNY 285 million [10][55]. - The company is a major global supplier of vanadium products and has a strong production capacity, which positions it well for future growth as the vanadium industry recovers and the vanadium battery market expands [3][55]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of CNY 132.09 billion, down 8.15% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of CNY 2.85 billion, down 73.03% [10]. - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of CNY 27.35 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 15.16% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 17.52% [10]. - The sales volume of vanadium products increased by 6.74% to 53,600 tons, while titanium dioxide sales grew by 1.10% to 258,000 tons, and titanium slag sales fell by 24.18% to 146,100 tons [19]. Price and Margin Analysis - The company's gross margin decreased by 6.81 percentage points to 7.59% in 2024, with vanadium product prices dropping by 26% year-on-year [2][19]. - The gross margin for vanadium products fell by 17.05 percentage points to 10.40%, while titanium products saw a slight margin decline [2]. Future Outlook - The company is positioned as a leading global supplier of vanadium products, with a comprehensive production capacity that includes 442,000 tons of vanadium products and 300,000 tons of titanium dioxide annually [3]. - The vanadium battery business is expected to be a significant growth driver, with a partnership established to supply 20,000 tons of ammonium vanadate in 2025, representing a 35% increase from 2024 [44]. - A new 60,000-ton molten salt chlorination titanium dioxide project was launched in 2024, enhancing the company's market influence [4]. Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits of CNY 5.92 billion, CNY 7.83 billion, and CNY 9.32 billion from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 40, 30, and 26 [55]. - Revenue is expected to grow to CNY 138.7 billion in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 5% [54].