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风电行业转型与国际扩张
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BNEF专业洞察 | 全球风电竞速白热化,中国能源企业如何突围?(含报告下载)
彭博Bloomberg· 2025-10-30 06:05
Core Insights - The wind power industry is undergoing a transformation and technological leap amid the backdrop of the "14th Five-Year Plan" and the global acceleration of wind power [1][3]. Group 1: Domestic Wind Power Development - By the end of 2024, mainland China is expected to account for 46% of the global cumulative wind power installed capacity, projected to increase to 54% by 2035 [3]. - As of the end of 2024, mainland China has achieved 90% of its "14th Five-Year Plan" onshore wind installation targets, with a strong project reserve expected to exceed the 2025 target by 23% [5]. - The operation and maintenance (O&M) market is anticipated to experience explosive growth during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, driven by the exit of over 20,000 onshore wind turbines from warranty [5]. Group 2: Offshore Wind Power Challenges - The development of offshore wind power has been slow this year, with the annual grid connection volume likely falling short of expectations; high-quality development in state-managed sea areas requires collaborative efforts and improved policies [5][6]. Group 3: International Expansion of Chinese Wind Power - Chinese wind turbine manufacturers are expanding their international influence, with cost advantages of 10% to 45% compared to Western counterparts driving rapid export growth [6][8]. - Chinese manufacturers are adapting to complex policy environments in Asia and Europe, achieving progress in competitive bidding, while low-cost wind turbines are accelerating project implementation in emerging markets like Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa [8][9]. - The average rated power of onshore wind turbines in China has increased from 1.9 MW in 2016 to 5.6 MW in 2024, indicating a significant trend towards larger wind turbines [9]. Group 4: Supply Chain and Production Capacity - Global wind turbine nacelle production capacity is expected to reach 289 GW this year, approximately double the global demand; however, there remains a supply shortage in regions outside mainland China [11]. - Chinese manufacturers are transitioning from pure export models to localized production overseas, with 10 nacelle factories announced, 8 of which were disclosed for 2024 and beyond [11]. Group 5: Pricing and Market Dynamics - The first mechanism price bidding results for renewable energy will provide clear price signals for wind and solar investments, with onshore wind bidding expected to be less intense than solar [12][14]. - Wind power capture prices are generally between the bidding upper and lower limits, while solar capture prices are typically below the bidding lower limit, indicating a more aggressive bidding strategy from solar developers [14].
BNEF重磅活动 | 风起新程:全球竞速下的中国风电突围
彭博Bloomberg· 2025-10-14 06:05
Group 1 - The wind power industry is at a critical juncture of restructuring and technological leap, influenced by the conclusion of the "14th Five-Year Plan" and the acceleration of global wind power development [2] - There is a persistent onshore boom while offshore presents both challenges and opportunities, prompting a strategic reshaping of enterprises in the wind and solar market [2] - The article discusses how Chinese wind power can break through in the global competition and shape new competitive advantages amid an accelerating internationalization process [2] Group 2 - The article highlights the need for insights into the key breakthroughs in wind power industry policies, technologies, and global markets during a seminar scheduled for October 20 [2] - The seminar will focus on domestic wind power transformation and international expansion, indicating a significant shift in the industry's strategic direction [2] - The involvement of BloombergNEF experts suggests a comprehensive analysis of the global wind power supply chain and the new dynamics emerging from supply-demand imbalances [4]